Guy Hands told Conservative MPs to focus on the economy rather than party infighting. Bloomberg
Guy Hands told Conservative MPs to focus on the economy rather than party infighting. Bloomberg
Guy Hands told Conservative MPs to focus on the economy rather than party infighting. Bloomberg
Guy Hands told Conservative MPs to focus on the economy rather than party infighting. Bloomberg

Guy Hands: 'Sick man' Britain heading for IMF bailout


Tim Stickings
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Britain's economy is in such dire straits that it could find itself seeking a bailout from the International Monetary Fund, a leading investor has said.

Guy Hands said the UK's economic problems went deeper than the chaos unleashed by last month's botched mini-budget.

He said the downfall of Prime Minister Liz Truss marked the failure of the dream pursued by some Brexiteers of making Britain a low-tax, Singapore-style economy.

“Truss, to be fair to her, tried it. It clearly isn’t something that’s acceptable to the British people,” Mr Hands told BBC Radio 4's Today programme.

“Once you accept that you can’t actually do that, then the Brexit that was done is completely hopeless and will only drive Britain into a disastrous economic state.”

The UK economy would be “frankly doomed” unless the next prime minister rethinks Britain's relationship with the European Union, he said.

Asked what a worsening economy would mean for people, he said: “Steadily increasing taxes, steadily reducing benefits and social services, higher interest rates, and eventually the need for a bailout from the IMF like we were in the 1970s.”

Britain received a $4 billion loan from the IMF in 1976, amid economic storms that paved the way for Conservative icon Margaret Thatcher to come to power three years later.

Mr Hands, the founder of private equity company Terra Firma and a friend of former Tory leader William Hague since their days in student politics, evoked a catchphrase from the 1970s by saying Britain was becoming the “sick man of Europe”.

The Conservative Party “should now move on from fighting its own internal wars and focus on what needs to be done in the economy”, he said.

The race to succeed Ms Truss was moving towards a conclusion on Monday after former prime minister Boris Johnson called off his comeback bid.

Former chancellor Rishi Sunak is the overwhelming favourite to become the next leader, with cabinet minister Penny Mordaunt far behind in endorsements from MPs.

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Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.

Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.

Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.

“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.

Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.

From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.

Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.

BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.

Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.

Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.

“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.

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“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”

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What is a robo-adviser?

Robo-advisers use an online sign-up process to gauge an investor’s risk tolerance by feeding information such as their age, income, saving goals and investment history into an algorithm, which then assigns them an investment portfolio, ranging from more conservative to higher risk ones.

These portfolios are made up of exchange traded funds (ETFs) with exposure to indices such as US and global equities, fixed-income products like bonds, though exposure to real estate, commodity ETFs or gold is also possible.

Investing in ETFs allows robo-advisers to offer fees far lower than traditional investments, such as actively managed mutual funds bought through a bank or broker. Investors can buy ETFs directly via a brokerage, but with robo-advisers they benefit from investment portfolios matched to their risk tolerance as well as being user friendly.

Many robo-advisers charge what are called wrap fees, meaning there are no additional fees such as subscription or withdrawal fees, success fees or fees for rebalancing.

Updated: October 24, 2022, 7:50 AM