Economics at G20 must come before politics


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There will no doubt be plenty of politics on the agenda at this week's meeting of the G20. The escalating crisis in Syria, the situation in Egypt, what happens in the row between Russia and the United States over the whistle-blower Edward Snowden: all of these will be discussed in the coming days.

But the main topic will be the global economy. The G20 was formed during the biggest financial crisis of the modern era, creating a forum for large economies to talk to each other. The 20 nations that make up the summit together account for over 80 per cent of total global economic output and the financial crisis hit them hard.

Half a decade on, the United Kingdom and the US appear to be returning to modest growth. The European Union has avoided, for now, the need to further bail-out the economies of its members. China continues to grow, but its banks were not as exposed to the crisis as western banks were.

Banking reform remains at the top of the G20's thoughts this week. The 2008 financial crisis began when Lehman Brothers collapsed. The impact on the global markets of such a collapse spooked politicians, to the point where they concluded that other banks of equivalent or greater size than Lehman could not be allowed to collapse. They had become "too big to fail", with leaders reasoning that allowing them to go under risked taking the entire global system with it. The result was the shoring up and even part nationalisation of banks in Europe and North America.

Since then, the G20 has sought to find ways to reduce the chance that such a crisis could occur again. The difficulty with banking regulation is that banks operate across national borders, so regulation needs to be coordinated, or banks will simply operate from the most favourable banking environments.

The banking system needs transparency and trust. So far, the G20 has agreed that big, international banks should hold more capital than purely national banks, so that they will not become over-leveraged. But there needs to be clarity over how banks that are headquartered in one country but operate in others - like so many international banks in the UAE - will deal with another crisis.

It will not be easy to find agreement on such regulation, but it is vital. Five years on, the effects of the crisis still cause real harm to real people, affecting economic growth, wages and house prices. An agreement by the G20 is important. But politics might yet stand in the way of economic reform.

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Ten tax points to be aware of in 2026

1. Domestic VAT refund amendments: request your refund within five years

If a business does not apply for the refund on time, they lose their credit.

2. E-invoicing in the UAE

Businesses should continue preparing for the implementation of e-invoicing in the UAE, with 2026 a preparation and transition period ahead of phased mandatory adoption. 

3. More tax audits

Tax authorities are increasingly using data already available across multiple filings to identify audit risks. 

4. More beneficial VAT and excise tax penalty regime

Tax disputes are expected to become more frequent and more structured, with clearer administrative objection and appeal processes. The UAE has adopted a new penalty regime for VAT and excise disputes, which now mirrors the penalty regime for corporate tax.

5. Greater emphasis on statutory audit

There is a greater need for the accuracy of financial statements. The International Financial Reporting Standards standards need to be strictly adhered to and, as a result, the quality of the audits will need to increase.

6. Further transfer pricing enforcement

Transfer pricing enforcement, which refers to the practice of establishing prices for internal transactions between related entities, is expected to broaden in scope. The UAE will shortly open the possibility to negotiate advance pricing agreements, or essentially rulings for transfer pricing purposes. 

7. Limited time periods for audits

Recent amendments also introduce a default five-year limitation period for tax audits and assessments, subject to specific statutory exceptions. While the standard audit and assessment period is five years, this may be extended to up to 15 years in cases involving fraud or tax evasion. 

8. Pillar 2 implementation 

Many multinational groups will begin to feel the practical effect of the Domestic Minimum Top-Up Tax (DMTT), the UAE's implementation of the OECD’s global minimum tax under Pillar 2. While the rules apply for financial years starting on or after January 1, 2025, it is 2026 that marks the transition to an operational phase.

9. Reduced compliance obligations for imported goods and services

Businesses that apply the reverse-charge mechanism for VAT purposes in the UAE may benefit from reduced compliance obligations. 

10. Substance and CbC reporting focus

Tax authorities are expected to continue strengthening the enforcement of economic substance and Country-by-Country (CbC) reporting frameworks. In the UAE, these regimes are increasingly being used as risk-assessment tools, providing tax authorities with a comprehensive view of multinational groups’ global footprints and enabling them to assess whether profits are aligned with real economic activity. 

Contributed by Thomas Vanhee and Hend Rashwan, Aurifer

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