The UAE imports about 85 per cent of its food at an estimated cost of Dh14.69 billion a year.
The UAE imports about 85 per cent of its food at an estimated cost of Dh14.69 billion a year.

Food output is growing objective



The UAE and other Gulf countries are taking a fresh look at increasing food production from home soil, but it will take many years and expensive technologies before the region can reach self-sufficiency in any key crop, analysts say. The region's arid climate is a built-in barrier to expanding domestic food supply. Still, there is room for improvement when it comes to applying new technologies and educating farmers, said Jarmo Kotilaine, the chief economist at NCB Capital, an investment bank based in Riyadh.

"The domestic agriculture sector has not disappeared," he said. "What has actually been going on in the past several years is significant progress in terms of new technologies, new techniques for agriculture, and I think, in general, people have been much smarter about developing agriculture in this region." The UAE imports about 85 per cent of its food at an estimated cost of Dh14.69 billion (US$4bn) a year.

In the 1970s and 1980s, Gulf governments, notably Saudi Arabia's, focused on becoming self-sufficient in key commodities. But the effort was difficult and costly. And in more recent years, regional governments switched their focus to securing farmland abroad in nearby temperate climates. This push for foreign farming gained urgency in 2008 as inflation in food prices surged and the prices of commodities such as rice reached record highs. Plans are being made for the UAE to invest in farmland in Pakistan, Sudan and Cambodia. But the UAE is also trying to turn over a new leaf in domestic farming.

Mohammed al Reyaysa, the Abu Dhabi Food Control Authority's spokesman, said his agency was working to boost agriculture and food security in the Western Region of the emirate by educating farmers about developments in agricultural science and helping them to cultivate the crops best suited to the climate. The authority is working with the Farming Service Centre, a new agency that opened its first branch in the Western Region in April, to increase the proportion of local produce on offer, Mr al Reyaysa said.

"There are many initiatives that are coming under the Food Control Authority to increase the knowledge of farmers, to increase production, increase the quality - everything that will help them to have beautiful product out in the market for us," he said. Mr Kotilaine said the region would never be fully self-sufficient in food because of a lack of arable land and some products, such as wheat, might be too thirsty to thrive in this part of the world. But the available land has not been used to its full potential, he said.

"The reality is the kind of staples that people here favour, you can import those, and you should import those. But that doesn't mean you couldn't profitably produce other kinds of things that are of secondary importance but are part of people's diet." George Atalla, a partner at the consultancy Booz and Company in Cairo, said while there were renewed efforts in domestic agriculture, the limited availability of water in the region would be a continuous hurdle to agricultural expansion.

Reaching sustainability in agriculture on a scale that would have a larger impact is years away, Mr Atalla said. "We are still in the infancy stage," he said. "For this to have any sort of scale, you are looking at tremendous increases in cultivated area and the amount of water that's available. Right now, all of these are really plans and ideas that are under investigation, but we're nowhere close to say [that] through local supply we'll be able to ensure self-sufficiency in any one of the staple products that would constitute your food security basket."

But Qatar and other regional countries are examining the potential of harnessing solar power to desalinate water for agriculture. This, however, is an expensive prospect, he said. And as most commodity prices fell globally last year because of the economic downturn, there has been less of an impetus to invest in these sorts of breakthroughs. But if prices rise again, the drive will return. "Prices nearly tripled in 2008," Mr Atalla said. "Now we've come down, but prices are still almost twice what we were in 2005. So if you get another spike where food becomes yet again more expensive, then it will justify some of the more expensive technologies that are being considered."

aligaya@thenational.ae

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Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.

Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.

Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.

“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.

Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.

From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.

Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.

BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.

Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.

Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.

“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.

“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.

“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”

The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”