Sujan Hajra, the chief economist at Anand Rathi, an investment bank based in Mumbai, gives his views on the Indian budget.
How do you think the budget compared with expectations?
What is very important to understand is the background of the budget. The background of this budget is a very subdued environment. The growth is discouraging and the inflation - particularly food and consumer price inflation - is extremely stubborn. The current account deficit is at a record high. India faces a possible credit rating downgrade.
So the first objective of the finance minister was to do fiscal consolidation. So he had to garner revenue and rationalise expenditure. From that perspective, that's what the finance minister thankfully has done.
What about the role of the elections in 2014?
There was a significant apprehension that this being the last full budget before the next general elections, there could be a significant amount of populist measures in terms of welfare spending, but that hasn't actually materialised. If you look at two of the flagship projects, the allocations have been modest, so this hasn't been a populist budget.
Do you think there was an element of disappointment?
There has been some amount of disappointment. There has been disappointment in terms of expectations that people had for some of the measures which could have been done to induce the revival of the equity market. There hasn't been any major reform there.
On top of that there has been the "super rich" tax as well as for the companies, which has disappointed some people. We have some apprehension about the budget numbers. The government is thinking about almost a 6 percentage point increase in the collection under the corporate income tax, so that implicitly assumes at least a 5 percentage point increase in corporate earnings. Under the current situation that may not materialise.
How do you think foreign investors are likely to react to the budget?
The finance minister raised the issue of GAAR (General Anti Avoidance Rule), though it has been postponed for some time.
That's something which might slightly unnerve the foreign companies.
Also, for repatriation of royalties by foreign companies, there has been an increase in the tax rate for that.
Now, FIIs [foreign institutional investors] who hold more than 10 per cent of a company, that will now be clubbed as FDI [foreign direct investment] and the income will become business income rather than investment income.
For tax purposes that might become a problem.
business@thenational.ae
Earth under attack: Cosmic impacts throughout history
- 4.5 billion years ago: Mars-sized object smashes into the newly-formed Earth, creating debris that coalesces to form the Moon
- 66 million years ago: 10km-wide asteroid crashes into the Gulf of Mexico, wiping out over 70 per cent of living species – including the dinosaurs.
- 50,000 years ago: 50m-wide iron meteor crashes in Arizona with the violence of 10 megatonne hydrogen bomb, creating the famous 1.2km-wide Barringer Crater
- 1490: Meteor storm over Shansi Province, north-east China when large stones “fell like rain”, reportedly leading to thousands of deaths.
- 1908: 100-metre meteor from the Taurid Complex explodes near the Tunguska river in Siberia with the force of 1,000 Hiroshima-type bombs, devastating 2,000 square kilometres of forest.
- 1998: Comet Shoemaker-Levy 9 breaks apart and crashes into Jupiter in series of impacts that would have annihilated life on Earth.
-2013: 10,000-tonne meteor burns up over the southern Urals region of Russia, releasing a pressure blast and flash that left over 1600 people injured.
The biog
Favourite food: Tabbouleh, greek salad and sushi
Favourite TV show: That 70s Show
Favourite animal: Ferrets, they are smart, sensitive, playful and loving
Favourite holiday destination: Seychelles, my resolution for 2020 is to visit as many spiritual retreats and animal shelters across the world as I can
Name of first pet: Eddy, a Persian cat that showed up at our home
Favourite dog breed: I love them all - if I had to pick Yorkshire terrier for small dogs and St Bernard's for big
MATCH INFO
Uefa Champions League last-16, second leg:
Real Madrid 1 (Asensio 70'), Ajax 4 (Ziyech 7', Neres 18', Tadic 62', Schone 72')
Ajax win 5-3 on aggregate
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Fifa Club World Cup:
When: December 6-16
Where: Games to take place at Zayed Sports City in Abu Dhabi and Hazza bin Zayed Stadium in Al Ain
Defending champions: Real Madrid