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Tim Fox

Tim Fox

Location
Dubai
Tim Fox is a partner at Capital Gate Advisors and the former chief economist at Emirates NBD

Articles

An employee outside the Lehman Brothers London offices with the contents of his desk in a box on September 15, 2008. So how has the financial community moved on from that moment? Photo: EPA
Are we ready to handle the next financial crisis?

While another meltdown could happen in the future, the financial system's ability to handle such a scenario has improved

MoneySeptember 16, 2018
The first sign of market vulnerability to domestic political concerns came on August 21 when the S&P 500 pulled back from record intraday highs following legal developments in Washington. Photo: AFP
Looming US political risks pose a real threat to the markets

With even President Trump acknowledging the threat of impeachment, uncertainty abounds

MoneySeptember 02, 2018
Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange. While second quarter GDP growth in the US may have been strong, markets are aware this might be the high water mark of the growth cycle. Photo: Reuters
Markets on edge amid monetary tightening and trade war uncertainty

Growth is expected to slow in the second half of the year as interest rates rises take effect

MoneyJuly 29, 2018
UK markets - and the British pound - have been less affected by the latest political developments than predicated. Photo: Reuters
Mixed fortunes for sterling as Brexit negotiations rumble on

The pound's outlook is uncertain amid the political uncertainty in the UK

MoneyJuly 15, 2018
Saudi Arabia's addition to the MSCI EM index is another step in its bid to open its financial markets for foreign investors. However, the Kingdom is not losing sight of its most vital resource - oil. Amr Nabil / AP
Saudi Arabia ramps up its widening global relevance

The country's inclusion on the MSCI Emerging Markets Index coupled with its leadership in the Opec negotiations puts it centre stage

MoneyJune 24, 2018
President Donald Trump speaks to media as he departs the G7 summit in Canada. Following the fractious meeting, this week's focus will be on the summit between Mr Trump and Kim Jong-un. Neil Hall / Pool
Markets take 'catalogue of risks' in their stride

A potentially damaging trade war and an end to quantitative easing in Europe could see a change to this sanguine approach

MoneyJune 10, 2018
In Turkey, the lira had been getting close to a rate of 5 to the US dollar on May 23 before the central bank intervened and implemented an emergency 300bps hike to its late liquidity window. Chris McGrath/Getty Images
A stronger dollar and firmer oil prices threaten capital flows to emerging markets

After outperforming global equity markets for two years, emerging market equities have underperformed since the start of 2018

MoneyMay 28, 2018
The dollar's resurgence comes as investors fret over rising interest rates, cuts to oil production and uncertainty about geopolitics. Photo: Bloomberg
Dollar weakness replaced by dollar strength but how long will it last?

The greenback made a comeback after concerns about protectionism and geopolitics eased last month

MoneyMay 06, 2018
On Friday President Donald Trump tweeted "Looks like OPEC is at it again."Kevin Lamarque / Reuters
Trump’s rant on Opec output deal is unlikely to have a lasting effect

While the US president's Twitter message may have caused a reaction, it will be oil's strength that will bring about change

MoneyApril 23, 2018
The Tadawul is up 10 per cent so far this year. Simon Dawson / Bloomberg
Regional equities fare well as they look to attract foreign investors

Including Saudi stocks into popular indices, such as the FTSE Emerging Market index, is a boon for the economy

MarketsApril 08, 2018
The idea that the sell-off was relatively healthy fits neatly into the narrative that it was mostly caused by technical factors. Richard Drew/AP
A healthy correction may not be the end result of the global market rout

A confluence of factors point to a heating economy

EconomyFebruary 11, 2018
The dollar index is down more than 13.5 per cent since the start of 2017, and 3.5 per cent this month alone, reaching its lowest level in three years. Thomas White/Reuters
Trump politics is hurting the dollar

Mixed messages from the white house and threats of protectionism are impacting the greenback

MoneyJanuary 29, 2018
US outgoing Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen. The Fed's rate rises in 2017 were in line with its forecasts for the first time in several years. Jonathan Ernst / Reuters
Markets can no longer ignore Fed's bullish rate rise rhetoric

Another question to consider is what will happen to the long end of the US rate curve

MoneyDecember 17, 2017
Demonstrators against the US tax reform bill hold a protest rally in Washington, DC. Now that the bill has been passed, it may have effects on growth and monetary policy. Saul Loeb / AFP
Three key events that will help shape the financial markets in 2018

Opec's extension on oil cuts, the US tax reform bill and the Muller investigation will have

MoneyDecember 03, 2017
Bank of England governor Mark Carney announcing the increase in interest rates at the Bank of England in London last week. Andy Rain / EPA
Central banks take the driving seat on monetary policy normalisation

While the Bank of England has raised rates for the first time in 10 years, Donald Trump announced Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair

MoneyNovember 05, 2017
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