Spanish prime minister Mariano Rajoy yesterday applauded a €100 billion (Dh459.3bn) rescue plan for the country's troubled banks as a victory for the future of the euro. AFP PHOTO/ DANI POZO
Spanish prime minister Mariano Rajoy yesterday applauded a €100 billion (Dh459.3bn) rescue plan for the country's troubled banks as a victory for the future of the euro. AFP PHOTO/ DANI POZO
Spanish prime minister Mariano Rajoy yesterday applauded a €100 billion (Dh459.3bn) rescue plan for the country's troubled banks as a victory for the future of the euro. AFP PHOTO/ DANI POZO
Spanish prime minister Mariano Rajoy yesterday applauded a €100 billion (Dh459.3bn) rescue plan for the country's troubled banks as a victory for the future of the euro. AFP PHOTO/ DANI POZO

Spain hails aid as victory for the euro


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Spain's prime minister yesterday applauded a €100 billion (Dh459.3bn) rescue plan for the country's troubled banks as a victory for the future of the euro.

It follows euro-zone finance ministers' agreeing on Saturday to lend Spain cash to help its banks hit by bad property loans.

"The European project, the future of the euro and our banking system all won new credibility yesterday," Mariano Rajoy said during a news conference. "This is a clear message that the euro project is irreversible.

"Europe has been up to the challenge."

He said Spain had not been put under pressure from the European Union to agree to seek help for the country's banks.

"I was the one putting pressure," he said. "I'd like to know why this deal wasn't reached earlier."

During negotiations, Spain battled to avoid the aid being seen as similar to the bailouts provided to Greece, Ireland and Portugal. Officials were worried the aid would spook the investors Spain needs to help it to plug a budget deficit that is expected to drop to more than 5 per cent of GDP this year.

Unlike Greece, whose economy has been hardest hit by the crisis, Spain's troubles are linked to soured loans extended to a deflated property bubble rather than huge government spending.

"If we [the government] had not done what we have done in the past five months, the proposal yesterday would have been a bailout of the kingdom of Spain," said Mr Rajoy.

But as the ink dries on Spain's loan deal, investor focus today is likely to shift to other trouble spots in the single-currency area.

"Even if the loan does succeed in stabilising Spain momentarily, any perceived success for the euro zone as a whole may be short-lived if it is eclipsed by bad news from Greece's election in a week's time," Tim Fox, the chief economist at Emirates NBD, wrote in a research note yesterday.

Elections in Greece on Sunday could lead to a victory for the leftist Syriza party, which wants to renegotiate the terms of the country's bailout. International lenders have said the government must meet its reform pledges if it is to receive further loan instalments.

Investor concern may also zero in on Italy after Moody's Investors Service warned that Spain's banking troubles could be a "major source of contagion" for Italy.

The rate on benchmark 10-year Italian government bonds on Friday rose to 5.745 per cent, while the rate on Spanish bonds went up to 6.192 per cent.

Like Spanish banks, Italian lenders have snapped up large amounts of domestic government bonds in recent months as international investor demand has waned. But the move has raised their exposure to the euro-zone debt crisis.

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Farage on Muslim Brotherhood

Nigel Farage told Reform's annual conference that the party will proscribe the Muslim Brotherhood if he becomes Prime Minister.
"We will stop dangerous organisations with links to terrorism operating in our country," he said. "Quite why we've been so gutless about this – both Labour and Conservative – I don't know.
“All across the Middle East, countries have banned and proscribed the Muslim Brotherhood as a dangerous organisation. We will do the very same.”
It is 10 years since a ground-breaking report into the Muslim Brotherhood by Sir John Jenkins.
Among the former diplomat's findings was an assessment that “the use of extreme violence in the pursuit of the perfect Islamic society” has “never been institutionally disowned” by the movement.
The prime minister at the time, David Cameron, who commissioned the report, said membership or association with the Muslim Brotherhood was a "possible indicator of extremism" but it would not be banned.

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Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.

Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.

Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.

“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.

Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.

From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.

Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.

BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.

Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.

Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.

“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.

“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.

“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”

The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”