Mohammed Sinwar, the late Yahya Sinwar's younger brother. Photo: IDF
Mohammed Sinwar, the late Yahya Sinwar's younger brother. Photo: IDF
Mohammed Sinwar, the late Yahya Sinwar's younger brother. Photo: IDF
Mohammed Sinwar, the late Yahya Sinwar's younger brother. Photo: IDF

Brother of late Hamas leader may be calling the shots in Gaza talks from the shadows


Hamza Hendawi
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Mohammed Sinwar, widely believed to be the de facto commander of Hamas's military wing, had for years looked up to his older brother Yahya, the Hamas leader who was killed in Gaza in October.

Little is known about the younger Sinwar, with the 50-year-old, Gaza-born militant choosing a life in the shadows, guided by an uncompromising perception of Israel as the enemy.

“We know how to identify the spots in the occupation [Israel] that can cause maximum pain,” he said in an interview with Al Jazeera broadcast two years ago.

“The resistance has been able to establish important formulas in its confrontation with the occupation and how to pressure them,” said Mr Sinwar, whose face was in shadow during the interview. “Thanks be to God … the enemy now is deeply alarmed by that.”

Nicknamed Al Thel – Arabic for the shadow – in Gaza, Mr Sinwar is far more radical than his late brother, himself long viewed as such, sources said. The little that is known about him paints a picture of a man who has devoted his life to defeating Israel.

Yahya Sinwar was killed in southern Gaza in October 2024. EPA
Yahya Sinwar was killed in southern Gaza in October 2024. EPA

The sources said it was Israel's misfortune that Mr Sinwar was in charge of the estimated 100 Israeli and other hostages still being held out of about 250 abducted during the attack on southern Israel on October 7, 2023, by Hamas and other militant groups that killed 1,200 people and sparked the war in Gaza.

Negotiations mediated by the US, Egypt and Qatar have failed to produce any pause in fighting since a week-long truce at the end of November 2023. Then, Hamas freed about 100 hostages in exchange for the release of several hundred Israeli-held Palestinian detainees.

Talks in recent weeks on an extended ceasefire, hingeing on a similar exchange, have been energised by Donald Trump's US presidential election win and his pledge that there will be “hell to pay” if the hostages are not freed before his inauguration on January 20. The hostages, about 40 of whom are believed by Israel's military to have died in captivity, are effectively the only bargaining chip held by Hamas after 15 months of an Israeli military offensive in Gaza.

“I want a deal that fully compensates for the blood of all of our martyrs,” the sources quoted Mr Sinwar as saying in a recent note that reached the Egyptian and Qatari mediators through intermediaries.

That kind of deal might be a tall order given that Israel's offensive has left Hamas's military capabilities in tatters, killed more than 45,800 Palestinians and injured more than twice that number, the enclave's Health Ministry estimates.

Mourning for the dead of Israeli strikes in Deir Al Balah, Gaza. AP
Mourning for the dead of Israeli strikes in Deir Al Balah, Gaza. AP

But the sources said Mr Sinwar may believe Hamas has little to lose if it continues to hold off for the best deal possible. “Mohammed Sinwar's positions are behind most if not all the deadlocks in the negotiations since his brother died in October,” one source said. “He is known to be more radical than the older Sinwar, maybe because he has only known combat and hardly involved himself in politics.

“He is more security conscious than his brother now that everyone knows that Israel has its spies everywhere. He has had little if any dealings with civilians in Gaza.”

Mr Sinwar joined Hamas in the 1990s and had served several prison sentences in Israel and in jails belonging to the Palestinian Authority, in the occupied West Bank. He survived at least six assassination attempts by Israel and took part in an attack on Israel in June 2006 that ended with the capture of an Israeli soldier, Gilad Shalit.

A deal in 2011 resulted in Hamas exchanging Mr Shalit for more than 1,000 Palestinians imprisoned in Israel, including his brother Yahya. The younger Sinwar is credited with playing a leading behind-the-scenes role in the Egyptian-brokered negotiations that led to the swap, the sources said.

Israelis look at ruined buildings in Beit Hanoun in the Gaza Strip from a vantage point in northern Israel. Reuters
Israelis look at ruined buildings in Beit Hanoun in the Gaza Strip from a vantage point in northern Israel. Reuters

Both Sinwar brothers started out in Hamas's military wing, Ezzedine Al Qassam Brigades. But while Yahya rose quickly through the ranks to become the group's leader in Gaza and then its overall supremo three months before his death, his younger brother almost fell from the public eye shortly after he joined the military wing.

He has been so concerned with his personal security, according to reports, that he stayed away from his father's funeral in 2022 in case he was recognised by the public.

He and his older brother, however, have commemorated their father's name by giving themselves the alias Abu Ibrahim, using their father's first name rather than that of their firstborn male child as is customary among many Arab men.

A year ago, the Israeli military released a video clip purporting to show Mr Sinwar in the front passenger seat of a car moving through an underground tunnel in northern Gaza. The man in the clip looked to be in his forties, wearing a checked shirt. The authenticity of that video was never verified independently.

The younger Sinwar has for years been in charge of the rocket units that frequently showered Israel with projectiles, the sources said. He has also been the commander of the Southern Battalion based in Khan Younis, an outfit that was reputed to be Hamas's strongest and most battle-hardened, they said.

It is not clear, however, whether Mr Sinwar is now the commander of the entire military wing of Hamas. Mohammed Deif, who retains that title, was reported by Israel to have been killed in July but Hamas denies his death.

The sources said Mr Deif has been significantly incapacitated by injuries he had suffered in at least seven assassination attempts by Israel but kept his title as Ezzedine Al Qassam Brigades commander in recognition of his service, while Mr Sinwar is the actual commander.

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Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.

Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.

Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.

“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.

Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.

From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.

Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.

BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.

Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.

Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.

“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.

“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.

“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”

The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”

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Updated: January 07, 2025, 5:50 AM