If the former chief executive of the Royal Bank of Scotland had been a Muslim and had run his bank on Sharia-compliant principles, would it have prevented the disaster that has befallen RBS?
It sounds hypothetical in the extreme. Sir Fred is a Scots Presbyterian, and RBS was the epitome of gung-ho western capitalism before it came crashing down.
But the question came to me as I sat at a dinner in Dubai's Grand Hyatt hotel this week, where 300 or so bankers and financiers had gathered to slap each other on the back at the Islamic Finance News Awards ceremony. If the financial world was run on Sharia lines, the backslappers concurred, we would not be in the middle of economic meltdown.
That opinion came not just from Dubai. In Jakarta, president Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono of Indonesia told the World Islamic Economic Forum much the same thing, adding that Islamic financiers should "do some missionary work in the West" to teach the former masters of the universe how to run a proper banking system.
Incongruously, the sentiment was echoed in Rome, where the Vatican newspaper L'Osservatore Romano said: "The ethical principles on which Islam is based may bring banks closer to their clients and to the true spirit which should mark every financial service ... Western banks should use tools such as the Islamic bonds known as sukuk as collateral."
From the Far East, to the Gulf, and on to the heart of Christendom, the belief has been gaining ground as quickly as the financial crisis has accelerated: if western bankers had applied the cautious, prudent methods of Islam, instead of the bonus-fuelled jiggery-pokery of the US and Europe, we would not be on the brink of financial disaster.
Islamic financial principles can show us a way out of the mess.
They have a point. Apart from banning investment in industries such as alcohol and gambling, Islam also bans financial interest and the so-called "products" that derive from them.
Collateralised debt obligations, the class of products largely responsible for our current disaster, are as un-Islamic as it gets.
Sharia-compliant personal and consumer finance, such as mortgages, leasing agreements and loans, are matched much more closely than their western counterparts to true asset value and are generally more conservatively rated. That does not mean Islamic finance has been unaffected by the crisis caused by the West. There are credit crunches and liquidity shortages aplenty in the Gulf, and the rest of the Muslim world - the direct result of western contagion.
My host at the Dubai dinner, Dr Humayon Dar, the chief executive officer of the BMB Islamic group controlled by the Sultan of Brunei and several Middle East royal families, put it neatly: "Western institutions are sick and hospitalised; Islamic financials are hospitalised alongside them, but not that sick. We can be back on our feet more quickly."
But if so, will they pull the West out of its predicament? And will the western financials pay any more attention to Islamic banking once they get out of the current predicament?
Within the global economy, Islamic finance is still minuscule. According to London Business School, the total value of Islamic financial business in 2007 was something like US$729 billion (Dh2.6 trillion).
That sounds big, roughly the same magnitude as the US government's current bailout programme of its toxic assets, but it is still a mere 1 per cent of the total value of the world economy.
With 1.6 billion Muslims out of the world population of 6.6 billion, you could argue that Muslims are hugely underserved by their financial providers. So there is plenty of potential.
Some western bankers saw that several years ago, and there was a rush to hire Muslim staff and initiate Sharia-compliant operations. These focused on the big Muslim communities in the Middle East, Indonesia and Malaysia, but also began to fish in the big pools of Islamic communities in Europe and North America.
Whether this represents "conversion" to Islamic financial methods on the part of westerners is another matter. They were after business, of course, and particularly the big pools of liquidity held by governments and wealthy individuals in the Gulf, and the mass markets of the Far East. Their motive was profit, not a more secure global financial system, and they were ready to bolt on Sharia-compliant procedures to the most hair-raising and risk-taking aspects of casino capitalism.
They also did it grudgingly and with many reservations. There was much complaint in western banking circles about lack of regulation in Islamic finance, the high fees needed to lure the comparatively small number of Sharia-qualified financiers in the world, and the cost of "fatwa-shopping", the process by which western-originated financial products were issued with Sharia-compliant authorisation.
"It's a con. They know it and we know it. But it's the price we have to pay for access to the Islamic markets," said one western banker at the Hyatt last week.
There is no real conversion to Islamic principles there; merely a typical western business imperative to get a slice of some action when conventional markets are locked in financial paralysis.
HSBC, one of the better-run global banks that has so far stayed out of the spiral of government bailout, has decided Islamic finance is a top priority.
"It will be one of the few areas of world finance where there is any growth this year. We think the market for sukuks will revive and there is huge potential in consumer retail banking products. The demographics are all-important: Islam is young and growing, Christendom is old and dying," said a Dubai HSBC executive.
But what about Sir Fred, and his bonus - would a multimillion-dollar compensation package for wrecking RBS have been acceptable under Sharia principles?
Dr Dar said: "It would not have been 'haram' (forbidden) - that is a very strong phrase in Islamic finance. But it would have been objectionable."
That is roughly the predicament of the British politicians are trying to get him to pay it back. It seems the two systems have plenty in common already.
business@thenational.ae
Champions parade (UAE timings)
7pm Gates open
8pm Deansgate stage showing starts
9pm Parade starts at Manchester Cathedral
9.45pm Parade ends at Peter Street
10pm City players on stage
11pm event ends
Match info
Costa Rica 0
Serbia 1
Kolarov (56')
RESULT
Argentina 0 Croatia 3
Croatia: Rebic (53'), Modric (80'), Rakitic (90' 1)
Avatar: Fire and Ash
Director: James Cameron
Starring: Sam Worthington, Sigourney Weaver, Zoe Saldana
Rating: 4.5/5
Fixtures
Wednesday
4.15pm: Japan v Spain (Group A)
5.30pm: UAE v Italy (Group A)
6.45pm: Russia v Mexico (Group B)
8pm: Iran v Egypt (Group B)
Key findings of Jenkins report
- Founder of the Muslim Brotherhood, Hassan al Banna, "accepted the political utility of violence"
- Views of key Muslim Brotherhood ideologue, Sayyid Qutb, have “consistently been understood” as permitting “the use of extreme violence in the pursuit of the perfect Islamic society” and “never been institutionally disowned” by the movement.
- Muslim Brotherhood at all levels has repeatedly defended Hamas attacks against Israel, including the use of suicide bombers and the killing of civilians.
- Laying out the report in the House of Commons, David Cameron told MPs: "The main findings of the review support the conclusion that membership of, association with, or influence by the Muslim Brotherhood should be considered as a possible indicator of extremism."
Results
%3Cp%3EStage%204%3A%0D%3Cbr%3E1.%20Juan%20Sebastian%20Molano%20(COL)%20Team%20UAE%20Emirates%20%E2%80%93%203hrs%2050min%2001sec%0D%3Cbr%3E2.%20Olav%20Kooij%20(NED)%20Jumbo-Visma%20%E2%80%93%20ST%0D%3Cbr%3E3.%20Sam%20Welsford%20(AUS)%20Team%20DSM)%20%E2%80%93%20ST%0D%3Cbr%3EGeneral%20Classification%3A%0D%3Cbr%3E1.%20Remco%20Evenepoel%20(BEL)%20Soudal%20Quick-Step%0D%3Cbr%3E2.%20Lucas%20Plapp%20(AUS)%20Ineos%20Grenaders%20%E2%80%93%207%E2%80%B3%0D%3Cbr%3E3.%20Pello%20Bilbao%20(ESP)%20Bahrain%20Victorious%20%E2%80%93%2011%E2%80%B3%3C%2Fp%3E%0A
Saturday's schedule at the Abu Dhabi Grand Prix
GP3 race, 12:30pm
Formula 1 final practice, 2pm
Formula 1 qualifying, 5pm
Formula 2 race, 6:40pm
Performance: Sam Smith
How will Gen Alpha invest?
Mark Chahwan, co-founder and chief executive of robo-advisory firm Sarwa, forecasts that Generation Alpha (born between 2010 and 2024) will start investing in their teenage years and therefore benefit from compound interest.
“Technology and education should be the main drivers to make this happen, whether it’s investing in a few clicks or their schools/parents stepping up their personal finance education skills,” he adds.
Mr Chahwan says younger generations have a higher capacity to take on risk, but for some their appetite can be more cautious because they are investing for the first time. “Schools still do not teach personal finance and stock market investing, so a lot of the learning journey can feel daunting and intimidating,” he says.
He advises millennials to not always start with an aggressive portfolio even if they can afford to take risks. “We always advise to work your way up to your risk capacity, that way you experience volatility and get used to it. Given the higher risk capacity for the younger generations, stocks are a favourite,” says Mr Chahwan.
Highlighting the role technology has played in encouraging millennials and Gen Z to invest, he says: “They were often excluded, but with lower account minimums ... a customer with $1,000 [Dh3,672] in their account has their money working for them just as hard as the portfolio of a high get-worth individual.”
Dirham Stretcher tips for having a baby in the UAE
Selma Abdelhamid, the group's moderator, offers her guide to guide the cost of having a young family:
• Buy second hand stuff
They grow so fast. Don't get a second hand car seat though, unless you 100 per cent know it's not expired and hasn't been in an accident.
• Get a health card and vaccinate your child for free at government health centres
Ms Ma says she discovered this after spending thousands on vaccinations at private clinics.
• Join mum and baby coffee mornings provided by clinics, babysitting companies or nurseries.
Before joining baby classes ask for a free trial session. This way you will know if it's for you or not. You'll be surprised how great some classes are and how bad others are.
• Once baby is ready for solids, cook at home
Take the food with you in reusable pouches or jars. You'll save a fortune and you'll know exactly what you're feeding your child.
RACE CARD
6.30pm: Maiden (TB) Dh82,500 (Dirt) 1,200m
7.05pm: Maiden (TB) Dh82,500 (D) 1,900m
7.40pm: Handicap (TB) Dh102,500 (D) 2,000m
8.15pm: Conditions (TB) Dh120,000 (D) 1,600m
8.50pm: Handicap (TB) Dh95,000 (D) 1,600m
9.25pm: Handicap (TB) Dh87,500 (D) 1,400m
UAE currency: the story behind the money in your pockets
UAE SQUAD
Khalid Essa, Ali Khaseif, Fahad Al Dhanhani, Adel Al Hosani, Bandar Al Ahbabi, Mohammad Barghash, Salem Rashid, Khalifa Al Hammadi, Shaheen Abdulrahman, Hassan Al Mahrami, Walid Abbas, Mahmoud Khamis, Yousef Jaber, Majed Sorour, Majed Hassan, Ali Salmeen, Abdullah Ramadan, Abdullah Al Naqbi, Khalil Al Hammadi, Fabio De Lima, Khalfan Mubarak, Tahnoon Al Zaabi, Ali Saleh, Caio Canedo, Ali Mabkhout, Sebastian Tagliabue, Zayed Al Ameri
Why it pays to compare
A comparison of sending Dh20,000 from the UAE using two different routes at the same time - the first direct from a UAE bank to a bank in Germany, and the second from the same UAE bank via an online platform to Germany - found key differences in cost and speed. The transfers were both initiated on January 30.
Route 1: bank transfer
The UAE bank charged Dh152.25 for the Dh20,000 transfer. On top of that, their exchange rate margin added a difference of around Dh415, compared with the mid-market rate.
Total cost: Dh567.25 - around 2.9 per cent of the total amount
Total received: €4,670.30
Route 2: online platform
The UAE bank’s charge for sending Dh20,000 to a UK dirham-denominated account was Dh2.10. The exchange rate margin cost was Dh60, plus a Dh12 fee.
Total cost: Dh74.10, around 0.4 per cent of the transaction
Total received: €4,756
The UAE bank transfer was far quicker – around two to three working days, while the online platform took around four to five days, but was considerably cheaper. In the online platform transfer, the funds were also exposed to currency risk during the period it took for them to arrive.
World Sevens Series standing after Dubai
1. South Africa
2. New Zealand
3. England
4. Fiji
5. Australia
6. Samoa
7. Kenya
8. Scotland
9. France
10. Spain
11. Argentina
12. Canada
13. Wales
14. Uganda
15. United States
16. Russia