Sudan’s humanitarian crisis is one of the worst the world has seen in "potentially decades" but a $1.8 billion funding appeal is falling badly short of its goal, a UN official has told The National.
In one example of the dire humanitarian situation, Mamadou Dian Balde, a director of UN refugee agency UNHCR responsible for East Africa, described meeting a Sudanese mother who trekked 350 kilometres on foot to escape the war in her country.
Mr Balde met her in February in neighbouring Chad, where more than 800,000 Sudanese are seeking refuge and where the mother had sought safety for her family. But some of her children disappeared en route, and her story still lingers with him and drives his mission.
One in three Sudanese have been displaced since deadly fighting broke out between the country’s Armed Forces and rival paramilitary Rapid Support Forces in April 2023, with the conflict now entering its third year. The Sudan conflict has killed tens of thousands of people and displaced millions more, according to UN figures.
What we need is to really step up our support for funding as well as step up our effort for peace because it has just gone on for far too long
Mamadou Dian Balde,
UNHCR regional director
Four million Sudanese have fled the country into neighbouring nations where resources are already stretched thin, such as Chad and South Sudan, while eight million are internally displaced, according to Mr Balde.
“When you have four million people outside the country in a matter of two years, it is quite unprecedented,” Mr Balde told The National. “That equates to the population of a whole country like Croatia.”
Funding gap
While refugee numbers and their humanitarian needs are on the rise, and with no end in sight to the conflict, funding to support UNHCR’s response to Sudan’s refugee crisis is at its "worst", Mr Balde said.
The Sudan Refugee Response Plan for 2025 has only met 11 per cent of its $1.8 billion target almost halfway into the year, a UNHCR report shows. The funding gap is massive at 89%, leaving displaced Sudanese with urgent humanitarian needs to bear the consequences, said Mr Balde.
“We have the worst humanitarian situation, the greatest displacement situation, and at the same time, the worst humanitarian funding. You can imagine that when you bring these three together, refugee numbers are growing, humanitarian needs are growing, but finances are at their worst,” he told The National.
The refugee response plan aims to provide life-saving assistance such as emergency shelters, relocation from border areas to safer locations, social support, clean water, health care and education. The plan also aims to help host countries strengthen their services and put in place programmes that will help bring stability.
Mr Balde is on an official trip to the Gulf to meet partners in the region, thank them for their contributions, and seek continued solidarity in actualising the response plan.
“What we need is to really step up our support for funding as well as step up our effort for peace because it has just gone on for far too long,” he said.
Mr Balde sat with The National at UNHCR’s offices in the International Humanitarian City of Dubai, ahead of a visit to the UN refugee agency’s largest global aid stockpile to oversee operations. The UAE has contributed more than $600 million in humanitarian aid to Sudan since the conflict erupted.
“When people think that Sudan is too far away, it's not. I think that's a message people should be reminded of,” Mr Balde told The National. “We are quite interconnected, and the message of solidarity towards this country is as relevant as ever.”
As the world witnesses other pressing global conflicts, the Sudan situation “remains central”, said Mr Balde. “We need real solidarity, not only statements,” he said.
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Conflict, drought, famine
Estimates of the number of deaths caused by the famine range from 400,000 to 1 million, according to a document prepared for the UK House of Lords in 2024.
It has been claimed that the policies of the Ethiopian government, which took control after deposing Emperor Haile Selassie in a military-led revolution in 1974, contributed to the scale of the famine.
Dr Miriam Bradley, senior lecturer in humanitarian studies at the University of Manchester, has argued that, by the early 1980s, “several government policies combined to cause, rather than prevent, a famine which lasted from 1983 to 1985. Mengistu’s government imposed Stalinist-model agricultural policies involving forced collectivisation and villagisation [relocation of communities into planned villages].
The West became aware of the catastrophe through a series of BBC News reports by journalist Michael Buerk in October 1984 describing a “biblical famine” and containing graphic images of thousands of people, including children, facing starvation.
Band Aid
Bob Geldof, singer with the Irish rock group The Boomtown Rats, formed Band Aid in response to the horrific images shown in the news broadcasts.
With Midge Ure of the band Ultravox, he wrote the hit charity single Do They Know it’s Christmas in December 1984, featuring a string of high-profile musicians.
Following the single’s success, the idea to stage a rock concert evolved.
Live Aid was a series of simultaneous concerts that took place at Wembley Stadium in London, John F Kennedy Stadium in Philadelphia, the US, and at various other venues across the world.
The combined event was broadcast to an estimated worldwide audience of 1.5 billion.
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Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.
Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.
“Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.
Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.
“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.
Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.
From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.
Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.
BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.
Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.
Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.
“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.
Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.
“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.
“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”
The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”