Beijing sharply increases defence budget


Daniel Bardsley
  • English
  • Arabic

BEIJING // China has signalled a return to double-digit defence spending increases, announcing yesterday its military budget will grow 12.7 per cent in 2011.

This year's rise contrasts sharply with the spending rise for 2010 of just 7.5 per cent, the lowest figure for two decades.

Analysts said this year's increase of 67.6 billion yuan (Dh37.8bn), bringing the total defence budget to 601bn yuan, would partly be eaten up by higher salaries.

However, China is often seen as becoming increasingly assertive in the Asia Pacific as double-digit economic growth allows it to expand and modernise its military.

Beijing picked a fight with Tokyo last year over disputed islands in the East China Sea, and also criticised joint US-South Korean naval exercises in the region.

The country is pressing ahead with its first aircraft carrier, which could take to the waters this year. Its new-generation J-20 stealth fighter took its first test flight in January while the United States defence secretary, Robert Gates, was visiting China.

"This [year's defence increase] is the normal rate of growth in defence expenditure in China," said Joseph Cheng, a professor of political science at City University of Hong Kong.

"Last year was the exception, probably because of the financial tsunami and the money had to be spent on the domestic economic stimulus package."

As China aims for a modern defence force that relies on technology rather than simple manpower, it must increase wages for military officers to improve retention, Dr Cheng said.

He suggested this would account for some of the budget rise, although he acknowledged projects such as the aircraft carrier would increase the "threat perception" among neighbours.

Previous estimates from the US Pentagon have suggested China's actual military spending could be nearly twice the announced figure, with some research and development programmes, for example, categorised separately.

However, Beijing's spending remains a fraction of the Pentagon's budget of $553bn.

Speaking in Beijing earlier this week, the defence analyst Jonathan Holslag, a research fellow at the Institute of Contemporary China Studies at Vrije University, Brussels, said China was particularly expanding its naval capability to counter "a consolidation of American naval presence" in the Asia Pacific.

The Chinese military, he said, "appeals to nationalism" to secure spending increases. Many of China's neighbours, including India, are also posting heavy defence spending rises, something commentators have attributed to concerns over China's growing firepower.

Abu Dhabi GP schedule

Friday: First practice - 1pm; Second practice - 5pm

Saturday: Final practice - 2pm; Qualifying - 5pm

Sunday: Etihad Airways Abu Dhabi Grand Prix (55 laps) - 5.10pm

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TEAMS

EUROPE:
Justin Rose, Francesco Molinari, Tyrrell Hatton, Tommy Fleetwood, Jon Rahm, Rory McIlroy, Alex Noren, Thorbjorn Olesen, Paul Casey, Sergio Garcia, Ian Poulter, Henrik Stenson

USA:
Brooks Koepka, Justin Thomas, Dustin Johnson, Patrick Reed, Bubba Watson, Jordan Spieth,​​​​​​​ Rickie Fowler, Webb Simpson, Tiger Woods, Phil Mickelson, Bryson DeChambeau ( 1 TBC)

STAGE 4 RESULTS

1 Sam Bennett (IRL) Deceuninck-QuickStep - 4:51:51

2 David Dekker (NED) Team Jumbo-Visma

3 Caleb Ewan (AUS) Lotto Soudal 

4 Elia Viviani (ITA) Cofidis

5 Matteo Moschetti (ITA) Trek-Segafredo

General Classification

1 Tadej Pogacar (SLO) UAE Team Emirates - 12:50:21

2 Adam Yates (GBR) Teamn Ineos Grenadiers - 0:00:43

3 Joao Almeida (POR) Deceuninck-QuickStep - 0:01:03

4 Chris Harper (AUS) Jumbo-Visma - 0:01:43

5 Neilson Powless (USA) EF Education-Nippo - 0:01:45

THE BIO

Ms Al Ameri likes the variety of her job, and the daily environmental challenges she is presented with.

Regular contact with wildlife is the most appealing part of her role at the Environment Agency Abu Dhabi.

She loves to explore new destinations and lives by her motto of being a voice in the world, and not an echo.

She is the youngest of three children, and has a brother and sister.

Her favourite book, Moby Dick by Herman Melville helped inspire her towards a career exploring  the natural world.

Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.

Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.

Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.

“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.

Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.

From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.

Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.

BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.

Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.

Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.

“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.

“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.

“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”

The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”

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