Global smartphone shipments fell to their lowest third-quarter levels in a decade as the recovery in consumer demand was slower than expected.
The 8 per cent annual drop in the three months ended in September marked a ninth quarter of declines in a row, despite a 2 per cent quarter-on-quarter increase, Counterpoint Research said in its quarterly update.
The top five original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) all reported annual declines, with Samsung Electronics and Apple, the two biggest players, posting drops of 13 per cent and 9 per cent, respectively.
Seoul-based Samsung maintained its lead with about a fifth of total sales in the three-month period, despite mixed response for its new generation of foldables, the Galaxy Z Fold5 and Flip5, the Hong Kong-based firm said.
While the Flip5 has been reported to be outselling the Fold 5 by nearly twice as much, Samsung's A series smartphones continued to be market leaders in the mid-price categories, it said.
Apple, meanwhile, was in second place with a 16 per cent market share, despite the limited availability of the recently-launched but well-received iPhone 15 series, the report said.
Apple's yearly decline, however, was the lowest among the top five OEMs.
“The market’s quarter-on-quarter growth, especially the positive performance in September despite one full week less of sales of the new iPhones, is likely to be a sign of positive news ahead,” Counterpoint said.
Demand for smartphones, the most popular and most important communication tool, have been tepid in recent years as consumers have cut down on spending and increasingly postponed upgrading their devices.
The market has also been roiled by a variety of factors, including uncertain economic conditions, high inflation and supply chain issues.
Xiaomi, Oppo and Vivo rounded out the top five with market shares of 12 per cent, 10 per cent and 8 per cent, respectively. They logged annual declines of 15 per cent, 10 per cent and 14 per cent, respectively.
The three brands concentrated in boosting their footprints in markets such as China and India, the two most populous countries with big technology industries, while continuing to slow down expansion efforts in other overseas markets, the study said.
Huawei Technologies, its former subsidiary Honor and China's Transsion Group gained market share and were among the only companies to post annual growth in the third quarter, Counterpoint said.
Huawei was driven by the launch of its Mate 60 series in China, while Honor was boosted by strong performance in overseas markets.
Transsion, the owner of the Tecno, Infinix and Itel brands popular in Africa, continued to expand while also benefiting from the recovery in the Middle East and Africa market.
Regionally, MEA was the only region to record annual growth in the third quarter, as macroeconomic indicators improved, the study showed. Most developed markets, such as North America, Western Europe and South Korea, posted steep declines.
“However, we expect most developed markets to grow in the fourth quarter largely due to the delayed effect of the iPhone launch,” it said.
Counterpoint has also repeated its expectations that the smartphone market will post a full-year decline in 2023 and reach its lowest level in a decade.
This will be largely a result of a shift in device replacement patterns, particularly in developed markets, it said.
“Notably, the recovery of emerging markets before the global market and the growth of brands outside of the top five indicate the shifting dynamics and opportunities in the global smartphone market,” Counterpoint said.
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Goalkeepers: Ibrahim Alma, Mahmoud Al Youssef, Ahmad Madania.
Defenders: Ahmad Al Salih, Moayad Ajan, Jehad Al Baour, Omar Midani, Amro Jenyat, Hussein Jwayed, Nadim Sabagh, Abdul Malek Anezan.
Midfielders: Mahmoud Al Mawas, Mohammed Osman, Osama Omari, Tamer Haj Mohamad, Ahmad Ashkar, Youssef Kalfa, Zaher Midani, Khaled Al Mobayed, Fahd Youssef.
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Champions League quarter-final, first leg
Manchester United v Barcelona, Wednesday, 11pm (UAE)
Match on BeIN Sports
Major honours
ARSENAL
BARCELONA
- La Liga - 2013
- Copa del Rey - 2012
- Fifa Club World Cup - 2011
CHELSEA
- Premier League - 2015, 2017
- FA Cup - 2018
- League Cup - 2015
SPAIN
- World Cup - 2010
- European Championship - 2008, 2012
Top 5 concerns globally:
1. Unemployment
2. Spread of infectious diseases
3. Fiscal crises
4. Cyber attacks
5. Profound social instability
Top 5 concerns in the Mena region
1. Energy price shock
2. Fiscal crises
3. Spread of infectious diseases
4. Unmanageable inflation
5. Cyber attacks
Source: World Economic Foundation
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Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.
Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.
“Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.
Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.
“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.
Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.
From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.
Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.
BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.
Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.
Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.
“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.
Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.
“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.
“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”
The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”
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MATCH INFO
Juventus 1 (Dybala 45')
Lazio 3 (Alberto 16', Lulic 73', Cataldi 90 4')
Red card: Rodrigo Bentancur (Juventus)
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The alternatives
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• Business Bay’s Pallapay claims 40,000-plus active merchants who can invoice customers and receive payment by card. Fees range from 1.99 per cent plus Dh1 per transaction depending on payment method and location, such as online or via UAE mobile.
• Tap started in May 2013 in Kuwait, allowing Middle East businesses to bill, accept, receive and make payments online “easier, faster and smoother” via goSell and goCollect. It supports more than 10,000 merchants. Monthly fees range from US$65-100, plus card charges of 2.75-3.75 per cent and Dh1.2 per sale.
• 2checkout’s “all-in-one payment gateway and merchant account” accepts payments in 200-plus markets for 2.4-3.9 per cent, plus a Dh1.2-Dh1.8 currency conversion charge. The US provider processes online shop and mobile transactions and has 17,000-plus active digital commerce users.
• PayPal is probably the best-known online goods payment method - usually used for eBay purchases - but can be used to receive funds, providing everyone’s signed up. Costs from 2.9 per cent plus Dh1.2 per transaction.