Ugandan election: musician Bobi Wine challenges Museveni's 35-year rule

The nation's history of political transition has rarely been peaceful

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  Opposition candidate, Bobi Wine and wife Barbara Itungo Kyagulanyi laugh during the Ugandan presidential elections in Kampala, Uganda. Getty Images

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  Opposition candidate, Bobi Wine casts his vote. Getty Images

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  Opposition candidate, Bobi Wine clenches his fist after voting. Getty Images

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  People gather during the presidential elections in Kampala, Uganda. Reuters

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  Voters queue to cast their ballots in the presidential elections outside a voting center in Kampala, Uganda. Reuters

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  Ugandan police officers sit on a truck at a polling station in Magere. AFP

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  Bobi Wine holds his wife's Barbara Itungo Kyagulanyi hand, as well as his voter ID at a polling station in Magere, Uganda. AFP

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  Bobi Wine gestures as he leaves after casting his pictures at a polling station in Magere, Uganda. AFP

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  Voters queue to vote at a polling station in Magere, Uganda. AFP

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  Security forces stand outside a polling station in Kampala, Uganda. AP Photo

Ugandans were voting on Thursday in a presidential election tainted by widespread violence that some fear could escalate as the security forces try to stop supporters of leading opposition challenger Bobi Wine from monitoring polling stations.

This is a watershed election to shape, determine and install a Museveni successor

Long lines of voters snaked into the distance in the capital, Kampala. “This is a miracle,” mechanic Steven Kaderere said. “This shows me that Ugandans this time are determined to vote for the leader they want. I have never seen this before.”

But there were delays in the delivery of polling materials to some places, including where Wine – whose real name is Robert Kyagulanyi Ssentamu – was to planning vote.

Results are expected within 48 hours of polls closing. More than 17 million people are registered voters in this East African country of 45 million people. A candidate must win more than 50 per cent to avoid a run-off vote.

President Yoweri Museveni, an authoritarian who has wielded power since 1986, seeks a sixth term against a strong challenge from Wine, a popular singer-turned-opposition politician. Nine other challengers are trying to unseat Mr Museveni.

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  Musician turned politician Robert Kyagulanyi, aka Bobi Wine, also a presidential candidate in the upcoming elections, speaks during a press conference in Kampala, Uganda, on January 12, 2021. AFP

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  Ugandan presidential candidate Bobi Wine, right, poses for a photograph with other opposition leaders Patrick Oboi Amuriat, centre, and Mugisha Muntu during a press conference in Kampala on January 12, 2021. EPA

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  Supporters cheer Bobi Wine as he departs from his last church service ahead of the presidential elections at Namungoona Orthodox Church in Kampala on January 10, 2021. EPA

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  Bobi Wine addresses the media at his home in Wakiso, Uganda, on January 8, 2021 to announce his plans to take President Yoweri Museveni to the International Court Commission, accusing him of crimes against humanity over the past few months. AFP

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  Bobi Wine speaks during an interview with Reuters at his home in Magere, Wakiso district on the outskirts of Kampala, January 3, 2021. Reuters

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  Bobi Wine is escorted by policemen during his arrest in Kalangala in central Uganda on December 30, 2020. Reuters

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  Bobi Wine campaigns near Kampala, Uganda, November 30, 2020. Reuters

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  Bobi Wine reacts from inside a police van, in Luuka district, eastern Uganda on November 18, 2020. Reuters

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  Bobi Wine attends the First Annual "Time 100 Next" gala in New York City, USA, November 14, 2019. Reuters

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  Bobi Wine greets his followers as he arrives home after being released from prison, in Kampala on May 2, 2019. AP Photo

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  Bobi Wine, center, arrives at a magistrate's court in Gulu, northern Uganda, August 23, 2018. AP Photo

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  Elections billboards for Uganda's President Yoweri Museveni and Bobi Wine are seen on a street in Kampala. Reuters

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  An electoral campaign poster of Bobi Wine is seen on a street ahead of the presidential and parliamentary elections, in Kampala. Reuters

Wine has seen many associates jailed or go into hiding as the security forces crack down on opposition supporters they fear could mount a street uprising, leading to regime change. Wine insists he is running a nonviolent campaign.

His National Unity Platform said Wine does not believe the election is free and fair. He has urged his supporters to stay near polling stations to protect their votes. But Uganda's electoral commission, which the opposition regards as weak, said voters must return home after casting their ballots.

Voters queue at a polling station in Kampala, Uganda, on January 14, 2021. AFP

Internet access was cut on Wednesday night. "No matter what they do, the world is watching," Wine tweeted.

“This election has already been rigged,” another opposition candidate, Patrick Oboi Amuriat, told local broadcaster NTV as polls opened. "We will not accept the outcome of this election," he said.

The government's decision this week to shut access to social media in retaliation for Facebook's removal of Museveni-linked accounts accused of inauthentic behaviour was meant "to limit the eyes on the election and, therefore, hide something", said Crispin Kaheru, an independent election observer.

Mr Museveni’s support has traditionally been concentrated in rural areas where many credit him with restoring a sense of peace and security that was lost during the regimes of previous dictators, including Idi Amin.

The security forces have a heavy presence in the area that encompasses Kampala, where the opposition has strong support partly because of high unemployment, even among college graduates.

"Museveni is putting all the deployments in urban areas where the opposition has an advantage," said Gerald Bareebe, of the University of Toronto. "If you ask many Ugandans now, they say 'the ballot paper is not worth my life'."

Some young people said they would vote despite the apparent risks.

“This government has ruled us badly. They have really squeezed us,” said Allan Sserwadda, a car washer. “They have ruled us for years and they say they have ideas. But they are not the only ones who have ideas.”

President Yoweri Museveni, centre, has ruled Uganda for decades. EPA

Asked if the heavy military presence fazed him, he smiled and said: “If we are to die, let us die. Now there is no difference between being alive and being dead. Bullets can find you anywhere. They can find you at home. They can find you on the veranda.”

At least 54 people were killed in Uganda in November when the security forces put down riots provoked by the arrest of Wine for allegedly breaking campaign regulations aimed at preventing the spread of the coronavirus.

Mr Museveni, 76, who decades ago criticised African leaders for not relinquishing power, now seeks more time in office after MPs jettisoned the last constitutional obstacle – age limits – on a possible life presidency.

“I grew up when he was president. Even my children have been born when he is president,” taxi driver Mark Wasswa said as voting began. “We also want to see another person now.”

The rise of Wine as a national leader without ties to the regime has raised the stakes within the ruling National Resistance Movement party.

Ugandan troops patrol the streets on January 14, 2021 in Kampala. Observers fear violence as the security forces try to stop supporters of opposition challenger Bobi Wine from monitoring polling stations. Getty

"(Ruling) party members and supporters ought to know that this is a watershed election to shape, determine and install a Museveni successor," government spokesman Ofwono Opondo recently wrote in the Sunday Vision newspaper.

The African Union and East African bloc have sent election observer missions but the EU said “an offer to deploy a small team of electoral experts was not taken up".

The EU, UN and others have warned Uganda’s security forces against using excessive force.

Ugandan elections are often marred by allegations of fraud and alleged abuses by the security forces. The country has yet to witness a peaceful handover of power since independence from Britain in 1962.