All that gold will not necessarily glisten in a crisis


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Given our enjoyment of gliterring objects, it is no surprise that humans have loved gold ever since crude nuggets of the stuff started turning up in streams somewhere - probably in Africa, if evolutionary theory is to be believed. What is surprising is that our fascination with gold has endured long past the point where the metal served any real economic purpose, pushing its price last week to an all-time high of almost US$1,250 an ounce.

Sure, gold is hugely important for jewellers, and has some industrial and electronic uses. It also comes sprinkled atop the froth on your cappuccino at Emirates Palace and now comes out of a new vending machine in the lobby. As a store of value, though, gold is pointless. It is absolutely useless. Let me explain. Gold did have a clear economic function long ago. It played an important role in the development of money, which replaced a system of communal living that existed before advances in transport made trade within regions and later between nations possible.

Though these advances happened at varying speeds in different societies, metals such as gold and silver were adopted as currency in most budding monetary systems. They were logical mediums of exchange because they were relatively rare, hard to counterfeit, easy to divide up and considered to have intrinsic value. With the invention in the 15th century of the printing press by Johannes Gutenberg, however, that function began to erode. While trade had been conducted for centuries using paper receipts issued by grain merchants and goldsmiths, the development of printing eventually made possible the mass production of cheap and portable paper notes that possessed all of the properties that made metal coins a workable currency.

The supply of paper notes could be controlled, giving them gold's scarcity. They could be made difficult to reproduce through complicated designs. Issuing notes of different values made them easily divisible. And they had as much intrinsic value as gold as long as people were willing to accept them in exchange for goods and services. At first, paper currency was explicitly backed by gold in much the same manner that goldsmiths in London had issued receipts entitling bearers to a quantity of the metal. As governments began to issue national currencies, they also backed them with physical gold.

But that ended in the early part of the 1900s, when many countries broke the gold standard to finance wars by printing huge quantities of new currency. The death knell of gold in the international monetary system came in 1971, when Richard Nixon, the then US president, abandoned the dollar's gold standard. After that, nearly all nations were running on official currencies. Although gold may still be a valuable commodity, its essential role in the financial world is long over. And yet despite that reality, many otherwise level-headed investors go mad over it in uncertain economic times. They buy gold during recessions, as they have been doing recently. Gold is, according to the gold bugs' logic, the one asset not likely to lose its buying power even if the world slips into financial meltdown.

They may be right. Even if they are, though, viewing gold as an ideal asset is illogical. Let's say, on the one hand, that the gold bugs' worst fears materialise and the financial order collapses. Should that happen, having a lot of gold around would not be especially useful because little would be produced in the economy on which to spend gold. There would not be any new Lamborghinis to buy or Hermes Birkin bags to outfit your new French wife with. The beach resorts you want to go to would be shut as they were not attracting enough business. The great, humming cities you want to catch a show in would no longer be great or humming, and no shows would be showing.

That may be a bit of an overstatement, but generally speaking, living large in a bad economy probably would not be so enjoyable. Let's now say everything does not collapse. In that case, gold is also relatively useless. Gold prices may rise and you may make money if you time the market right. But that's just speculation, and unless you have paranormal powers you're as likely as the next person to lose money as to make it.

Gold, moreover, is just a commodity. You might as well invest in wheat, rice, oil or, for that matter, heaps of expensive socks. All you're doing is waiting around and hoping the price of gold goes up because other people want to buy it. Unlike many publicly listed stocks, gold does not pay part of its profits back to investors as a dividend. And unlike bonds, you don't collect any interest. All you have is a pile of gold knocking around.

Gold also bestows no greater economic benefit, aside perhaps from lifting the profits of mining companies. By investing in stocks, you help markets allocate capital to its most productive uses. Put money in bonds and you help finance infrastructure projects, corporate expansions and other activities that would not have been possible without help from investors. Get into venture capital and you help seed the next generation of entrepreneurs and business start-ups. Even putting money in a bank account helps stimulate the economy because of the way the fractional reserve banking system works: the bank lends some of the money you put in, helping businesses boom.

Gold, though? It just sits there. Gold jewellery is nice. So is gold on your cappuccino. There's nothing wrong with those indulgences. In the end, though, gold is the global economy's appendix, an outmoded organ that has little to offer the investor, comes with few economic benefits and would realise its full value only in a major financial breakdown, which by definition would dampen its usefulness.

Making plays in the gold market may make sense for companies that use the metal, as well as for bankers with complex hedging schemes to work out. For the fearful investors who have helped fuel gold's five-year price peak, though, not so much. afitch@thenational.ae

Surianah's top five jazz artists

Billie Holliday: for the burn and also the way she told stories.  

Thelonius Monk: for his earnestness.

Duke Ellington: for his edge and spirituality.

Louis Armstrong: his legacy is undeniable. He is considered as one of the most revolutionary and influential musicians.

Terence Blanchard: very political - a lot of jazz musicians are making protest music right now.

JAPAN SQUAD

Goalkeepers: Masaaki Higashiguchi, Shuichi Gonda, Daniel Schmidt
Defenders: Yuto Nagatomo, Tomoaki Makino, Maya Yoshida, Sho Sasaki, Hiroki Sakai, Sei Muroya, Genta Miura, Takehiro Tomiyasu
Midfielders: Toshihiro Aoyama, Genki Haraguchi, Gaku Shibasaki, Wataru Endo, Junya Ito, Shoya Nakajima, Takumi Minamino, Hidemasa Morita, Ritsu Doan
Forwards: Yuya Osako, Takuma Asano, Koya Kitagawa

Turkish Ladies

Various artists, Sony Music Turkey 

Teaching your child to save

Pre-school (three - five years)

You can’t yet talk about investing or borrowing, but introduce a “classic” money bank and start putting gifts and allowances away. When the child wants a specific toy, have them save for it and help them track their progress.

Early childhood (six - eight years)

Replace the money bank with three jars labelled ‘saving’, ‘spending’ and ‘sharing’. Have the child divide their allowance into the three jars each week and explain their choices in splitting their pocket money. A guide could be 25 per cent saving, 50 per cent spending, 25 per cent for charity and gift-giving.

Middle childhood (nine - 11 years)

Open a bank savings account and help your child establish a budget and set a savings goal. Introduce the notion of ‘paying yourself first’ by putting away savings as soon as your allowance is paid.

Young teens (12 - 14 years)

Change your child’s allowance from weekly to monthly and help them pinpoint long-range goals such as a trip, so they can start longer-term saving and find new ways to increase their saving.

Teenage (15 - 18 years)

Discuss mutual expectations about university costs and identify what they can help fund and set goals. Don’t pay for everything, so they can experience the pride of contributing.

Young adulthood (19 - 22 years)

Discuss post-graduation plans and future life goals, quantify expenses such as first apartment, work wardrobe, holidays and help them continue to save towards these goals.

* JP Morgan Private Bank 

The bio

Academics: Phd in strategic management in University of Wales

Number one caps: His best-seller caps are in shades of grey, blue, black and yellow

Reading: Is immersed in books on colours to understand more about the usage of different shades

Sport: Started playing polo two years ago. Helps him relax, plus he enjoys the speed and focus

Cars: Loves exotic cars and currently drives a Bentley Bentayga

Holiday: Favourite travel destinations are London and St Tropez

UAE currency: the story behind the money in your pockets

The Freedom Artist

By Ben Okri (Head of Zeus)

South Africa v India schedule

Tests: 1st Test Jan 5-9, Cape Town; 2nd Test Jan 13-17, Centurion; 3rd Test Jan 24-28, Johannesburg

ODIs: 1st ODI Feb 1, Durban; 2nd ODI Feb 4, Centurion; 3rd ODI Feb 7, Cape Town; 4th ODI Feb 10, Johannesburg; 5th ODI Feb 13, Port Elizabeth; 6th ODI Feb 16, Centurion

T20Is: 1st T20I Feb 18, Johannesburg; 2nd T20I Feb 21, Centurion; 3rd T20I Feb 24, Cape Town

Our family matters legal consultant

Name: Hassan Mohsen Elhais

Position: legal consultant with Al Rowaad Advocates and Legal Consultants.

Sunday's Super Four matches

Dubai, 3.30pm
India v Pakistan

Abu Dhabi, 3.30pm
Bangladesh v Afghanistan

BRIEF SCORES:

Toss: Nepal, chose to field

UAE 153-6: Shaiman (59), Usman (30); Regmi 2-23

Nepal 132-7: Jora 53 not out; Zahoor 2-17

Result: UAE won by 21 runs

Series: UAE lead 1-0

The biog

Name: Younis Al Balooshi

Nationality: Emirati

Education: Doctorate degree in forensic medicine at the University of Bonn

Hobbies: Drawing and reading books about graphic design

The specs: 2018 BMW X2 and X3

Price, as tested: Dh255,150 (X2); Dh383,250 (X3)

Engine: 2.0-litre turbocharged inline four-cylinder (X2); 3.0-litre twin-turbo inline six-cylinder (X3)

Power 192hp @ 5,000rpm (X2); 355hp @ 5,500rpm (X3)

Torque: 280Nm @ 1,350rpm (X2); 500Nm @ 1,520rpm (X3)

Transmission: Seven-speed automatic (X2); Eight-speed automatic (X3)

Fuel consumption, combined: 5.7L / 100km (X2); 8.3L / 100km (X3)

The specs: Audi e-tron

Price, base: From Dh325,000 (estimate)

Engine: Twin electric motors and 95kWh battery pack

Transmission: Single-speed auto

Power: 408hp

Torque: 664Nm

Range: 400 kilometres

Tamkeen's offering
  • Option 1: 70% in year 1, 50% in year 2, 30% in year 3
  • Option 2: 50% across three years
  • Option 3: 30% across five years 
WHAT IS A BLACK HOLE?

1. Black holes are objects whose gravity is so strong not even light can escape their pull

2. They can be created when massive stars collapse under their own weight

3. Large black holes can also be formed when smaller ones collide and merge

4. The biggest black holes lurk at the centre of many galaxies, including our own

5. Astronomers believe that when the universe was very young, black holes affected how galaxies formed

Brief scoreline:

Wolves 3

Neves 28', Doherty 37', Jota 45' 2

Arsenal 1

Papastathopoulos 80'

The specs: 2018 Volkswagen Teramont

Price, base / as tested Dh137,000 / Dh189,950

Engine 3.6-litre V6

Gearbox Eight-speed automatic

Power 280hp @ 6,200rpm

Torque 360Nm @ 2,750rpm

Fuel economy, combined 11.7L / 100km

How has net migration to UK changed?

The figure was broadly flat immediately before the Covid-19 pandemic, standing at 216,000 in the year to June 2018 and 224,000 in the year to June 2019.

It then dropped to an estimated 111,000 in the year to June 2020 when restrictions introduced during the pandemic limited travel and movement.

The total rose to 254,000 in the year to June 2021, followed by steep jumps to 634,000 in the year to June 2022 and 906,000 in the year to June 2023.

The latest available figure of 728,000 for the 12 months to June 2024 suggests levels are starting to decrease.

Results

7pm: Wathba Stallions Cup – Handicap (PA) Dh70,000 (Dirt) 1,600m; Winner: RB Kings Bay, Abdul Aziz Al Balushi (jockey), Helal Al Alawi (trainer)

7.30pm: Maiden (PA) Dh 70,000 (D) 1,600m; Winner: AF Ensito, Fernando Jara, Mohamed Daggash

8pm: Maiden (PA) Dh70,000 (D) 1,400m; Winner: AF Sourouh, Tadhg O’Shea, Ernst Oertel

8.30pm: Maiden (PA) Dh70,000 (D) 1,800m; Winner: Baaher, Fabrice Veron, Eric Lemartinel

9pm: Maiden (PA) Dh70,000 (D) 2,000m; Winner: Mootahady, Antonio Fresu, Eric Lemartinel

9.30pm: Handicap (TB) Dh70,000 (D) 2,000m; Winner: Dubai Canal, Tadhg O’Shea, Satish Seemar

10pm: Al Ain Cup – Prestige (PA) Dh100,000 (D) 2,000m; Winner: Harrab, Bernardo Pinheiro, Majed Al Jahouri

INDIA V SOUTH AFRICA

First Test: October 2-6, at Visakhapatnam

Second Test: October 10-14, at Maharashtra

Third Test: October 19-23, at Ranchi