UAE economic recovery fuels broker growth



For the country’s brokerage firms, bread and butter income is from trading commissions and they are benefiting from a significant rise in market activity, posting a second consecutive quarter of overall profitability last month.

That has reversed a string of losses since the global financial crisis.

“The trend is here to stay,” says Wafic Nsouli, the executive director of institutional sales at Arqaam Capital, an investment bank in Dubai.

“UAE governments, corporate and households in much better shape post the crash and equity volumes are reflecting both this and the reflation of real asset values.”

Net income for the third quarter reached Dh79.3 million for the 47 companies that trade on the Abu Dhabi Securities Exchange and Dubai Financial Market.

That is higher than the profit recorded in the previous quarter of Dh64.3m. Losses reached Dh48.15m in the third quarter of last year.

Dubai’s benchmark index, ranked second globally in US dollar terms, has surged about 85 per cent this year. The Abu Dhabi Securities Exchange General Index, ranked third globally, has jumped almost 50 per cent in the same period.

Indeed, the Emirates’ share markets rally has dramatically improved the fortunes of the brokerage industry, which had been consolidating and restructuring following the global downturn.

“It doesn’t take a genius. Trading volume is up, less competition, the approaching MSCI inclusion that would bring more volumes,” says Tariq Qaqish, the head of asset management at Al Mal Capital in Dubai. “Of course it’s better.”

The international index compiler MSCI, which tracks US$7.3 trillion in equities around the world, in June classified the UAE as an emerging market, an upgrade from its previous designation as a frontier market. Traded value on the country’s bourses reached Dh72.25 billion in the third quarter, compared with Dh13.08bn in the same period last year, a more than five-fold increase.

“The graduation of UAE to the MSCI EM index has brought the market to the attention of a whole new band of investors,” Mr Nsouli says. Following the establishment of Dubai’s financial free zone in 2004, western lenders flocked to the emirate to capitalise on a range of activity from taking companies public to advising on sovereign fund mandates. But the global financial crisis cut access to credit in the emirate, triggering a major sell-off across Dubai’s banking and property sectors.

From 2005 to 2011, the emirate’s index lost more than 80 per cent of its value. Traded value on the UAE markets also dropped from Dh537bn in 2005 to a trough of Dh57bn.

Investment banks, whose key businesses include equity research and brokerage services, were forced to rethink their business presence, leading to retrenchments and the closure of their loss-making divisions.

As market liquidity dried up in the country, HSBC decided to shut its local brokerage and service its institutional clients through its global hub.

Its decision was significant to the industry as it was the first international bank to secure a licence to trade on the local bourses.

There are today 47 equity brokerages operating in the UAE, down from 103 in 2010, according to the website of the financial regulator.

halsayegh@thenational.ae

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Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.

Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.

Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.

“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.

Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.

From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.

Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.

BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.

Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.

Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.

“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.

“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.

“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”

The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”

A State of Passion

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