Say goodbye to your cocoon.
"The end of an era of individualism has come," says Li Edelkoort. The world's foremost trend forecaster studies the links among design, art, fashion and consumer culture to see what kind of effect they have will have on our lives. Two to three years down the road, "we will rely on each other to network and collaborate . functioning within a group, without losing personal traits and talents. This will ultimately have a positive outcome on our creative culture, where the single-minded and the general will engage in a dance together to expand a new dialogue in design."
Such a move could mean a departure from the, dare we say it, self-absorption of our times. But will it? It's hard to spot a trend, never mind predict one.
And given the importance of design, there's a lot lying on the line. As James Wallman, the editor of LS:N Global, the must-view design portal of the Future Laboratory, points out: "What sort of business isn't design-related today?"
But there's no crystal ball. Predicting what's going to happen in the future is about observing, understanding and disseminating what's already out there and happening - from the micro to macro, the cult to the mainstream.
Some designers and artists rely on gut instinct. Others subscribe to expensive research reports or send teams on fact-finding missions to the world's design cities or major trade fairs. These are not entirely satisfactory, however.
Increasingly, companies seek out trends forecasters.
Burberry, Dunhill and Samsung have recently joined Philips Design and StudioIlse as clients of the Future Laboratory. They are charged £6,000 (Dh34,000) for five "keys", "trend briefings", forums and networking events. "Our methodology is the most robust in the industry," Wallman says. "We do not cover everything. We cover everything that matters and has meaning . to work out what's happening now and crucially, why it's happening now, so that we can confidently forecast what's going to happen next."
The Future Laboratory is one of several companies forecasting trends. Two new design trends and information subscriber services launched last year, promising to help artists, designers and planners develop winning strategies and design decisions.
Homebuildlife from WGSN, the online industry bible for the fashion industry, is a trend-forecasting and product-development resource for the residential interiors industry. For £5,000 a year, it helps interior and product design firms, brands and manufacturers develop successful new schemes and product ranges.
Stylus bills itself as an information service for consumer-facing industries trying to come up with winning solutions in today's competitive global markets. This means analysing macrotrends and breaking them down into commercial applications (£10,000 a year, for three users). Founded by Marc Worth, the entrepreneur behind WGSN, Stylus was originally envisaged as a similar service for interiors, before he realised that there is a bigger market in consumer industries generally. "I seriously believe it will change the design industry . in the same way as WGSN changed fashion," he said at the launch.
"The birth of these new resources shows how important understanding trends is to companies," Wallman says, "but most companies simply post stuff and make up trends based on thin thinking."
In other words, the days of saying "blue is the new black" and expecting people to believe it are over.
These sophisticated offerings complement various free online design-information services, including WIDN (World Interior Design Network) and Interiorstalk. WIDN is part of Progressive Media Publishing, which publishes international design trade magazines, including Blueprint and FX. Free-to-access services include daily news, newsletters, project studies and an extensive database of products and suppliers. Interiorstalk publishes news releases, case studies and technical articles from manufacturers, making it a comprehensive web-news resource.
In contrast, the dynamically hip Cool Hunter, which claims to be the world's most read design website, is a nexus for what's cool, innovative and original. It prides itself not on tracking trends but on creating trends around the work it features. Boasting that many magazines now rely on Cool Hunter to find content for their pages, its founder, Bill Tikkos, recently formed a sister venture, Access, a multidisciplinary creative agency that devises branding and marketing campaigns for international brands and manufacturers.
Providing the "next generation" of trend reports and insight, Trend Hunter aims to help companies formulate their strategies and steal market share from less-informed competitors. The website gives access to more than 35 categories, such as design, home and food, by subscription (Dh2,000 to Dh36,700, depending on the package). It is run by Jeremy Gutsche, called "an intellectual can of Red Bull", who teaches clients how to leverage viral trends to generate ideas, stimulate creativity and ultimately, exploit chaos.
Looking at the world of interiors, what are designers and design commentators looking forward to and pronouncing for 2011? And what do they turn to for inspiration and information during the creative process?
"I am looking forward to seeing design step away from the uniform 'International Style', which results in a blend of expensive materials with no personality," says the London-based Lebanese interior designer, gallerist and hotel owner Rabih Hage. "The trend will move towards what I started three years ago with the Rough Luxe Hotel concept, namely more authenticity in the choice of finishes and aesthetics. A mix of layers between local and international, old and new, art and design. Genuine pieces and interiors is a good trend to follow and develop, especially in the Middle East; again, it's all about authenticity."
Currently working on a penthouse overlooking the Mediterranean Sea in Beirut, Hage recommends the Fast Company and DeTnk websites (he founded the latter) for trendspotting. "Both have their finger on the pulse within the creative world; the former on trends and lifestyle, the latter on product design and the collectible market."
Kelly Hoppen says she's never been a trend follower. "I much prefer to create the trends!" The interior designer, known as the "queen of taupe" thanks to her predilection for all things beige, recently launched Home Style App (£2.99), which contains short films to show users how to recreate her style simply and inexpensively, with a focus on the bedroom, kitchen, tables and shelving.
"Each year I issue my trend report as to what I feel is going to be big in the coming year, be it a new texture, colour or perhaps a new fabric," Hoppen says. "Currently working on my report for 2011, I am rather excited about experimenting with men's Harris tweeds in pink, mint green, sky blue and muted purple, mixed with natural Belgian linens."
Another respected decorator hailing the traditional route is Nicholas Haslam. "In 2011, I am most looking forward to this idea of 'heritage branding' that Suzy Menkes [the International Herald Tribune style correspondent] is espousing . I want design to be human and romantic. We need books - and not just on our coffee tables! And pictures and candles and layers . a move towards the quietly unexpected and less of this contrived hotel-style decorating."
Haslam finds inspiration, "what I like to call 'a germ of an idea' everywhere - from the grandest palaces to the most unexpected 'moments' . like a moss on a wall or a foil wrapper on a sweet . I am constantly inspired by fine (and not so fine!) art, fashion and shop windows - Louis Vuitton's and Harvey Nichols's have been fabulous." Haslam has recently begun blogging (you can find it at www.nh-design.co.uk/blog) and admits to rather liquid approach that includes Cool Hunter, All the Best, Little Augury, the Peak of Chic and An Aesthete's Lament.
Putting the finishing touches to a penthouse in Dubai's World Trade Centre apartment block, Intarya's head designer, Kamini Ezralow, predicts seeing more golden, brassy tones. "I'm not talking bling gold, but in the tones of textures, especially weaves and embellishments in fabrics. Lace is also going to make a resurgence, but in unexpected ways. We'll see touches of lace accents on cushions and throws. Again it comes down to textures, incorporating simple fabrics with something more ornate."
As for inspiration, she doesn't follow trend websites. "For me, inspiration comes from my background, upbringing and respective influences . I look a lot to fashion, watching Fashion TV and regularly reading Vogue and other top fashion magazines. I believe that interiors trends are increasingly following the catwalk."
Edelkoort, who expects networking to grow and individualism to fade away, sees the collaborative trend growing beyond humanity and affecting future designs. "Our relationship with nature and animals is going to deepen.
"Urban, birds, colours echoing concrete and abstract patterns will dominate . In an effort to reflect and respect nature, we'll be camouflaging our buildings so that they blend with the natural environment. architecture will amplify this idea of togetherness, structures will be strong and geometric, echoing the hexagonal structures of beehives . and we'll use lively colour and pattern to decorate our homes."
We'll see.
Four trends to watch
Upcycling
Taking old products, usually furniture, and recovering, reworking or repurposing them. Despite each piece being unique, many are finding their way into commercial interiors. Beirut's hip design firm Bokja is loved for its vibrant reworked vintage furniture pieces.
Nostalgic
A charming 1950s-inspired direction, integrating honest and traditional family values. Memorable vintage characters and motifs evoke the familiar and cute, while crafted and hand-made finishes play a key role. A retro pastel palette provides a quaint backdrop for highlight brights and metallics.
Simplicity
Living simply with beautiful, useful and meaningful objects offers an honest yet elegant way of life. As much a philosophy for living as an important product trend, our longing for simple luxury comes at a time when there are more disposable products available than ever before. For a growing number of consumers, living with less but better is more appealing.
Rurbanites
City dwellers are getting in touch with rural qualities. Rejecting the impersonal bigness of globalisation and corporations, they are reconnecting with their communities, living locally, growing their own food and embracing small-scale brands. Other movements within this trend, driven by economic necessity, include neighbourhood car and goods clubs, where locals lend or rent out belongings, getting more value out of goods they already own.
House-hunting
Top 10 locations for inquiries from US house hunters, according to Rightmove
- Edinburgh, Scotland
- Westminster, London
- Camden, London
- Glasgow, Scotland
- Islington, London
- Kensington and Chelsea, London
- Highlands, Scotland
- Argyll and Bute, Scotland
- Fife, Scotland
- Tower Hamlets, London
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UK-EU trade at a glance
EU fishing vessels guaranteed access to UK waters for 12 years
Co-operation on security initiatives and procurement of defence products
Youth experience scheme to work, study or volunteer in UK and EU countries
Smoother border management with use of e-gates
Cutting red tape on import and export of food
ONCE UPON A TIME IN GAZA
Starring: Nader Abd Alhay, Majd Eid, Ramzi Maqdisi
Directors: Tarzan and Arab Nasser
Rating: 4.5/5
Living in...
This article is part of a guide on where to live in the UAE. Our reporters will profile some of the country’s most desirable districts, provide an estimate of rental prices and introduce you to some of the residents who call each area home.
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Racecard
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Key facilities
- Olympic-size swimming pool with a split bulkhead for multi-use configurations, including water polo and 50m/25m training lanes
- Premier League-standard football pitch
- 400m Olympic running track
- NBA-spec basketball court with auditorium
- 600-seat auditorium
- Spaces for historical and cultural exploration
- An elevated football field that doubles as a helipad
- Specialist robotics and science laboratories
- AR and VR-enabled learning centres
- Disruption Lab and Research Centre for developing entrepreneurial skills
'Outclassed in Kuwait'
Taleb Alrefai,
HBKU Press
The Settlers
Director: Louis Theroux
Starring: Daniella Weiss, Ari Abramowitz
Rating: 5/5
Children who witnessed blood bath want to help others
Aged just 11, Khulood Al Najjar’s daughter, Nora, bravely attempted to fight off Philip Spence. Her finger was injured when she put her hand in between the claw hammer and her mother’s head.
As a vital witness, she was forced to relive the ordeal by police who needed to identify the attacker and ensure he was found guilty.
Now aged 16, Nora has decided she wants to dedicate her career to helping other victims of crime.
“It was very horrible for her. She saw her mum, dying, just next to her eyes. But now she just wants to go forward,” said Khulood, speaking about how her eldest daughter was dealing with the trauma of the incident five years ago. “She is saying, 'mama, I want to be a lawyer, I want to help people achieve justice'.”
Khulood’s youngest daughter, Fatima, was seven at the time of the attack and attempted to help paramedics responding to the incident.
“Now she wants to be a maxillofacial doctor,” Khulood said. “She said to me ‘it is because a maxillofacial doctor returned your face, mama’. Now she wants to help people see themselves in the mirror again.”
Khulood’s son, Saeed, was nine in 2014 and slept through the attack. While he did not witness the trauma, this made it more difficult for him to understand what had happened. He has ambitions to become an engineer.
The specs: 2018 Peugeot 5008
Price, base / as tested: Dh99,900 / Dh134,900
Engine: 1.6-litre turbocharged four-cylinder
Transmission: Six-speed automatic
Power: 165hp @ 6,000rpm
Torque: 240Nm @ 1,400rpm
Fuel economy, combined: 5.8L / 100km
Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.
Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.
“Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.
Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.
“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.
Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.
From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.
Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.
BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.
Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.
Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.
“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.
Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.
“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.
“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”
The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”
Lexus LX700h specs
Engine: 3.4-litre twin-turbo V6 plus supplementary electric motor
Power: 464hp at 5,200rpm
Torque: 790Nm from 2,000-3,600rpm
Transmission: 10-speed auto
Fuel consumption: 11.7L/100km
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A State of Passion
Directors: Carol Mansour and Muna Khalidi
Stars: Dr Ghassan Abu-Sittah
Rating: 4/5
Our legal consultant
Name: Dr Hassan Mohsen Elhais
Position: legal consultant with Al Rowaad Advocates and Legal Consultants.
The 12 Syrian entities delisted by UK
Ministry of Interior
Ministry of Defence
General Intelligence Directorate
Air Force Intelligence Agency
Political Security Directorate
Syrian National Security Bureau
Military Intelligence Directorate
Army Supply Bureau
General Organisation of Radio and TV
Al Watan newspaper
Cham Press TV
Sama TV
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UK's plans to cut net migration
Under the UK government’s proposals, migrants will have to spend 10 years in the UK before being able to apply for citizenship.
Skilled worker visas will require a university degree, and there will be tighter restrictions on recruitment for jobs with skills shortages.
But what are described as "high-contributing" individuals such as doctors and nurses could be fast-tracked through the system.
Language requirements will be increased for all immigration routes to ensure a higher level of English.
Rules will also be laid out for adult dependants, meaning they will have to demonstrate a basic understanding of the language.
The plans also call for stricter tests for colleges and universities offering places to foreign students and a reduction in the time graduates can remain in the UK after their studies from two years to 18 months.
The specs
Engine: 3.8-litre twin-turbo V8
Power: 611bhp
Torque: 620Nm
Transmission: seven-speed automatic
Price: upon application
On sale: now
TO ALL THE BOYS: ALWAYS AND FOREVER
Directed by: Michael Fimognari
Starring: Lana Condor and Noah Centineo
Two stars
The burning issue
The internal combustion engine is facing a watershed moment – major manufacturer Volvo is to stop producing petroleum-powered vehicles by 2021 and countries in Europe, including the UK, have vowed to ban their sale before 2040. The National takes a look at the story of one of the most successful technologies of the last 100 years and how it has impacted life in the UAE.
Read part four: an affection for classic cars lives on
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MATCH INFO
France 3
Umtiti (8'), Griezmann (29' pen), Dembele (63')
Italy 1
Bonucci (36')
BMW M5 specs
Engine: 4.4-litre twin-turbo V-8 petrol enging with additional electric motor
Power: 727hp
Torque: 1,000Nm
Transmission: 8-speed auto
Fuel consumption: 10.6L/100km
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Skewed figures
In the village of Mevagissey in southwest England the housing stock has doubled in the last century while the number of residents is half the historic high. The village's Neighbourhood Development Plan states that 26% of homes are holiday retreats. Prices are high, averaging around £300,000, £50,000 more than the Cornish average of £250,000. The local average wage is £15,458.
The five pillars of Islam
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Mohammed bin Zayed Majlis
Coming 2 America
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3/5 stars
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Rating: 4/5
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Why seagrass matters
- Carbon sink: Seagrass sequesters carbon up to 35X faster than tropical rainforests
- Marine nursery: Crucial habitat for juvenile fish, crustations, and invertebrates
- Biodiversity: Support species like sea turtles, dugongs, and seabirds
- Coastal protection: Reduce erosion and improve water quality
THE SPECS
Engine: 6.75-litre twin-turbocharged V12 petrol engine
Power: 420kW
Torque: 780Nm
Transmission: 8-speed automatic
Price: From Dh1,350,000
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GAC GS8 Specs
Engine: 2.0-litre 4cyl turbo
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Torque: 400Nm at 1,750-4,000rpm
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The specs
Engine: Dual 180kW and 300kW front and rear motors
Power: 480kW
Torque: 850Nm
Transmission: Single-speed automatic
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At a glance
Global events: Much of the UK’s economic woes were blamed on “increased global uncertainty”, which can be interpreted as the economic impact of the Ukraine war and the uncertainty over Donald Trump’s tariffs.
Growth forecasts: Cut for 2025 from 2 per cent to 1 per cent. The OBR watchdog also estimated inflation will average 3.2 per cent this year
Welfare: Universal credit health element cut by 50 per cent and frozen for new claimants, building on cuts to the disability and incapacity bill set out earlier this month
Spending cuts: Overall day-to day-spending across government cut by £6.1bn in 2029-30
Tax evasion: Steps to crack down on tax evasion to raise “£6.5bn per year” for the public purse
Defence: New high-tech weaponry, upgrading HM Naval Base in Portsmouth
Housing: Housebuilding to reach its highest in 40 years, with planning reforms helping generate an extra £3.4bn for public finances
Who has been sanctioned?
Daniella Weiss and Nachala
Described as 'the grandmother of the settler movement', she has encouraged the expansion of settlements for decades. The 79 year old leads radical settler movement Nachala, whose aim is for Israel to annex Gaza and the occupied West Bank, where it helps settlers built outposts.
Harel Libi & Libi Construction and Infrastructure
Libi has been involved in threatening and perpetuating acts of aggression and violence against Palestinians. His firm has provided logistical and financial support for the establishment of illegal outposts.
Zohar Sabah
Runs a settler outpost named Zohar’s Farm and has previously faced charges of violence against Palestinians. He was indicted by Israel’s State Attorney’s Office in September for allegedly participating in a violent attack against Palestinians and activists in the West Bank village of Muarrajat.
Coco’s Farm and Neria’s Farm
These are illegal outposts in the West Bank, which are at the vanguard of the settler movement. According to the UK, they are associated with people who have been involved in enabling, inciting, promoting or providing support for activities that amount to “serious abuse”.
The major Hashd factions linked to Iran:
Badr Organisation: Seen as the most militarily capable faction in the Hashd. Iraqi Shiite exiles opposed to Saddam Hussein set up the group in Tehran in the early 1980s as the Badr Corps under the supervision of the Iran Revolutionary Guards Corps (IRGC). The militia exalts Iran’s Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei but intermittently cooperated with the US military.
Saraya Al Salam (Peace Brigade): Comprised of former members of the officially defunct Mahdi Army, a militia that was commanded by Iraqi cleric Moqtada Al Sadr and fought US and Iraqi government and other forces between 2004 and 2008. As part of a political overhaul aimed as casting Mr Al Sadr as a more nationalist and less sectarian figure, the cleric formed Saraya Al Salam in 2014. The group’s relations with Iran has been volatile.
Kataeb Hezbollah: The group, which is fighting on behalf of the Bashar Al Assad government in Syria, traces its origins to attacks on US forces in Iraq in 2004 and adopts a tough stance against Washington, calling the United States “the enemy of humanity”.
Asaeb Ahl Al Haq: An offshoot of the Mahdi Army active in Syria. Asaeb Ahl Al Haq’s leader Qais al Khazali was a student of Mr Al Moqtada’s late father Mohammed Sadeq Al Sadr, a prominent Shiite cleric who was killed during Saddam Hussein’s rule.
Harakat Hezbollah Al Nujaba: Formed in 2013 to fight alongside Mr Al Assad’s loyalists in Syria before joining the Hashd. The group is seen as among the most ideological and sectarian-driven Hashd militias in Syria and is the major recruiter of foreign fighters to Syria.
Saraya Al Khorasani: The ICRG formed Saraya Al Khorasani in the mid-1990s and the group is seen as the most ideologically attached to Iran among Tehran’s satellites in Iraq.
(Source: The Wilson Centre, the International Centre for the Study of Radicalisation)
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Engine: 51.5kW electric motor
Range: 400km
Power: 134bhp
Torque: 175Nm
Price: From Dh98,800
Available: Now
The five pillars of Islam