UAE steel makers have become the latest industry to be hit by a growing wave of anti-dumping action by governments around the world.
The US commerce department on Tuesday set final tariff rates on steel pipes from the UAE, alleging that they are being sold in the country below fair value.
The US set similar tariffs on pipes from India, Vietnam and Oman for the same reason. Before the final duties can come into effect, the independent US international trade commission has to decide whether producers in the United States are being harmed by the imports.
The move comes as the UAE battles against a rise in anti-dumping probes and duties imposed against exports of the country's goods. Governments from the US, Canada, Brazil, Pakistan, Jordan and Egypt have targeted UAE exporters in recent months.
UAE officials have denied US allegations that its steel producers receive government subsidies that break World Trade Organization (WTO) rules.
The Ministry of Economy, which is in charge of responding to anti-dumping actions against UAE goods, says they pose a risk to the push to build non-oil trade.
"Exports of national products of high quality and competitive price have increased to many international markets. This expansion increases the risk of protectionist measures against them," said Abdullah Sultan Shamsi, the leader of the industrial affairs department at the Ministry of Economy.
Officials say they are considering all options to respond to the action, including the possibility of raising an appeal with the WTO.
Protectionist measures, such as duties imposed against cheap imports, have risen globally this year, Pascal Lamy, the WTO director general, warned last month. Industry observers cite a sluggish outlook for trade, high unemployment in developed markets and slowing growth in emerging markets as likely drivers of the trend.
The UAE has been caught up in several disputes. A US trade panel in April approved duties ranging from 2.8 per cent to almost 185 per cent on steel nails from the UAE.
The latest action by the US commerce department is the outcome of a 12-month investigation into complaints by several US steel producers that exporters of circular welded carbon-quality steel pipes from the UAE, Oman, India and Vietnam were competing unfairly due to subsidies received from their governments.
In May, the US set preliminary tariffs of 11.7 per cent against such products from Abu Dhabi Metal Pipes & Profiles Industries. Preliminary tariffs of 3.29 per cent were set against Universal Tube and Plastic Industries, a producer based in Dubai, and all other exporters of the goods. Nobody was available to comment from those companies.
Exports of UAE steel pipes to the US more than doubled to US$53.9 million (Dh197.9m) last year from $26.3m the previous year.
Asim Siddiqui, the managing director of Age Group, a privately owned steel producer, said his company was unaffected by the decision. It exports primarily to the GCC and North Africa.
"We do not receive subsidies and I'm unaware of any subsidy support for private sector steel companies in the UAE," he said.
The Ministry of Economy is fighting similar allegations from Canada. Officials last month met the Canada Border Services Agency following complaints about the pricing of UAE steel exports. Jordan's government has also investigated the price of rebar from the country.
tarnold@thenational.ae
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Director: Matty Brown
Stars: Nadine Labaki, Ziad Bakri, Zain Al Rafeea, Riman Al Rafeea
Rating: 2.5/5
Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.
Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.
“Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.
Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.
“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.
Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.
From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.
Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.
BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.
Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.
Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.
“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.
Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.
“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.
“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”
The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”
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Retirement funds heavily invested in equities at a risky time
Pension funds in growing economies in Asia, Latin America and the Middle East have a sharply higher percentage of assets parked in stocks, just at a time when trade tensions threaten to derail markets.
Retirement money managers in 14 geographies now allocate 40 per cent of their assets to equities, an 8 percentage-point climb over the past five years, according to a Mercer survey released last week that canvassed government, corporate and mandatory pension funds with almost $5 trillion in assets under management. That compares with about 25 per cent for pension funds in Europe.
The escalating trade spat between the US and China has heightened fears that stocks are ripe for a downturn. With tensions mounting and outcomes driven more by politics than economics, the S&P 500 Index will be on course for a “full-scale bear market” without Federal Reserve interest-rate cuts, Citigroup’s global macro strategy team said earlier this week.
The increased allocation to equities by growth-market pension funds has come at the expense of fixed-income investments, which declined 11 percentage points over the five years, according to the survey.
Hong Kong funds have the highest exposure to equities at 66 per cent, although that’s been relatively stable over the period. Japan’s equity allocation jumped 13 percentage points while South Korea’s increased 8 percentage points.
The money managers are also directing a higher portion of their funds to assets outside of their home countries. On average, foreign stocks now account for 49 per cent of respondents’ equity investments, 4 percentage points higher than five years ago, while foreign fixed-income exposure climbed 7 percentage points to 23 per cent. Funds in Japan, South Korea, Malaysia and Taiwan are among those seeking greater diversification in stocks and fixed income.
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