Currency crisis is a self-inflicted injury for Iran


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Iran's economy has been squeezed by various sanctions for over three decades. But this week, western measures designed to pressure the country over its nuclear programme bit hard as the currency went into free fall. Tehran, predictably, bit back.

"Enemies", said President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, are behind the collapse of the rial, which has lost nearly a third of its value against the dollar. The economic malaise is the work of "individuals and ringleaders", he added. "Security institutions must act."

Mr Ahmadinejad's bluster aside, he is partially correct. The pain felt in Iran's economy - including inflation that is hitting ordinary Iranians - is being orchestrated by outside powers. Unless Iran drops the obfuscation regarding its nuclear programme (which only Tehran seems to believe is purely peaceful), there is little sign the United States and its allies will ease sanctions.

But what Mr Ahmadinejad says is of progressively little consequence. Even before he was a lame duck president - this is his last year in office - nuclear policy was set by Ayatollah Ali Khamenei and other ruling clerics. Negotiations have consistently failed, so the departure of an antagonistic president will probably solve little. As the International Atomic Energy Agency reported last week, Tehran still bars access to Parchin, where Iranian scientists are suspected of working on nuclear weapons.

The nuclear programme may be the proximate cause of sanctions, but Tehran is playing a dangerous game across the board. Its military role in Syria is another gamble to maintain influence in the region, but it further raises the stakes in already contentious relations with its neighbours.

There have been glimmers of hope for renewed talks recently. In New York on Monday, Iran's foreign minister, Ali Akbar Salehi, denied that Iran had "chosen to go nuclear, in the sense of weaponisation" because doing so "would attract more threat". No rational country, he said, would challenge the US on this issue. It may be true that Tehran has not decided to build a nuclear weapon, but the evidence is overwhelming that it seeks "break out" capability, which would allow it to quickly build a weapon if it chose.

All the more reason to reopen channels of negotiation. Reports that Israel will endorse another round of sanctions, rather than pursue immediate military action, gives a window of opportunity for meaningful talks.

The alternative is self-inflicted isolation. Iran need only look to North Korea to see what becomes of a hermit nation that chooses its nuclear programme over its people's welfare.

Awar Qalb

Director: Jamal Salem

Starring: Abdulla Zaid, Joma Ali, Neven Madi and Khadija Sleiman

Two stars

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Ten tax points to be aware of in 2026

1. Domestic VAT refund amendments: request your refund within five years

If a business does not apply for the refund on time, they lose their credit.

2. E-invoicing in the UAE

Businesses should continue preparing for the implementation of e-invoicing in the UAE, with 2026 a preparation and transition period ahead of phased mandatory adoption. 

3. More tax audits

Tax authorities are increasingly using data already available across multiple filings to identify audit risks. 

4. More beneficial VAT and excise tax penalty regime

Tax disputes are expected to become more frequent and more structured, with clearer administrative objection and appeal processes. The UAE has adopted a new penalty regime for VAT and excise disputes, which now mirrors the penalty regime for corporate tax.

5. Greater emphasis on statutory audit

There is a greater need for the accuracy of financial statements. The International Financial Reporting Standards standards need to be strictly adhered to and, as a result, the quality of the audits will need to increase.

6. Further transfer pricing enforcement

Transfer pricing enforcement, which refers to the practice of establishing prices for internal transactions between related entities, is expected to broaden in scope. The UAE will shortly open the possibility to negotiate advance pricing agreements, or essentially rulings for transfer pricing purposes. 

7. Limited time periods for audits

Recent amendments also introduce a default five-year limitation period for tax audits and assessments, subject to specific statutory exceptions. While the standard audit and assessment period is five years, this may be extended to up to 15 years in cases involving fraud or tax evasion. 

8. Pillar 2 implementation 

Many multinational groups will begin to feel the practical effect of the Domestic Minimum Top-Up Tax (DMTT), the UAE's implementation of the OECD’s global minimum tax under Pillar 2. While the rules apply for financial years starting on or after January 1, 2025, it is 2026 that marks the transition to an operational phase.

9. Reduced compliance obligations for imported goods and services

Businesses that apply the reverse-charge mechanism for VAT purposes in the UAE may benefit from reduced compliance obligations. 

10. Substance and CbC reporting focus

Tax authorities are expected to continue strengthening the enforcement of economic substance and Country-by-Country (CbC) reporting frameworks. In the UAE, these regimes are increasingly being used as risk-assessment tools, providing tax authorities with a comprehensive view of multinational groups’ global footprints and enabling them to assess whether profits are aligned with real economic activity. 

Contributed by Thomas Vanhee and Hend Rashwan, Aurifer

Timeline

2012-2015

The company offers payments/bribes to win key contracts in the Middle East

May 2017

The UK SFO officially opens investigation into Petrofac’s use of agents, corruption, and potential bribery to secure contracts

September 2021

Petrofac pleads guilty to seven counts of failing to prevent bribery under the UK Bribery Act

October 2021

Court fines Petrofac £77 million for bribery. Former executive receives a two-year suspended sentence 

December 2024

Petrofac enters into comprehensive restructuring to strengthen the financial position of the group

May 2025

The High Court of England and Wales approves the company’s restructuring plan

July 2025

The Court of Appeal issues a judgment challenging parts of the restructuring plan

August 2025

Petrofac issues a business update to execute the restructuring and confirms it will appeal the Court of Appeal decision

October 2025

Petrofac loses a major TenneT offshore wind contract worth €13 billion. Holding company files for administration in the UK. Petrofac delisted from the London Stock Exchange

November 2025

180 Petrofac employees laid off in the UAE

EA Sports FC 26

Publisher: EA Sports

Consoles: PC, PlayStation 4/5, Xbox Series X/S

Rating: 3/5

Rashid & Rajab

Director: Mohammed Saeed Harib

Stars: Shadi Alfons,  Marwan Abdullah, Doaa Mostafa Ragab 

Two stars out of five 

NYBL PROFILE

Company name: Nybl 

Date started: November 2018

Founder: Noor Alnahhas, Michael LeTan, Hafsa Yazdni, Sufyaan Abdul Haseeb, Waleed Rifaat, Mohammed Shono

Based: Dubai, UAE

Sector: Software Technology / Artificial Intelligence

Initial investment: $500,000

Funding round: Series B (raising $5m)

Partners/Incubators: Dubai Future Accelerators Cohort 4, Dubai Future Accelerators Cohort 6, AI Venture Labs Cohort 1, Microsoft Scale-up 

It Was Just an Accident

Director: Jafar Panahi

Stars: Vahid Mobasseri, Mariam Afshari, Ebrahim Azizi, Hadis Pakbaten, Majid Panahi, Mohamad Ali Elyasmehr

Rating: 4/5

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Key facilities
  • Olympic-size swimming pool with a split bulkhead for multi-use configurations, including water polo and 50m/25m training lanes
  • Premier League-standard football pitch
  • 400m Olympic running track
  • NBA-spec basketball court with auditorium
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  • Spaces for historical and cultural exploration
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