Keir Starmer and his senior Labour team have forged ties with the French leadership but a new hard-right government in Paris could complicate relations. Getty Images
Keir Starmer and his senior Labour team have forged ties with the French leadership but a new hard-right government in Paris could complicate relations. Getty Images
Keir Starmer and his senior Labour team have forged ties with the French leadership but a new hard-right government in Paris could complicate relations. Getty Images
Keir Starmer and his senior Labour team have forged ties with the French leadership but a new hard-right government in Paris could complicate relations. Getty Images

Keir Starmer to find a world ready for business with Labour


Tim Stickings
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Britain's Rishi Sunak left his successor Keir Starmer a gift in the Downing Street diary.

A July 18 summit of European leaders at Blenheim Palace, the English countryside birthplace of Winston Churchill, gives Mr Starmer the chance to open a new era.

After the bitter Brexit years, Labour wants to show a friendlier face to the world and the 47-member European Political Community founded by France's President Emmanuel Macron will be a way to show goodwill.

With Mr Starmer also due at a Nato summit next week, the new government will get off to a “cracking start” in foreign policy, said former British EU commissioner Julian King.

“They have two big international events right at the start, which will be both a platform and an opportunity to set out their ambitions on foreign policy,” he said.

It “also will mean that there'll be a big focus, an uncommonly sharp focus for a brand new government, on what they say and what they do on foreign policy issues”.

Keir Starmer has already attended international events such as last month's D-Day commemorations in France, which Rishi Sunak left early. PA
Keir Starmer has already attended international events such as last month's D-Day commemorations in France, which Rishi Sunak left early. PA

But merely setting a more positive mood will not free Mr Starmer's Britain from complex global relations or the constraints of domestic politics.

Mr Starmer will want warm words to turn into hard investor cash and migration deals, if he is to meet promises to voters to repair the UK’s economy and secure its borders.

Labour’s stance on Israel will be under intense scrutiny from its pro-Palestine wing. Any sign of backtracking on Brexit risks alienating voters Mr Starmer has fought to win over.

And it takes two to have an appetite for friendly relations – at a time of resurgent nationalism in allied nations such as France and the US.

[There is an] interesting contrast between a UK that could be returning to political stability, and the instability that you see politically right now in France
Gavin Barwell,
former Downing St chief of staff

Labour’s team “have a good relationship with Macron and the Elysee [Palace], which will get a bit more complicated” after France’s snap election, said Mr King.

“Some of the individual European leaders will not necessarily be terribly sympathetic to working with a left-of-centre government in the UK,” he told The National.

However, the UK will be more willing to work with the EU’s central institutions and has allies in northern Europe and the Baltic states, giving it “a basis for trying to manage the relationship”, he said.

Trade and investment

What Labour calls the “first mission” in its manifesto is to boost Britain’s economic growth.

This reflects the fact that Labour will inherit a “very difficult fiscal position”, said Gavin Barwell, an adviser to former Conservative prime minister Theresa May.

“If they can’t get the underlying rate of growth higher, lots of unpleasant decisions flow from that,” Mr Barwell said in a briefing to businesses.

As a result, working with business and raising private funds is a key goal. Chancellor of the Exchequer Rachel Reeves is planning an international investment summit within 100 days.

Labour’s manifesto vows to deepen Britain’s trade and investment ties to the Gulf and push for a free-trade agreement with India.

It also promises to remove “unnecessary barriers” to trade with Europe but is reluctant to re-open wounds over Brexit.

A UK-EU fishing agreement is up for renegotiation in 2026 and electric car tariffs are scheduled to kick in 2027, inevitably bringing the debate back into view.

Keir Starmer through the years – in pictures

  • Keir Starmer has been the Labour party's leader since 2020, and is now the UK's prime minister. Here The National looks back through his political career. Getty Images
    Keir Starmer has been the Labour party's leader since 2020, and is now the UK's prime minister. Here The National looks back through his political career. Getty Images
  • Mr Starmer speaking in Westminster, London, in May after Rishi Sunak announced the general election for July 4. AP
    Mr Starmer speaking in Westminster, London, in May after Rishi Sunak announced the general election for July 4. AP
  • Mr Starmer speaks to Labour supporters at Harlow Town Football Club's stadium in Essex, on the eve of local elections in May. Getty Images
    Mr Starmer speaks to Labour supporters at Harlow Town Football Club's stadium in Essex, on the eve of local elections in May. Getty Images
  • Mr Starmer talks to Dan Poulter at the Francis Crick Institute in London in April, after the MP had defected from the Conservative Party to Labour. Getty Images
    Mr Starmer talks to Dan Poulter at the Francis Crick Institute in London in April, after the MP had defected from the Conservative Party to Labour. Getty Images
  • Mayor of London Sadiq Khan and Mr Starmer during the launch of Mr Khan's mayoral re-election campaign in March, which proved successful. Getty Images
    Mayor of London Sadiq Khan and Mr Starmer during the launch of Mr Khan's mayoral re-election campaign in March, which proved successful. Getty Images
  • Mr Starmer addresses the Labour Business Conference in London in February. Getty Images
    Mr Starmer addresses the Labour Business Conference in London in February. Getty Images
  • Mr Starmer and Mr Sunak at the Palace of Westminster for the State Opening of Parliament in November 2023. Getty Images
    Mr Starmer and Mr Sunak at the Palace of Westminster for the State Opening of Parliament in November 2023. Getty Images
  • Mr Starmer addresses delegates at the National Annual Women's Conference in Liverpool in October 2023. Getty Images
    Mr Starmer addresses delegates at the National Annual Women's Conference in Liverpool in October 2023. Getty Images
  • Mr Starmer with his shadow cabinet in London in September 2023. Getty Images
    Mr Starmer with his shadow cabinet in London in September 2023. Getty Images
  • Mr Starmer speaks to supporters in Chatham after a Labour win in local elections in May 2023. Getty Images
    Mr Starmer speaks to supporters in Chatham after a Labour win in local elections in May 2023. Getty Images
  • Joining party activists at a national phone bank on local elections day in London in May 2023. Getty Images
    Joining party activists at a national phone bank on local elections day in London in May 2023. Getty Images
  • Mr Starmer meets Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy at Speaker's House in the Palace of Westminster, London, in February 2023. Getty Images
    Mr Starmer meets Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy at Speaker's House in the Palace of Westminster, London, in February 2023. Getty Images
  • The Labour leader and his wife Victoria leave the stage after his speech at the party conference in Liverpool in September 2022. Getty Images
    The Labour leader and his wife Victoria leave the stage after his speech at the party conference in Liverpool in September 2022. Getty Images
  • Mr Starmer and then-UK prime minister Liz Truss leave the Palace of Westminster in September 2022. Getty Images
    Mr Starmer and then-UK prime minister Liz Truss leave the Palace of Westminster in September 2022. Getty Images
  • With former Labour prime ministers Tony Blair, centre, and Gordon Brown, right, at St James's Palace, London, where King Charles III was formally proclaimed monarch in September 2022. Getty Images
    With former Labour prime ministers Tony Blair, centre, and Gordon Brown, right, at St James's Palace, London, where King Charles III was formally proclaimed monarch in September 2022. Getty Images
  • Mr Starmer and then-prime minister Boris Johnson attend the State Opening of Parliament in May 2022. Getty Images
    Mr Starmer and then-prime minister Boris Johnson attend the State Opening of Parliament in May 2022. Getty Images
  • Mr Starmer makes his keynote speech to the Labour conference for the first time as party leader in September 2021 in Brighton. Getty Images
    Mr Starmer makes his keynote speech to the Labour conference for the first time as party leader in September 2021 in Brighton. Getty Images
  • The gloves are on during a visit to the Vulcan Boxing Club in Hull, East Yorkshire, in April 2021. Getty Images
    The gloves are on during a visit to the Vulcan Boxing Club in Hull, East Yorkshire, in April 2021. Getty Images
  • Mr Starmer in talks with care home workers and family members of residents at Cafe 1899 in Gedling Country Park during the Covid-19 pandemic in July 2020. Getty Images
    Mr Starmer in talks with care home workers and family members of residents at Cafe 1899 in Gedling Country Park during the Covid-19 pandemic in July 2020. Getty Images
  • Mr Starmer, then-shadow secretary of state for exiting the EU, addresses the audience at a hustings in March 2020 in Dudley. Getty Images
    Mr Starmer, then-shadow secretary of state for exiting the EU, addresses the audience at a hustings in March 2020 in Dudley. Getty Images
  • Mr Starmer and then-Labour leader Jeremy Corbyn talk to the media at the EU Commission headquarters in March 2019 in Brussels. Getty Images
    Mr Starmer and then-Labour leader Jeremy Corbyn talk to the media at the EU Commission headquarters in March 2019 in Brussels. Getty Images
  • Mr Starmer delivers a speech on Labour's Brexit policy at the Institute of Civil Engineers in London in April 2017. Getty Images
    Mr Starmer delivers a speech on Labour's Brexit policy at the Institute of Civil Engineers in London in April 2017. Getty Images
  • Holding a press conference as Director of Public Prosecutions to outline new guidelines on assisted suicide, in London in September 2009. Getty Images
    Holding a press conference as Director of Public Prosecutions to outline new guidelines on assisted suicide, in London in September 2009. Getty Images
  • Human rights advisers Mr Starmer and Jane Gordon with the Northern Ireland Policing Board annual human rights report 2006, at the Dunadry Hotel in Co Antrim. Getty Images
    Human rights advisers Mr Starmer and Jane Gordon with the Northern Ireland Policing Board annual human rights report 2006, at the Dunadry Hotel in Co Antrim. Getty Images

In contrast to hardline Conservatives forcing the UK to take a tough line with Brussels, some Labour backbenchers might apply pressure in the opposite direction, said Mr King.

“A Labour government will face pressure from some of its supporters to try to move closer, faster, towards the European Union,” he said.

At the same time, Labour will “want to build a solid coalition of support that might carry them through a lot of difficult domestic challenges … they have wanted to avoid frightening the horses”.

Conflict and migration

Britain’s overall policy on Gaza and Ukraine will not change much, at least for now.

Mr Starmer has been determined to repair Labour’s image after claims of anti-Semitism, and Russia sympathies, dogged its previous leader Jeremy Corbyn.

He says Labour will recognise a Palestinian state at some point during a peace process – a similar position to the Conservatives.

And it would be surprising if he did not make an early journey to Ukraine to show solidarity with President Volodymyr Zelenskyy.

Labour has promised to maintain the UK's support for Ukraine and its president Volodymyr Zelenskyy against Russia's invading forces. Getty Images
Labour has promised to maintain the UK's support for Ukraine and its president Volodymyr Zelenskyy against Russia's invading forces. Getty Images

Mr Starmer “is trying to send a message of reassurance, confidence, about Britain’s role in the world, in part to contrast with his predecessor,” Mr King said.

But “there are a group of Labour Party supporters who would like to see a more sympathetic position on Palestine, who would like to see faster recognition. Labour will have to work out how they manage that pressure”.

There will also be an “interesting contrast between a UK that could be returning to political stability, and the instability that you see politically right now in France”, noted Mr Barwell.

But any British gloating over that would soon be overshadowed by the difficulty in pursuing a new migration deal with a far-right French government.

With Labour set to scrap plans to deport failed asylum seekers to Rwanda, it is hoping a new deal with France will curb illegal migration across the English Channel.

It is “very unlikely” that a hard-right government in France “will be keen to help Britain solve the migration crisis”, said political professor and Labour watcher Eunice Goes. “That is going to be a very big challenge for the incoming government.”

Climate and tech

Labour's manifesto vows to “restore the strong global leadership needed to tackle the climate crisis” after Mr Sunak postponed some net zero targets.

A goal of using only clean electricity by 2030 is seen as a “stretch target” that could galvanise action even if it is not actually met.

Although Mr Starmer has scaled back plans for £28 billion ($35.53 billion) a year of green investment, new funding is promised for wind and solar power, hydrogen and carbon capture.

Keir Starmer wants to boost Britain's clean energy sector but has scaled back green investment plans in his manifesto. Getty Images
Keir Starmer wants to boost Britain's clean energy sector but has scaled back green investment plans in his manifesto. Getty Images

Chris Skidmore, the former Tory minister who symbolically signed Britain's net zero target into law in 2019, supported Labour on Thursday to back the green push.

The tech sector more broadly is interested in Labour's pledges to cap corporation tax, offer 10-year research budgets and relax rules on building laboratories and data centres.

Although Mr Starmer has not shown Mr Sunak's enthusiasm for artificial intelligence, Labour says it will bring in regulations to “ensure the safe development and use of AI models”.

Updated: July 06, 2024, 8:19 AM