A customer hands over Egyptian pound banknotes for a purchase at Al Monira food market in the Imbaba district of Giza, Egypt. Bloomberg
A customer hands over Egyptian pound banknotes for a purchase at Al Monira food market in the Imbaba district of Giza, Egypt. Bloomberg
A customer hands over Egyptian pound banknotes for a purchase at Al Monira food market in the Imbaba district of Giza, Egypt. Bloomberg
A customer hands over Egyptian pound banknotes for a purchase at Al Monira food market in the Imbaba district of Giza, Egypt. Bloomberg

Fewer people believe they’ll be better off in five years, survey says


  • English
  • Arabic

Worldwide faith in economic progress has been eroded significantly, with a 20-year survey finding record-low confidence in the next five years.

Only 40 per cent of 32,000 people surveyed by the annual Edelman Trust Barometer said they feel they and their families would be better off in five years, a drop of 10 per cent from the same time last year and the lowest in the survey's history.

The findings come as governments battle to prevent a recession in 2023. Inflation and interest rates are on the rise, increasing the cost of living for the average person and slowing growth. A squeeze blamed on Russia's invasion of Ukraine has sent energy and fuel prices up.

In the UAE and Saudi Arabia, there was a six and nine per cent drop in the number of people feeling optimistic about the next five years respectively, but numbers remain high in general as 72 per cent of UAE respondents and 64 per cent said they would be better off.

The only country reporting an improvement on last year's results was China, where confidence rose 1 per cent from 64 per cent of respondents believing they and their families would be better off in five years.

China recently lifted most Covid-19 measures, an about-face from late last year when many of the country's largest cities were under some form of lockdown. The economy is expected to bounce as the country opens up and travel resumes.

Sweden posted no change at 29 per cent in those expecting to be better off in five years.

The US economy in 2022 - in pictures

  • A shopper visits a Walmart in Rosemead, California. Stock markets were down again on the last trading day of 2022, a year that has been marked by record inflation. AFP
    A shopper visits a Walmart in Rosemead, California. Stock markets were down again on the last trading day of 2022, a year that has been marked by record inflation. AFP
  • A new home in Trappe, Maryland. Sales of new homes in the US rose unexpectedly despite high mortgage rates. AFP
    A new home in Trappe, Maryland. Sales of new homes in the US rose unexpectedly despite high mortgage rates. AFP
  • The US economy expanded 3.2 per cent in the third quarter, the Commerce Department said in December. AFP
    The US economy expanded 3.2 per cent in the third quarter, the Commerce Department said in December. AFP
  • A woman carries shopping bags during the holiday season in New York in a sign of robust consumer spending. Reuters
    A woman carries shopping bags during the holiday season in New York in a sign of robust consumer spending. Reuters
  • President Joe Biden attends an event about infrastructure at the White House in Washington. AP
    President Joe Biden attends an event about infrastructure at the White House in Washington. AP
  • The US Energy Department has announced a plan to add oil back to the Strategic Petroleum Reserve after a historically large release this year. AFP
    The US Energy Department has announced a plan to add oil back to the Strategic Petroleum Reserve after a historically large release this year. AFP
  • A board at the New York Stock Exchange shows a steep decline after another US interest rate increase was announced. AFP
    A board at the New York Stock Exchange shows a steep decline after another US interest rate increase was announced. AFP
  • Surging inflation has eased in recent months, but more evidence is needed to show that prices are coming down, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell said. AFP
    Surging inflation has eased in recent months, but more evidence is needed to show that prices are coming down, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell said. AFP
  • Mr Powell announced moderating the Fed's all-out campaign to cool US inflation in December, lifting the benchmark lending rate by a half percentage point. AFP
    Mr Powell announced moderating the Fed's all-out campaign to cool US inflation in December, lifting the benchmark lending rate by a half percentage point. AFP
  • For the first time ever, the price for a gallon of regular petrol hit more than $5 early in 2022. AP
    For the first time ever, the price for a gallon of regular petrol hit more than $5 early in 2022. AP
  • Mr Biden gives one of many speeches made throughout the year on inflation at the Port of Los Angeles in California. AFP
    Mr Biden gives one of many speeches made throughout the year on inflation at the Port of Los Angeles in California. AFP
  • Pay rates displayed at a Taco Bell fast-food restaurant in Sacramento, after the California minimum wage was increased due to inflation. AP
    Pay rates displayed at a Taco Bell fast-food restaurant in Sacramento, after the California minimum wage was increased due to inflation. AP
  • Petrol prices above $7 per gallon at a Chevron station in central Los Angeles, California, earlier this year. AP
    Petrol prices above $7 per gallon at a Chevron station in central Los Angeles, California, earlier this year. AP
  • The rising cost of clothing, food, petrol and cars hit Americans' pockets, despite historically low unemployment. AFP
    The rising cost of clothing, food, petrol and cars hit Americans' pockets, despite historically low unemployment. AFP
  • Supermarkets across the US struggled to keep shelves stocked because of supply chain issues earlier in 2022. Willy Lowry / The National
    Supermarkets across the US struggled to keep shelves stocked because of supply chain issues earlier in 2022. Willy Lowry / The National
  • Protesters with the Centre for Popular Democracy stage a demonstration in support of employment rights in June 2022. Reuters
    Protesters with the Centre for Popular Democracy stage a demonstration in support of employment rights in June 2022. Reuters
  • Volunteers gather food to hand out at a West Texas Food Bank drive-through to help those struggling with rising prices. Bloomberg
    Volunteers gather food to hand out at a West Texas Food Bank drive-through to help those struggling with rising prices. Bloomberg
  • A hiring poster at a Chipotle fast-food restaurant in Los Angeles, California. US unemployment stands at 3.6 per cent, about 0.1 per cent above a 50-year low in 2019. EPA
    A hiring poster at a Chipotle fast-food restaurant in Los Angeles, California. US unemployment stands at 3.6 per cent, about 0.1 per cent above a 50-year low in 2019. EPA

The Edelman Trust Barometer, run by the PR company since 2000, asked people in 28 countries about their trust in institutions and outlook on the future.

Respondents said their fears for the future revolved around personal issues led by fear of losing employment (89 per cent) and inflation (74 per cent) as well existential issues led by climate change (76 per cent), and food shortages (67 per cent).

People are not alone in having concern for the state of the world. A PwC survey released this week found 73 per cent of 4,410 chief executives in 105 countries expect global economic growth to decline this year.

The Edelman survey also found business was the only institution trusted by the majority of people to “do what is right”, over NGOs, governments, and the media. Sixty-two per cent of people said they trusted business, while only 50 per cent trusted government.

Technology has remained the most trusted sector (75 per cent) followed by education (71 per cent). Social media remained the least trusted at 44 per cent.

“The increased perception of business as ethical brings with it higher than ever expectations of chief executives to be a leading voice on societal issues,” said Richard Edelman, chief executive of Edelman.

“By a six-to-one margin, on average, respondents want more societal involvement by business on issues such as climate change, economic inequality, and workforce reskilling. But business must tread carefully, more than half (52 per cent) of our respondents do not believe business can avoid being politicised when it addresses contentious societal issues.”

While globally people said that the rich and powerful as well as hostile foreign governments were the major causes of division in their country, people agreed that business and NGO leaders were a unifying force.

Teachers, however, stood out as being seen as an overwhelmingly unifying force, with 64 per cent of people saying they bring people together as opposed to 20 per cent saying they pull people apart.

Updated: January 18, 2023, 7:18 PM