Tunisian President Kais Saied has ratified a government decision to receive a $147 million loan from the European Bank for Reconstruction and Development (EBRD).
As announced by the EBRD on August 24, Decree 64 — issued on Wednesday — said that the bank will guarantee the ability of Tunisia’s Office of Cereals “to fund imports of soft wheat, durum wheat and barley, representing up to 15 per cent of Tunisia’s annual consumption needs”.
The presidential decree stated that the loan will contribute to the state’s Food Security Resilience Project, a strategy put in place in response to rising food prices following the Covid-19 pandemic and the Russian invasion of Ukraine.
Tunisia has been hit by a food crisis in recent weeks, with shortages of several basic goods such as sugar, coffee, milk and wheat-based products, as well as a sudden rise in overall prices.
Empty shelves, long supermarket queues, fistfights over certain goods and bakeries shutting down due to a lack of ingredients have caused a public outcry over the government's handling of the crisis.
Mr Saied has blamed hoarders and unnamed parties for causing shortages and rising prices.
However, with the EBRD loan, the Tunisian government hopes it will be able to import much needed cereals to cover the shortages in the market.
After a visit by its board of directors, the EBRD said on Wednesday that it expects Tunisia to reach a 2.9 per cent economic growth rate in 2023, with recent progress made in negotiations with the International Monetary Fund for a bailout loan.
The government’s approach to reform continues to be the target of strong domestic opposition, namely from the country's biggest labour union, the Tunisian General Labour Union, due to what it says is a deferential attitude to international financial institutions.
Over the years, the IMF and the World Bank have asked the Tunisian government to enact a wide range of reforms, including civil sector wages and the current subsidy system.
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How to play the stock market recovery in 2021?
If you are looking to build your long-term wealth in 2021 and beyond, the stock market is still the best place to do it as equities powered on despite the pandemic.
Investing in individual stocks is not for everyone and most private investors should stick to mutual funds and ETFs, but there are some thrilling opportunities for those who understand the risks.
Peter Garnry, head of equity strategy at Saxo Bank, says the 20 best-performing US and European stocks have delivered an average return year-to-date of 148 per cent, measured in local currency terms.
Online marketplace Etsy was the best performer with a return of 330.6 per cent, followed by communications software company Sinch (315.4 per cent), online supermarket HelloFresh (232.8 per cent) and fuel cells specialist NEL (191.7 per cent).
Mr Garnry says digital companies benefited from the lockdown, while green energy firms flew as efforts to combat climate change were ramped up, helped in part by the European Union’s green deal.
Electric car company Tesla would be on the list if it had been part of the S&P 500 Index, but it only joined on December 21. “Tesla has become one of the most valuable companies in the world this year as demand for electric vehicles has grown dramatically,” Mr Garnry says.
By contrast, the 20 worst-performing European stocks fell 54 per cent on average, with European banks hit by the economic fallout from the pandemic, while cruise liners and airline stocks suffered due to travel restrictions.
As demand for energy fell, the oil and gas industry had a tough year, too.
Mr Garnry says the biggest story this year was the “absolute crunch” in so-called value stocks, companies that trade at low valuations compared to their earnings and growth potential.
He says they are “heavily tilted towards financials, miners, energy, utilities and industrials, which have all been hit hard by the Covid-19 pandemic”. “The last year saw these cheap stocks become cheaper and expensive stocks have become more expensive.”
This has triggered excited talk about the “great value rotation” but Mr Garnry remains sceptical. “We need to see a breakout of interest rates combined with higher inflation before we join the crowd.”
Always remember that past performance is not a guarantee of future returns. Last year’s winners often turn out to be this year’s losers, and vice-versa.
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