TRIPOLI // It was a clear winter evening in the Libyan capital, and in an upmarket coffee shop near the waterfront, a birthday party was underway.
A dozen guests - Libyan, British, Filipino - were dividing a chocolate cake at Caffè Casa and wishing happy birthday in various languages to a Libyan named Mohamed.
"A few weeks ago, most of us didn't know one another," said Rodwan al Ejlase, 21, a Libyan student who organised the party. "But we all go to this café, and now we're friends."
The scene embodied Libyan hopes for prosperity at home and friendships abroad as the country emerges from years of isolation. But while economic opening has raised living standards, slow-moving bureaucracy and political vagaries still hamper development.
A half-century ago, the country that the Roman poet Horace called "the arid nurse of lions" became a playground for foreign oil companies under the pro-western King Idris. In 1969, the king was toppled by Libya's current leader, Moammar Qadafi, then an army captain, who erected a system of committees with himself as "brother leader and guide of the revolution".
Out went foreign firms and in came a state-led economy. Meanwhile, Libyan backing for militant groups ultimately brought international sanctions.
In 1999, Libya surrendered suspects in the 1988 Lockerbie bombing, starting rapprochement with the West that saw all sanctions lifted by 2004. The same year, private enterprise was formally reinstated.
"You could feel the country opening up," Mr al Ejlase recalled. Inspired by an artist sister, he now studies internet design at Tripoli's Al Fateh University and works part-time for a state building company.
The birthday party progressed raucously; someone smeared chocolate frosting on Mohamed's nose as a joke. In the background, an Egyptian waiter named Amr was collecting empty coffee mugs.
One of tens of thousands of immigrants who increasingly do Libya's menial jobs, Amr, 30, makes 550 Libyan dinars (Dh1,600) a month, sending around a quarter to his widowed mother in Cairo.
"There's money to be made in Libya, especially in anything related to tourism," he said.
A trickle of foreign visitors are discovering Libya, while Libyans themselves are rediscovering leisure after years of austerity.
Libya's private sector, however, remains dwarfed by state companies and the state-controlled oil sector.
The government wants to boost private enterprise and considers the country a potential commercial hub, said Rajab Khalil, assistant chairman of Libya's official privatisation and investment board. "We're in a prime position to play middle-man between Europe and Africa."
The government has recently streamlined regulations and opened one-stop-shop business licensing offices in Tripoli and Benghazi, Libya's largest cities.
While such innovations have helped, public offices that provide many of Libya's work contracts remain crippled by too few staff and too much corruption, said Jamal Abeida, a private management consultant based in Benghazi.
Libyan authorities recently froze spending on major projects to assess where the money was going. Mr Abeida said that private sector leaders should play a greater role in crafting development policy.
For now, Libya lacks a clear growth strategy, said John Hamilton, a Libya expert at Cross-Border Information, a British risk analysis firm.
One example is recent state funding for hotel and airport projects, Mr Hamilton said, noting Libya's strict visa requirements. "Who will fly into these airports? Who will stay in these hotels?"
A few hundred yards from hotel complexes on Tripoli's waterfront, street vendors lay out their goods among potholes and crumbling buildings.
Jackhammers echo from above as workmen shorten tower blocks whose owners exceeded height regulations, according to local residents.
"Maybe next year this street will be beautiful," said Fadel, a taxi driver taking a break between fares. "Things are moving, but it's step-by-step."
That stop-and-go progress is mirrored in Libya's oil sector. While some foreign firms are exploring Libya, stringent contracts and failure to make discoveries are prompting others to leave.
The economy is also subject to diplomatic turmoil, such as a row this year with Switzerland that spiralled into a two-month visa ban for nationals of 25 European countries.
"Without rule of law, independent judiciary, developed media and separation of powers, you cannot realise other objectives," said Youssef Sawani, the director of the Gaddafi International Charity and Development Foundation, a non-profit organisation that was set up by Mr Qadafi's reform-minded son, Saif al Islam.
An annual report last week by the foundation accused Libya's government of meddling - sometimes illegally - with trade unions and professional associations, and called for new laws allowing more media freedom.
While a 2008 initiative by Saif al Islam Qadafi to draft a constitution has yet to bear fruit, Mr Sawani said that the government has adopted new business and labour regulations proposed by the Gaddafi Foundation.
At Caffè Casa, Mr al Ejlase was mulling his prospects of building a career after graduation.
"I think I have a pretty good chance, but I don't really know what to expect," he said. "Everything depends."
jthorne@thenational.ae
Who's who in Yemen conflict
Houthis: Iran-backed rebels who occupy Sanaa and run unrecognised government
Yemeni government: Exiled government in Aden led by eight-member Presidential Leadership Council
Southern Transitional Council: Faction in Yemeni government that seeks autonomy for the south
Habrish 'rebels': Tribal-backed forces feuding with STC over control of oil in government territory
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How it works
A $10 hand-powered LED light and battery bank
Device is operated by hand cranking it at any time during the day or night
The charge is stored inside a battery
The ratio is that for every minute you crank, it provides 10 minutes light on the brightest mode
A full hand wound charge is of 16.5minutes
This gives 1.1 hours of light on high mode or 2.5 hours of light on low mode
When more light is needed, it can be recharged by winding again
The larger version costs between $18-20 and generates more than 15 hours of light with a 45-minute charge
No limit on how many times you can charge
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Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.
Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.
“Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.
Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.
“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.
Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.
From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.
Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.
BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.
Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.
Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.
“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.
Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.
“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.
“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”
The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”
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Killing of Qassem Suleimani