Different sectors are adopting artificial intelligence at varied speeds in the GCC. Reuters
Different sectors are adopting artificial intelligence at varied speeds in the GCC. Reuters
Different sectors are adopting artificial intelligence at varied speeds in the GCC. Reuters
Different sectors are adopting artificial intelligence at varied speeds in the GCC. Reuters

Adopting AI technology can contribute $150bn to GCC economies, McKinsey says


Deena Kamel
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Adopting artificial intelligence technology can contribute as much as $150 billion to Gulf economies, the equivalent to about 9 per cent of their combined gross domestic product, a report has found.

Research by global consultancy McKinsey suggests the estimate could be quickly exceeded, given the fast-paced development of technology such as generative AI.

An online survey – involving 119 senior executives and board directors from six Gulf countries – was held in partnership with the GCC Board Directors Institute.

The executives were in five sectors – retail, professional services, energy, capital projects and financial services.

More than six in 10 (62 per cent) respondents said their organisations used AI in at least one business function, compared with 59 per cent in North America, 48 per cent in Europe and 55 per cent in the Asia-Pacific region.

“With the rapid pace of technological innovation, AI has emerged as a transformative force, reshaping industries and societies.

“We believe it has the potential to deliver huge value in the Middle East’s GCC countries,” said Vinay Chandran, partner at McKinsey.

Governments and businesses across the Middle East are becoming increasingly aware of the global shift towards AI and advanced technology, amid the Fourth Industrial Revolution.

A robo-cafe machine from Reliable Robotics at the Mohamed bin Zayed University of Artificial Intelligence. Khushnum Bhandari / The National
A robo-cafe machine from Reliable Robotics at the Mohamed bin Zayed University of Artificial Intelligence. Khushnum Bhandari / The National

Global consultancy PwC estimates that AI has the potential to contribute $320 billion to Middle East economies, or 2 per cent of the total global benefits of AI, by 2030.

The annual growth in the contribution of AI is expected to range between 20 per cent and 34 per cent each year across the region, with the fastest growth in the UAE followed by Saudi Arabia.

Besides significant investments in AI, the UAE has also launched the Mohamed bin Zayed University of Artificial Intelligence to further support the development of its AI ecosystem and foster research.

McKinsey's latest research suggests that while the adoption of AI in the GCC is “relatively encouraging”, the uptake remains low and there is still “significant” value that companies can tap into.

Different sectors are adopting AI at varied speeds in the GCC. Retail companies have made the most progress, with 75 per cent of respondents from the sector saying their companies have brought in AI in at least one business function.

That was followed by financial services and energy companies in the top three AI adopters by sector.

Respondents in the financial services, capital projects and infrastructure sectors said their companies have made less progress on the same measure.

The survey found companies that are now using AI have “barely scratched the surface” in terms of what the technology can deliver.

Companies in the GCC can take measures to build their AI capabilities in four main areas, according to McKinsey's research. These are strategy, organisation and talent, data and technology, and AI adoption and scaling up.

Organisation and talent are at the top of the list, with 37 per cent of respondents saying this was the area of greatest concern.

This was followed by data and technology at 26 per cent, adoption and scaling up at 21 per cent, and strategy at 15 per cent.

In terms of a blueprint, companies faced difficulties in having a strategy that links AI to their enterprise strategy, that could resolved by having strong commitment from senior leadership, McKinsey said.

Without support from the top, there may not be an AI budget, a problem identified by 60 per cent of survey respondents, even though AI adoption requires spending on data, technology, analytics talent and embedding analytics into business process workflows.

“High performers in our global research are nearly twice as likely than others to have strong leadership commitment to AI and eight times more likely to spend more than 20 per cent of their digital technology budgets on AI-related technologies,” the report said.

Creating a long-term road map, communicating the strategy and holding management accountable are also among the recommendations.

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Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.

Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.

Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.

“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.

Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.

From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.

Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.

BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.

Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.

Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.

“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.

“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.

“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”

The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”

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Updated: June 01, 2023, 4:47 AM