Ukraine does not produce any rare earths but does possess large deposits of minerals such as lanthanum, cerium, neodymium and yttrium. Reuters
Ukraine does not produce any rare earths but does possess large deposits of minerals such as lanthanum, cerium, neodymium and yttrium. Reuters
Ukraine does not produce any rare earths but does possess large deposits of minerals such as lanthanum, cerium, neodymium and yttrium. Reuters
Ukraine does not produce any rare earths but does possess large deposits of minerals such as lanthanum, cerium, neodymium and yttrium. Reuters

What is in the US-Ukraine minerals deal?


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US President Donald Trump and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy were supposed to sign a landmark deal at the White House on Friday, but their Oval Office meeting went off the rails and the two parties did not sign the agreement, leaving its future uncertain.

If it does survive in its current form, the deal would form a key component in Mr Trump's plans to end the Russia-Ukraine war. He says an American business presence in the country would serve as a security guarantee against future Russian aggression after the fighting stops, and views rare earth minerals as a way to recoup the money the US has spent in providing support to Ukraine.

Here is a look at what is and is not in the US-Ukraine deal.

Mineral wealth

Mr Trump says the US needs rare earth minerals “very badly”. Access to rare earth minerals will be vital to future economic growth, as the elements are used in batteries, computers and many advanced technologies, including solar panels. Under the deal, Ukraine would contribute 50 per cent of “all revenues earned from the future monetisation of all relevant Ukrainian government-owned natural resource assets” to a reconstruction fund jointly owned and managed by the US and Ukraine.

The agreement does not specify how the funds would be spent or identify specific assets it covers, though it says they would include deposits of minerals, oil and natural gas as well as infrastructure such as gas terminals and ports. An initial version of the deal, which Mr Zelenskyy rejected, sought $500 billion for the US.

That is far more than the US has sent to Ukraine and would amount to an almost perpetual right to mine many of Ukraine's mineral assets. Mr Trump has falsely claimed the US has spent up to $350 billion in Ukraine. In reality, Congress has approved a total of $175 billion for Ukraine since Russia's full-scale invasion in 2022.

“American taxpayers will now effectively be reimbursed for the money and hundreds of billions of dollars poured into helping Ukraine defend itself, which, by and of itself, is a very worthy thing to do,” Mr Trump said on Thursday. Ukraine does not currently produce any rare earths, but, according to Ukraine's Institute of Geology, it possesses large deposits of such minerals, including lanthanum, cerium, neodymium and yttrium.

Security guarantees

While the agreement would open up Ukraine's vast mineral wealth to the US, it does not include explicit American security guarantees for Ukraine. Furthermore, the terms of the deal are broad and further negotiations will be needed to pin down details.

Mr Trump says the presence of Americans doing business in Ukraine would serve as its own form of security guarantee. Speaking at the White House on Friday, Mr Zelenskyy said the deal is the “first step to real security guarantees for Ukraine, our children".

“I really count on it. And of course we call that America will not stop support,” he added.

President Donald Trump and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy at the White House on Friday. Reuters
President Donald Trump and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy at the White House on Friday. Reuters
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Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.

Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.

Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.

“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.

Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.

From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.

Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.

BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.

Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.

Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.

“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.

“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.

“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”

The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”

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THE BIO

Family: I have three siblings, one older brother (age 25) and two younger sisters, 20 and 13 

Favourite book: Asking for my favourite book has to be one of the hardest questions. However a current favourite would be Sidewalk by Mitchell Duneier

Favourite place to travel to: Any walkable city. I also love nature and wildlife 

What do you love eating or cooking: I’m constantly in the kitchen. Ever since I changed the way I eat I enjoy choosing and creating what goes into my body. However, nothing can top home cooked food from my parents. 

Favorite place to go in the UAE: A quiet beach.

Updated: March 01, 2025, 4:14 AM