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Tim Fox

Tim Fox

Location
Dubai
Tim Fox is a partner at Capital Gate Advisors and the former chief economist at Emirates NBD

Articles

Traders gather on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York. In the first nine months of 2017, global equity markets have outperformed other asset classes. Brendan McDermid / Reuters
Equities have outperformed other assets classes in 2017

While the equity markets are looking stable thanks to hopes of tax cuts in the US, the road ahead is not entirely clear of challenges

MoneyOctober 23, 2017
The markets are jittery about who will take Janet Yellen's place as chair of the US Federal Reserve. Ty Wright/Bloomberg
Uncertainty over the Fed chair's future leaves markets on edge

Janet Yellen's term is due to finish in February and markets are nervous about who will take her place and what President Trump wants from the new Fed leader

MoneyOctober 08, 2017
European Union flags outside the headquarters of the European Central Bank in Frankfurt, Germany. Ralph Orlowski/Reuters
Newly proactive central banks get markets thinking

New stance by prominent state lenders has caught markets a little bit off guard

BusinessSeptember 24, 2017
Ocean Drive in South Beach as Hurricane Irma arrives at south Florida, in Miami Beach, Florida. Markets may be set for turbulence. Carlos Barria/ Reuters
Stormy global situation sets scene for markets

Period of uncertainty among investors, corporations and consumers likely to be extended

MarketsSeptember 10, 2017
Janet Yellen, chairman of the US Federal Reserve System, left, and Mario Draghi, president of the European Central Bank at the Jackson Hole economic symposium. David Paul Morris/Bloomberg
What Yellen and Draghi did not say speaks volumes

US speeches took aim at global leaders rather than addressing the concerns of the financial markets

EconomyAugust 27, 2017
The Federal Reserve’s chairwoman, Janet Yellen, after the benchmark rate rose on 14 June to 1 to 1.25 per cent. Richard Drew / AP Photo
Market analysis: Trump and Brexit hint at volatility

The US Federal Reserve stuck to its forecast for another hike this year and for more rises to come in 2018 and 2019.

MarketsJune 18, 2017
As well as political turbulence, macro-economic factors such as public sector debt are weighing heavily on the dollar. Mohamed El Ghany / Reuters
Market analysis: Volatility takes centre stage

Last week saw an abrupt reversal in market sentiment after a period of exceptionally low volatility and an extended period of minimal market corrections.

MarketsMay 21, 2017
A better than expected rise in non-farm payroll jobs supports an outlook for moderate growth ahead. Justin Sullivan / Getty Images / AFP
Market analysis: US Federal Reserve looks beyond ‘transitory’ softness

Unless something unforeseen happens between now and the June Federal Open Market Committee meeting, it seems likely that the Fed will raise interest rates again.

MarketsMay 07, 2017
The IMF downgrade for the UAE growth outlook comes as a surprise since the Emirates is a beneficiary of improving global economic conditions. Above, Jumeirah Towers in Abu Dhabi. David Tanecek / CTK via AP Images
Market analysis: IMF too pessimistic on Gulf outlook

The fund now expects the UAE’s economy to grow just 1.5 per cent this year (from a previous estimate of 2.5 per cent and down from an estimated 2.7 per cent growth in 2016).

MarketsApril 23, 2017
The New York Federal Reserve Bank. The Fed’s confidence is at odds with the worsening poli­tical environment. Brendan McDermid / Reuters
Market analysis: Fed’s optimism might be misplaced

The Federal Reserve's spring-like optimism is at odds with the deteriorating political environment in Washington.

MarketsApril 09, 2017
The UK economy has performed well since last summer’s Brexit vote, leading the BoE and IMF to revise up their GDP forecasts. Ben Stansall / AFP
Tim Fox: The UK economy can thrive without the EU

The UK economy has performed well since last summer’s Brexit vote, leading the BoE and IMF to revise up their GDP forecasts.

MarketsMarch 26, 2017
Crude oil storage tanks in Oklahoma. A build up in US stockpiles was among factors that contributed to a dip in benchmarks West Texas Intermediate and Brent last week. Nick Oxford / Reuters
Market analysis by Tim Fox: Inventory and US rates to hit oil price

Speculators have also played their part in the rollover in price. Although speculative investment in oil futures cooled somewhat in the previous week, the benchmarks were still heavily weighted towards long positions by the middle of last week.

MarketsMarch 12, 2017
US president Donald Trump, centre, discusses the federal budget as US treasury secretary Steve Mnuchin, right, looks on. Olivier Douliery / EPA
Market analysis: Trump fiscal policy faces big test

Fiscal policy reform was to the financial markets the cornerstone of the Trump manifesto, but until now investors have been disappointed by the greater focus on immigration, the media, the judiciary and other issues.

MarketsFebruary 26, 2017
The US president’s cordial meeting with Japanese prime minister Shinzo Abe, left, allayed fears of a global trade war. Carolyn Kaster / AP Photo
Market analysis: Conciliatory Trump will lift sentiment

If this is indeed a new start in the approach by Donald Trump to international relations, it is likely to be welcomed by the markets.

MarketsFebruary 12, 2017
The treasury secretary nominee, Steven Mnuchin, has clarified that Mr Trump’s dollar concerns as only short term. John Taggart / Bloomberg
Market analysis: Trump policies generate conflicting outlooks

So far the only details about Donald Trump’s policies related to corporate tax reforms have been expressed as a way of penalising imports and boosting exports, couched as a means of forcing Mexico to pay for its border wall.

MarketsJanuary 30, 2017
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