Lebanon's Minister of Justice Marie-Claude Najm in Beirut on January 22, 2020. AFP
Lebanon's Minister of Justice Marie-Claude Najm in Beirut on January 22, 2020. AFP
Lebanon's Minister of Justice Marie-Claude Najm in Beirut on January 22, 2020. AFP
Lebanon's Minister of Justice Marie-Claude Najm in Beirut on January 22, 2020. AFP

Lebanon’s central bank is not ‘above all control’, says caretaker justice minister


Sunniva Rose
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Lebanon’s central bank is not “above all supervision and all control” warned caretaker justice minister Marie-Claude Najm on Thursday after weeks of a power struggle between the bank and the country’s caretaker government.

The government wants to push ahead with a crucial audit to uncover the reasons for the country’s financial collapse, but the central bank argues that it would violate Lebanon's 1956 banking secrecy law should it fully cooperate with the audit.

"To argue that information cannot be delivered because of banking secrecy laws means that the state does not have the possibility to know the figures of its own central bank," Mrs Najm told The National by phone.

On August 31, Lebanon’s Finance Ministry commissioned three international consultancy firms to audit the Banque du Liban (BDL), nearly one year after banks implemented stringent capital controls and suspended transactions abroad.

But BDL only transferred 42 per cent of the documents requested by Alvarez & Marsal, the firm contracted to carry out the forensic audit, rendering its work impossible.

On November 5, the government, which argues that it's accounts at the BDL are not subject to banking secrecy, gave the BDL a 3 month-extension to hand over the documents.

The grace period is a “little long,” said Mrs Najm, but not unheard of in the case of forensic audits.

The audit of the central bank was one of the key reforms demanded by France, which has led an international effort to help salvage Lebanon’s economy, in exchange for a financial aid package. All political parties say they support France’s demands for reforms but have yet to implement them.

The International Monetary Fund estimated the BDL’s accumulated losses at $49 billion, the Financial Times reported in June this year. The central bank argues that its losses are lower but does not publish profits and loss accounts.

One solution to the forensic audit dispute would be for Parliament to amend Lebanon's banking secrecy law.

“All political blocks say that they are with France’s initiative,” said Mrs Najm, a lawyer by training and former professor of law at Université Saint Joseph in Beirut. “If MPs believe that the law should be changed to exclude banking secrecy from the forensic audit, all they must do is change it. But I persist in saying that this is beside the point.”

Alvarez & Marsal representatives told Lebanese officials during a meeting attended by Mrs Najm that they managed to conduct forensic audits of private Lebanese companies in the past, despite banking secrecy laws, by keeping the names of bank account holders anonymous.

“The ball is in [the BDL’s] court,” said Mrs Najm.

There is little hope of an improvement in Lebanon’s finances via international aid without an audit of the BDL.

Banque du Liban was given three months to deliver key data for a forensic audit after having failed to meet a November 3 deadline. AFP
Banque du Liban was given three months to deliver key data for a forensic audit after having failed to meet a November 3 deadline. AFP

The economic crisis, which began in the summer of 2019 with a shortage of US dollars and has been exacerbated by the coronavirus pandemic, has pushed over half the Lebanese into poverty. The IMF projects that the economy will contract by 25 per cent in 2020.

In addition to its financial woes, Lebanon’s capital Beirut was devastated by the explosion of 2,750 tonnes of ammonium nitrate on August 4, killing 204 people. Over three months later, the investigation has yet to pinpoint responsibilities in what is widely viewed as an accident caused by state negligence.

Mrs Najm said that investigative judge Fadi Sawan had told her that one of the reasons for the delay is that Lebanon is waiting for technical reports from France, which is co-operating in the investigation. The French embassy in Beirut said it could not comment an ongoing investigation.

Mrs Najm declined to give a deadline for the investigation. “Political authorities cannot ask the judiciary to work within a specific amount of time. What we can say is that we want it to go as fast as possible,” she said.

Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.

Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.

Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.

“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.

Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.

From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.

Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.

BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.

Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.

Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.

“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.

“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.

“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”

The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”