Speculation abounds about what president-elect Trump might actually do with the H1B programme after inauguration. Reuters
Speculation abounds about what president-elect Trump might actually do with the H1B programme after inauguration. Reuters
Speculation abounds about what president-elect Trump might actually do with the H1B programme after inauguration. Reuters
Speculation abounds about what president-elect Trump might actually do with the H1B programme after inauguration. Reuters

How debates over H1B visa overhaul in US could create opportunities elsewhere


Cody Combs
  • English
  • Arabic

For those who followed the first election of Donald Trump in 2016, the headlines days before his inauguration in 2025 look very familiar, especially with what many are describing as a Republican “civil war” over the H1B visa programme.

H1B visas are given to highly skilled workers from overseas looking for jobs in the US, and are especially prominent in the start-up and IT sector. The employer-sponsored, non-immigrant classification allows non-US citizens to work in the country for up to six years.

During his 2016 campaign, Mr Trump sought to capitalise on his “Make America Great Again” campaign theme by promising to crack down on the H1B visa programme.

In 2017, as president, Mr Trump signed an executive order that sought to “tighten standards” and – in some cases – increase scrutiny for those applying for H1B visas. It also gave the Department of Homeland Security the power to increase workforce inspections to make sure the visas were not being misused.

President-elect Donald Trump recently seemed to side with Elon Musk in a fiery debate over the future of H1B visas in the US. Photo: Leah Mills
President-elect Donald Trump recently seemed to side with Elon Musk in a fiery debate over the future of H1B visas in the US. Photo: Leah Mills

“President Trump is improving America’s work visa programmes to prioritise the highest-skilled workers and protect American jobs and wages,” the Trump administration said at the time.

According to the National Foundation of American Policy, denials of the visas reached a high under Mr Trump, with a 24 per cent rejection rate in 2018, but the rate dipped under President Joe Biden. In 2020, Mr Trump also briefly suspended H1B visas.

The NFAP noted that successful court challenges to Mr Trump's enhanced H1B screening policies played a role in fewer denials in the years that followed.

Also under the Biden administration, the Department of Homeland Security announced an “H1B Modernisation Final Rule”, which sought to streamline the programme's approval process while maintaining inspections and fines for those who abuse the system.

“These changes will help US employers hire the employees they need to meet their business needs and remain competitive in the global marketplace,” read a statement from US Citizenship and Immigration Services.

Musk, Bannon and the H1B battle for Trump's influence

During his most recent campaign for the White House, however, tension in Mr Trump's coalition – consisting of technology entrepreneurs such as Elon Musk and the president-elect's loyal following of right-wing “America First” conservatives – has come to a head in a battle over the future of the visa.

It flew under the radar as Mr Trump campaigned against Vice President Kamala Harris in the general election, but it spilt out for the world to see after he secured another term in the White House.

Tesla and SpaceX chief executive Mr Musk, who supported Mr Trump's recent White House campaign and helped to fund operations, has come out in strong support of the H1B visas.

Mr Musk, who was born in South Africa and has since become a naturalised citizen of the US, has often said that the visas made it possible for him to work in the country.

“Anyone – of any race, creed or nationality – who came to America and worked like hell to contribute to this country will forever have my respect,” he posted on his social platform X.

SpaceX and Tesla chief executive Elon Musk didn't mince words when defending the H1B visa against far right-wing supporters of Mr Trump who want to end it. Photo: Screengrab/X
SpaceX and Tesla chief executive Elon Musk didn't mince words when defending the H1B visa against far right-wing supporters of Mr Trump who want to end it. Photo: Screengrab/X

“The reason I'm in America along with so many critical people who built SpaceX, Tesla and hundreds of other companies that made America strong is because of H-1B … take a big step back and [expletive] yourself. I will go to war on this issue with the likes of which you cannot possibly comprehend.”

Steve Bannon, a former White House aide to Mr Trump and major supporter of curtailing the visas, called Mr Musk a “toddler” for his stance on them and sarcastically suggested that someone do a wellness check on him.

Meanwhile, Vivek Ramaswamy, a one-time Republican presidential hopeful who will serve with Mr Musk in Mr Trump's Department of Government Efficiency (Doge), poured fuel on the H1B flames by defending the worker visa, while at the same time criticising US culture.

“The reason top tech companies often hire foreign-born and first-generation engineers over 'native' Americans isn’t because of an innate American IQ deficit (a lazy and wrong explanation),” Mr Ramaswamy wrote on X.

“A culture that celebrates the prom queen over the math olympiad champ, or the jock over the valedictorian, will not produce the best engineers.”

That post created a firestorm of responses from those who want to eliminate the H1B. It has so far received more than 50,000 replies.

Although it remains to be seen exactly what, if anything, president-elect Trump will do with regard to existing H1B policy, he recently shared Mr Musk's post that seemingly endorsed the programme, which many took to mean he sided with the tech billionaire.

Yet Mr Trump's past actions as president, combined with his appointment of immigration hardliner Stephen Miller as deputy chief of staff, has technology companies and those who depend on H1B on edge.

What does H1B controversy mean for other countries?

Peter Yacobucci, a political science professor at Buffalo State University, said that other countries with less stringent worker visa rules stand to benefit if Mr Trump decides to curtail or try to end the H1B programme.

But he also said that the entire controversy is a classic example of campaign promises being met with practical realities, and that the H1B changes some right-wing hardliners hope for may be tough to achieve.

“US industry has long taken advantage of these workers and excelled through their innovation based on the interchange of diverse viewpoints," Prof Yacobucci told The National. "That is exactly what the H1B and other work visas allow. Trump and his financial backers would never restrict these workers as they make them a huge amount of money."

He said other groups with less political capital might be caught in the middle of Mr Trump's strategy to appease.

“My guess is going forward Trump will attempt to satisfy both sides of this debate by quietly increasing H1B and similar work visa admissions with the tacit approval of many Democrats, while very publicly cracking down on other immigrant groups less central to American businesses' bottom lines.

“Sadly, the more cruel and more oppressive this crackdown appears, the more it appeases his Maga right.”

David Bier, director of immigration studies at the Cato Institute think tank in Washington, said there are too many misunderstandings about the H1B programme.

“Many think these are low-skilled and low-wage workers,” he told The National, adding that in reality, these workers are highly coveted and often hired for roles that are not easy to fill because of a talent gap. He also said the accusations of H1B fraud are grossly overstated.

“Some people think that there's something off about Indian immigrants getting so many of these H1Bs. They think it's due to fraud, but it's not – it's just a matter of supply and demand. In reality, these are people with the skills to do the job, and this is the one programme they can get into because of restrictions on Green Cards.”

Canada, Australia, the UAE and even India, he said, would all stand to benefit from an influx of talent if the US stopped the H1B programme.

“India is going to see a big increase in foreign direct investment from the US, as many of these employers offshore operations that they would otherwise be doing in the US,” he said , referring to the large number of Indian workers who obtain H1B visas in the US.

Meanwhile, those living in other countries and watching on the sideline are in wait-and-see mode, wondering if the shaky H1B foundation in the US might benefit their nations.

“If you guys don't like the H1B visa system of the US, then habeebi, come to Dubai,” UAE X user Hassan Sajwani told his more than 304,000 followers on the platform.

If you go...

Etihad Airways flies from Abu Dhabi to Kuala Lumpur, from about Dh3,600. Air Asia currently flies from Kuala Lumpur to Terengganu, with Berjaya Hotels & Resorts planning to launch direct chartered flights to Redang Island in the near future. Rooms at The Taaras Beach and Spa Resort start from 680RM (Dh597).

How Alia's experiment will help humans get to Mars

Alia’s winning experiment examined how genes might change under the stresses caused by being in space, such as cosmic radiation and microgravity.

Her samples were placed in a machine on board the International Space Station. called a miniPCR thermal cycler, which can copy DNA multiple times.

After the samples were examined on return to Earth, scientists were able to successfully detect changes caused by being in space in the way DNA transmits instructions through proteins and other molecules in living organisms.

Although Alia’s samples were taken from nematode worms, the results have much bigger long term applications, especially for human space flight and long term missions, such as to Mars.

It also means that the first DNA experiments using human genomes can now be carried out on the ISS.

 

LA LIGA FIXTURES

Friday Athletic Bilbao v Celta Vigo (Kick-off midnight UAE)

Saturday Levante v Getafe (5pm), Sevilla v Real Madrid (7.15pm), Atletico Madrid v Real Valladolid (9.30pm), Cadiz v Barcelona (midnight)

Sunday Granada v Huesca (5pm), Osasuna v Real Betis (7.15pm), Villarreal v Elche (9.30pm), Alaves v Real Sociedad (midnight)

Monday Eibar v Valencia (midnight)

Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.

Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.

Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.

“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.

Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.

From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.

Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.

BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.

Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.

Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.

“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.

“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.

“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”

The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”

While you're here
Tickets

Tickets for the 2019 Asian Cup are available online, via www.asiancup2019.com

The%20new%20Turing%20Test
%3Cp%3EThe%20Coffee%20Test%3C%2Fp%3E%0A%3Cp%3E%3Cem%3EA%20machine%20is%20required%20to%20enter%20an%20average%20American%20home%20and%20figure%20out%20how%20to%20make%20coffee%3A%20find%20the%20coffee%20machine%2C%20find%20the%20coffee%2C%20add%20water%2C%20find%20a%20mug%20and%20brew%20the%20coffee%20by%20pushing%20the%20proper%20buttons.%3C%2Fem%3E%3C%2Fp%3E%0A%3Cp%3EProposed%20by%20Steve%20Wozniak%2C%20Apple%20co-founder%3C%2Fp%3E%0A
UAE currency: the story behind the money in your pockets
INDIA V SOUTH AFRICA

First Test: October 2-6, at Visakhapatnam

Second Test: October 10-14, at Maharashtra

Third Test: October 19-23, at Ranchi

The%20Crown%20season%205
%3Cp%3E%3Cstrong%3EStars%3A%20%3C%2Fstrong%3EImelda%20Staunton%2C%20Jonathan%20Pryce%2C%20Lesley%20Manville%2C%20Jonny%20Lee%20Miller%2C%20Dominic%20West%2C%20Elizabeth%20Debicki%2C%20Salim%20Daw%20and%20Khalid%20Abdalla%3C%2Fp%3E%0A%3Cp%3E%3Cstrong%3EWritten%20by%3A%20%3C%2Fstrong%3EPeter%20Morgan%3C%2Fp%3E%0A%3Cp%3E%3Cstrong%3ERating%3A%3C%2Fstrong%3E%204%2F5%20stars%3C%2Fp%3E%0A
From Zero

Artist: Linkin Park

Label: Warner Records

Number of tracks: 11

Rating: 4/5

Global state-owned investor ranking by size

1.

United States

2.

China

3.

UAE

4.

Japan

5

Norway

6.

Canada

7.

Singapore

8.

Australia

9.

Saudi Arabia

10.

South Korea

UPI facts

More than 2.2 million Indian tourists arrived in UAE in 2023
More than 3.5 million Indians reside in UAE
Indian tourists can make purchases in UAE using rupee accounts in India through QR-code-based UPI real-time payment systems
Indian residents in UAE can use their non-resident NRO and NRE accounts held in Indian banks linked to a UAE mobile number for UPI transactions

23-man shortlist for next six Hall of Fame inductees

Tony Adams, David Beckham, Dennis Bergkamp, Sol Campbell, Eric Cantona, Andrew Cole, Ashley Cole, Didier Drogba, Les Ferdinand, Rio Ferdinand, Robbie Fowler, Steven Gerrard, Roy Keane, Frank Lampard, Matt Le Tissier, Michael Owen, Peter Schmeichel, Paul Scholes, John Terry, Robin van Persie, Nemanja Vidic, Patrick Viera, Ian Wright.

Brief scoreline

Switzerland 0

England 0

Result: England win 6-5 on penalties

Man of the Match: Trent Alexander-Arnold (England)

The Dark Blue Winter Overcoat & Other Stories From the North
Edited and Introduced by Sjón and Ted Hodgkinson
Pushkin Press 

WTL%20SCHEDULE
%3Cp%3EDECEMBER%2019%20(6pm)%0D%3Cbr%3EKites%20v%20Eagles%0D%3Cbr%3EAliassime%20v%20Kyrgios%0D%3Cbr%3ESwiatek%20v%20Garcia%0D%3Cbr%3EEntertainment%3A%20Tiesto%3C%2Fp%3E%0A%3Cp%3EDECEMBER%2020%20(6pm)%0D%3Cbr%3EFalcons%20v%20Hawks%0D%3Cbr%3EDjokovic%20v%20Zverev%0D%3Cbr%3ESabalenka%20v%20Rybakina%0D%3Cbr%3EEntertainment%3A%20Wizkid%0D%3Cbr%3E%0D%3Cbr%3EDECEMBER%2021%20(6pm)%0D%3Cbr%3EFalcons%20v%20Eagles%0D%3Cbr%3EDjokovic%20v%20Kyrgios%0D%3Cbr%3EBadosa%20v%20Garcia%0D%3Cbr%3EEntertainment%3A%20Ne-Yo%0D%3Cbr%3E%0D%3Cbr%3EDECEMBER%2022%20(6pm)%0D%3Cbr%3EHawks%20v%20Kites%0D%3Cbr%3EThiem%20v%20Aliassime%0D%3Cbr%3EKontaveit%20v%20Swiatek%0D%3Cbr%3EEntertainment%3A%20deadmau5%0D%3Cbr%3E%0D%3Cbr%3EDECEMBER%2023%20(2pm)%0D%3Cbr%3EEagles%20v%20Hawks%0D%3Cbr%3EKyrgios%20v%20Zverev%0D%3Cbr%3EGarcia%20v%20Rybakina%0D%3Cbr%3EEntertainment%3A%20Mohammed%20Ramadan%0D%3Cbr%3E%0D%3Cbr%3EDECEMBER%2023%20(6pm)%0D%3Cbr%3EFalcons%20v%20Kites%0D%3Cbr%3EDjokovic%20v%20Aliassime%0D%3Cbr%3ESabalenka%20v%20Swiatek%0D%3Cbr%3EEntertainment%3A%20Mohammed%20Ramadan%0D%3Cbr%3E%0D%3Cbr%3EDECEMBER%2024%20(6pm)%0D%3Cbr%3EFinals%0D%3Cbr%3EEntertainment%3A%20Armin%20Van%20Buuren%0D%3Cbr%3E%0D%3C%2Fp%3E%0A

Yuki Means Happiness
Alison Jean Lester
John Murray 

What can victims do?

Always use only regulated platforms

Stop all transactions and communication on suspicion

Save all evidence (screenshots, chat logs, transaction IDs)

Report to local authorities

Warn others to prevent further harm

Courtesy: Crystal Intelligence

Day 1, Dubai Test: At a glance

Moment of the day Sadeera Samarawickrama set pulses racing with his strokeplay on his introduction to Test cricket. It reached a feverish peak when he stepped down the wicket and launched Yasir Shah, who many regard as the world’s leading spinner, back over his head for six. No matter that he was out soon after: it felt as though the future had arrived.

Stat of the day - 5 The last time Sri Lanka played a Test in Dubai – they won here in 2013 – they had four players in their XI who were known as wicketkeepers. This time they have gone one better. Each of Dinesh Chandimal, Kaushal Silva, Samarawickrama, Kusal Mendis, and Niroshan Dickwella – the nominated gloveman here – can keep wicket.

The verdict Sri Lanka want to make history by becoming the first team to beat Pakistan in a full Test series in the UAE. They could not have made a better start, first by winning the toss, then by scoring freely on an easy-paced pitch. The fact Yasir Shah found some turn on Day 1, too, will have interested their own spin bowlers.

If you go

The flights

Etihad flies direct from Abu Dhabi to San Francisco from Dh5,760 return including taxes. 

The car

Etihad Guest members get a 10 per cent worldwide discount when booking with Hertz, as well as earning miles on their rentals. A week's car hire costs from Dh1,500 including taxes.

The hotels

Along the route, Motel 6 (www.motel6.com) offers good value and comfort, with rooms from $55 (Dh202) per night including taxes. In Portland, the Jupiter Hotel (https://jupiterhotel.com/) has rooms from $165 (Dh606) per night including taxes. The Society Hotel https://thesocietyhotel.com/ has rooms from $130 (Dh478) per night including taxes. 

More info

To keep up with constant developments in Portland, visit www.travelportland.com. Good guidebooks include the Lonely Planet guides to Northern California and Washington, Oregon & the Pacific Northwest. 

 

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Dhadak 2

Director: Shazia Iqbal

Starring: Siddhant Chaturvedi, Triptii Dimri 

Rating: 1/5

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CABINET%20OF%20CURIOSITIES%20EPISODE%201%3A%20LOT%2036
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Match info

Uefa Nations League Group B:

England v Spain, Saturday, 11.45pm (UAE)

Updated: January 01, 2025, 6:19 AM