Astronomists are holding on to hope that a star's mysterious dimming could be caused by a huge structure placed around it by aliens. But they are guarded in what they say, in case it's again just interference from a microwave oven.
Take a look at the night sky this evening, above the north-west horizon near the huge cross-shaped constellation of Cygnus the Swan. You’ll be looking in the direction of a distant star codenamed KIC 8462852.
And possibly, just possibly, someone – or something – will be looking straight back at you.
This faint star is the focus of global attention by astronomers because it is behaving very strangely – so strangely that some suspect we may be witnessing the work of aliens.
First observed by Nasa’s orbiting Kepler telescope six years ago, KIC 8462852 once seemed as boring as its name. About the same age as the Sun, it is bigger and brighter and lies almost 1,500 light years away.
It was duly filed away among the 150,000 stars observed as part of Kepler’s search for planets orbiting other stars.
To reveal their existence, computers scour the telescope’s data looking for telltale dips in the light from the stars as the otherwise invisible planets pass across them.
It’s a method that has so far revealed the existence of more than 1,000 such planets, including eight that could be habitable.
But alongside the computers, the Kepler team has opened its data archive to thousands of human volunteers, asking them to scour it for anything odd that the computers weren’t programmed to detect.
And in 2011, several of these amateur planet hunters flagged up KIC 8462852 for something very odd indeed.
Every so often, the star’s brightness plunged – in one instance by more than 20 per cent – only to recover again.
That’s not so unusual. Centuries ago Arabic astronomers found a star in a constellation near to Cygnus whose brightness plunges by 70 per cent and does so like clockwork every 2.9 days.
Unable to explain its behaviour, they dubbed the star Algol, “the Head of the Demon”.
Astronomers have since identified many such variable stars, with their changing output the result of internal changes or external effects.
In the case of Algol, the cause is now known to be the dance of three close-packed stars, whose combined output varies with the number of stars in view.
What’s strange about KIC 8462852 is that its output doesn’t make any sense.
Since 2009, it has undergone sudden and irregular dips in brightness. As such, they can’t be the result of one or more planets in orbit around it.
Looking at the data more closely revealed that the star does not have the nice, neat U-shaped fall in brightness, as expected if nice, neat objects like planets are passing across its disc.
The star itself, meanwhile, seems perfectly normal, spinning on its axis alone in space.
So what is going on?
An international team of astronomers has scoured the entire Kepler archive looking for anything similar, and come up empty.
This has led the team, whose leader is Dr Tabetha Boyajian of Yale University, to come up with some explanations.
One possibility is that KIC 8462852 may have run into a barrage of comets, the dust and ice of which is causing the irregular dips in brightness.
But Dr Boyajian and others are now examining another possibility: that the dips are caused by huge structures positioned around the star by aliens.
Scientists involved in the search for extraterrestrial intelligence, or Seti, have long speculated that aliens might reveal their presence by setting up so-called megastructures around their nearest star, for power generation or even habitation.
Known variously as Dyson swarms or statites (static satellites), these complex structures are expected to consist of huge light-gathering panels. As such, their passage across the face of KIC 8462852 could create the strange light pattern observed.
Dr Boyajian and her colleagues are now drawing up detailed plans of how to put the alien megastructure theory to the test.
Everyone is hoping for a repeat of the strange dips, the most recent of which was in February 2013. Telescopes around the world are now watching the star, waiting for the next dip to start.
Once detected, alerts will be sent to much larger telescopes fitted with equipment able to analyse the event in detail.
Dr Jason Wright of Pennsylvania State University says the pattern of the dimming may reveal the size and shape of the objects responsible, which could be range from specks of dust to asteroid-sized structures.
Meanwhile, observations at different wavelengths could also reveal their chemical composition.
Dr Wright believes the combined data should be enough to reveal whether there’s any merit in the alien megastructure theory. Astronomers have already turned a network of radio dishes towards the star to listen for any signals.
Dr Wright puts the chances of aliens being responsible as small, although not zero.
“My philosophy of Seti is that you should reserve the alien hypothesis as a last resort,” he wrote in his personal blog. “It would be such a big deal if true that it’s important you be absolutely sure before claiming you’ve detected something, lest everybody loses credibility.”
Such caution is well merited, because over the years astronomers have been wrong-footed by anomalous discoveries.
In the 1960s, a respected Dutch astronomer made headlines by claiming to have found wobbles in the position of a star consistent with an orbiting planet – the first beyond the Solar System.
It later emerged that the wobbles were nothing more than a shaky telescope mounting.
A few years later, radio astronomers at Cambridge detected regular radio pulses coming from deep space.
After naming it LGM-1 (Little Green Man 1), the team found they’d actually discovered the first pulsar, a rapidly spinning collapsed star emitting radio waves like a celestial lighthouse.
In May this year, scientists solved the 17-year-old mystery of so-called peryton signals, detected by a giant radio telescope in Australia. The source was the microwave oven in the observatory kitchen.
The smart money is on the strange behaviour of KIC 8462852 being the result of something less exotic than alien structures.
Even so, it’s hard not to hope that when the next dip occurs, astronomers find the best explanation is the presence of an orbiting black monolith.
Robert Matthews is visiting professor of science at Aston University, Birmingham, UK
THE BIO
Favourite car: Koenigsegg Agera RS or Renault Trezor concept car.
Favourite book: I Am Pilgrim by Terry Hayes or Red Notice by Bill Browder.
Biggest inspiration: My husband Nik. He really got me through a lot with his positivity.
Favourite holiday destination: Being at home in Australia, as I travel all over the world for work. It’s great to just hang out with my husband and family.
What can victims do?
Always use only regulated platforms
Stop all transactions and communication on suspicion
Save all evidence (screenshots, chat logs, transaction IDs)
Report to local authorities
Warn others to prevent further harm
Courtesy: Crystal Intelligence
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COMPANY PROFILE
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4.35pm: Tilal Al Khalediah
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9.30pm: Forever Young
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Engine: 4.0-litre flat-six
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Fuel economy, combined: 13.8L/100km
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Brief scores:
Scotland 371-5, 50 overs (C MacLeod 140 no, K Coetzer 58, G Munsey 55)
England 365 all out, 48.5 overs (J Bairstow 105, A Hales 52; M Watt 3-55)
Result: Scotland won by six runs
Profile
Company: Justmop.com
Date started: December 2015
Founders: Kerem Kuyucu and Cagatay Ozcan
Sector: Technology and home services
Based: Jumeirah Lake Towers, Dubai
Size: 55 employees and 100,000 cleaning requests a month
Funding: The company’s investors include Collective Spark, Faith Capital Holding, Oak Capital, VentureFriends, and 500 Startups.
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KILLING OF QASSEM SULEIMANI
Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.
Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.
“Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.
Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.
“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.
Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.
From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.
Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.
BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.
Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.
Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.
“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.
Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.
“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.
“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”
The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”
Top investing tips for UAE residents in 2021
Build an emergency fund: Make sure you have enough cash to cover six months of expenses as a buffer against unexpected problems before you begin investing, advises Steve Cronin, the founder of DeadSimpleSaving.com.
Think long-term: When you invest, you need to have a long-term mindset, so don’t worry about momentary ups and downs in the stock market.
Invest worldwide: Diversify your investments globally, ideally by way of a global stock index fund.
Is your money tied up: Avoid anything where you cannot get your money back in full within a month at any time without any penalty.
Skip past the promises: “If an investment product is offering more than 10 per cent return per year, it is either extremely risky or a scam,” Mr Cronin says.
Choose plans with low fees: Make sure that any funds you buy do not charge more than 1 per cent in fees, Mr Cronin says. “If you invest by yourself, you can easily stay below this figure.” Managed funds and commissionable investments often come with higher fees.
Be sceptical about recommendations: If someone suggests an investment to you, ask if they stand to gain, advises Mr Cronin. “If they are receiving commission, they are unlikely to recommend an investment that’s best for you.”
Get financially independent: Mr Cronin advises UAE residents to pursue financial independence. Start with a Google search and improve your knowledge via expat investing websites or Facebook groups such as SimplyFI.
The specs
Engine: 2-litre 4-cylinder and 3.6-litre 6-cylinder
Power: 220 and 280 horsepower
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The Vile
Starring: Bdoor Mohammad, Jasem Alkharraz, Iman Tarik, Sarah Taibah
Director: Majid Al Ansari
Rating: 4/5
Name: Peter Dicce
Title: Assistant dean of students and director of athletics
Favourite sport: soccer
Favourite team: Bayern Munich
Favourite player: Franz Beckenbauer
Favourite activity in Abu Dhabi: scuba diving in the Northern Emirates
IF YOU GO
The flights: FlyDubai offers direct flights to Catania Airport from Dubai International Terminal 2 daily with return fares starting from Dh1,895.
The details: Access to the 2,900-metre elevation point at Mount Etna by cable car and 4x4 transport vehicle cost around €57.50 (Dh248) per adult. Entry into Teatro Greco costs €10 (Dh43). For more go to www.visitsicily.info
Where to stay: Hilton Giardini Naxos offers beachfront access and accessible to Taormina and Mount Etna. Rooms start from around €130 (Dh561) per night, including taxes.
AGL AWARDS
Golden Ball - best Emirati player: Khalfan Mubarak (Al Jazira)
Golden Ball - best foreign player: Igor Coronado (Sharjah)
Golden Glove - best goalkeeper: Adel Al Hosani (Sharjah)
Best Coach - the leader: Abdulaziz Al Anbari (Sharjah)
Fans' Player of the Year: Driss Fetouhi (Dibba)
Golden Boy - best young player: Ali Saleh (Al Wasl)
Best Fans of the Year: Sharjah
Goal of the Year: Michael Ortega (Baniyas)
Company profile
Name: One Good Thing
Founders: Bridgett Lau and Micheal Cooke
Based in: Dubai
Sector: e-commerce
Size: 5 employees
Stage: Looking for seed funding
Investors: Self-funded and seeking external investors
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Director: Joseph Kosinski
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BMW M5 specs
Engine: 4.4-litre twin-turbo V-8 petrol enging with additional electric motor
Power: 727hp
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