English football players can deal with the weather if it's wet and bleak, or cold and grim. But the heat and humidity is a different story, seen almost as a hostile environment.
Hot and sticky will be the conditions Saturday when England faces Italy in the steamy Amazon jungle port of Manaus, where the humidity averages 80 percent year around. A local adage says there are two seasons: summer and hell.
England has fretted about playing in Manaus since the World Cup draw six months ago.
"Obviously being English players, we're not used to those conditions," defender Gary Cahill said.
England's done what it can to prepare. There was a training camp last month in Portugal, friendly matches last week in Miami, and a base camp in sub-tropical Rio de Janeiro with three days of practice in the sun.
Players have been taking malaria pills and sweating – mostly over conditions in the jungle.
"We've done the hot-weather training," Cahill said. "We've been in hot climates, we've done the heat chambers, and we've done extra loads of clothing. We've prepared as best we possibly can."
Forward Wayne Rooney was asked by Brazilian reporters why he was training in a long-sleeve shirt, expecting a weather-related answer.
"No, it's something I've always done," he said. "But we're expecting it's going to be hot, obviously. It's going to be humid."
Former Brazil coach Carlos Dunga offered the English some advice in an interview with The Associated Press.
"They are used to playing full speed for 90 minutes," he said. "But they are going to have to pace themselves, know when to run and when to slow down. If not, they will exhaust themselves in no time."
Brazilian soldier Gabriel Almeida, standing guard outside the England camp wearing a camouflage uniform, note it was only 27 degrees C (80F) and wondered about the fuss.
"It is a normal day and not that hot for me," he said. "I guess the English players are used to rain, but not used to Brazil. It could be very hot in Manaus."
English reporter Oliver Holt, who covers football for the Daily Mirror, called the English "overly obsessed about the weather."
"I think deep down we might feel that Italy might be a little bit more prepared," Holt said. "It might not be as foreign to Italy. They're southern Europeans. They might be more confident about it. So we're a little bit neurotic about it."
Holt also speculated there might be another reason for all the concern.
"We're not very optimistic about our chances here," Holt said. "Maybe we're getting our excuses in early."
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Will the pound fall to parity with the dollar?
The idea of pound parity now seems less far-fetched as the risk grows that Britain may split away from the European Union without a deal.
Rupert Harrison, a fund manager at BlackRock, sees the risk of it falling to trade level with the dollar on a no-deal Brexit. The view echoes Morgan Stanley’s recent forecast that the currency can plunge toward $1 (Dh3.67) on such an outcome. That isn’t the majority view yet – a Bloomberg survey this month estimated the pound will slide to $1.10 should the UK exit the bloc without an agreement.
New Prime Minister Boris Johnson has repeatedly said that Britain will leave the EU on the October 31 deadline with or without an agreement, fuelling concern the nation is headed for a disorderly departure and fanning pessimism toward the pound. Sterling has fallen more than 7 per cent in the past three months, the worst performance among major developed-market currencies.
“The pound is at a much lower level now but I still think a no-deal exit would lead to significant volatility and we could be testing parity on a really bad outcome,” said Mr Harrison, who manages more than $10 billion in assets at BlackRock. “We will see this game of chicken continue through August and that’s likely negative for sterling,” he said about the deadlocked Brexit talks.
The pound fell 0.8 per cent to $1.2033 on Friday, its weakest closing level since the 1980s, after a report on the second quarter showed the UK economy shrank for the first time in six years. The data means it is likely the Bank of England will cut interest rates, according to Mizuho Bank.
The BOE said in November that the currency could fall even below $1 in an analysis on possible worst-case Brexit scenarios. Options-based calculations showed around a 6.4 per cent chance of pound-dollar parity in the next one year, markedly higher than 0.2 per cent in early March when prospects of a no-deal outcome were seemingly off the table.
Bloomberg
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