Philipp Rösler rose to the second highest political job in Germany from humble origins as a Vietnamese orphan, cultivated impeccable liberal credentials as leader of the Free Democratic party and, as minister of economics and technology, presided over a boom period.
During that time, for two-and- a-half years from 2011 to 2013, he also served as vice chancellor under Angela Merkel, a time when Germany was cementing its position as leader of the European Union and as an economic power trying to drag the continent out of crisis.
That was a CV that made him irresistible to the World Economic Forum (WEF) when, in 2013, he quit German politics following a bruising electoral defeat for his party, and amid whispers of racism by the country’s political establishment.
As he prepared for the 46th annual meeting of the WEF in Davos, Mr Rösler was reluctant to talk in depth about German politics, but said: “I’m pretty happy to be in Geneva [the WEF’s headquarters] when I see what’s going on in Germany.”
The WEF must be pretty pleased to have him there too. His global background and liberal economic philosophy pretty much sum up the WEF’s own world view. His main responsibility on the board is global director of the regional events the forum organises, not least the summit that took place in Abu Dhabi in October.
All of which gives Mr Rösler a good insight into the issues that will dominate Davos debate this year. The official headline theme – “the fourth industrial revolution” – is first on his list.
“It’s all about the effects of invention, innovation and disruption on society and business. For example, Uber is often seen as a disrupter in the taxi business but its own business is being simultaneously disrupted by the threat of self-drive cars. We will provide a platform to discuss things like that,” he said.
That should be an interesting discussion, but Davos this year takes place as world financial markets convulse under pressure from falling oil prices, and doubts about the Chinese economy and American interest rate policy. What can the WEF do in a practical way about those pressing issues?
“Sure, those problems will have to be addressed. We have the lowest oil price [in] a long time and worries about China and world growth. We have 25 economics and finance ministers from around the world at Davos and you can be sure those issues will be addressed.
“They can be seen as part of the ‘fourth industrial revolution’ debate. How do we provide growth and jobs in the new era? There is a view that current trading structures are not that successful and maybe WEF can bring trade together in a better way. It’s a question of old trade versus the new digital trade,” Mr Rösler said.
The humanitarian crisis caused by refugees from regional conflicts will also be addressed in a practical way.
“In the past the only concrete measures to deal with refugees was to ask for money for camps, but we think money should go to support entrepreneurial activity in the neighbouring countries directly affected, in Jordan, Turkey and Lebanon.
“That way you would be helping people to prepare to go back, helping them create an economic platform for recovery in Syria,” he said.
The Middle East will figure high on the Davos agenda, Mr Rösler believes. The foreign ministers from Saudi Arabia and Iran are both expected to attend. “We will offer them a platform to come together,” said Mr Rösler, with a nod to the Davos deal 25 years ago that brought peace to Turkish and Greek communities in Cyprus, one of the WEF’s great diplomatic successes.
The large UAE delegation will receive a warm welcome, he said. “We have an ongoing relationship with the UAE because of the staging of the summit there every year, and the country is very much part of the fourth industrial revolution debate, with its emphasis on diversification and smart infrastructure. It is much appreciated by the WEF community that we have such an open government and business-friendly partner.”
The migrant influx in Germany has brought its own problems for his country, but he does not want to discuss those in detail.
His former boss, Ms Merkel, usually a Davos stalwart, has decided against attending this year, but there will be top-level delegations from Germany, France and the UK, although the latter, with a vote of exit from the EU looming, will not be sharing the same platform. Instead, there will be a separate address from David Cameron, the British prime minister.
“Europe is a political project built upon peace and understanding. Germany is just one of 28 countries in the EU and it has only one voice, but of course it will play its part,” Mr Rösler said.
So the WEF is all about dialogue, peace and understanding, but there are limits.
A delegation from North Korea – the first from the country since 1989 – was struck off the invite list at the last minute following the recent nuclear weapons test in the country.
“We just could not maintain the invitation,” Mr Rösler said.
You got the feeling he would like to say more.
fkane@thenational.ae
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GAC GS8 Specs
Engine: 2.0-litre 4cyl turbo
Power: 248hp at 5,200rpm
Torque: 400Nm at 1,750-4,000rpm
Transmission: 8-speed auto
Fuel consumption: 9.1L/100km
On sale: Now
Price: From Dh149,900
Brief scores:
Juventus 3
Dybala 6', Bonucci 17', Ronaldo 63'
Frosinone 0
Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.
Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.
“Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.
Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.
“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.
Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.
From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.
Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.
BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.
Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.
Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.
“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.
Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.
“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.
“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”
The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”
UAE currency: the story behind the money in your pockets
ENGLAND%20SQUAD
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MATCH INFO
Final: England v South Africa, Saturday, 1pm
THE CARD
2pm: Maiden Dh 60,000 (Dirt) 1,400m
2.30pm: Handicap Dh 76,000 (D) 1,400m
3pm: Handicap Dh 64,000 (D) 1,200m
3.30pm: Shadwell Farm Conditions Dh 100,000 (D) 1,000m
4pm: Maiden Dh 60,000 (D) 1,000m
4.30pm: Handicap 64,000 (D) 1,950m
UAE currency: the story behind the money in your pockets
THURSDAY FIXTURES
4.15pm: Italy v Spain (Group A)
5.30pm: Egypt v Mexico (Group B)
6.45pm: UAE v Japan (Group A)
8pm: Iran v Russia (Group B)
The specs
- Engine: 3.9-litre twin-turbo V8
- Power: 640hp
- Torque: 760nm
- On sale: 2026
- Price: Not announced yet
The specs
Engine: 2.0-litre 4cyl turbo
Power: 261hp at 5,500rpm
Torque: 405Nm at 1,750-3,500rpm
Transmission: 9-speed auto
Fuel consumption: 6.9L/100km
On sale: Now
Price: From Dh117,059
RACE CARD
6.30pm: Madjani Stakes Group 2 (PA) Dh97,500 (Dirt) 1,900m
7.05pm: Maiden (TB) Dh82,500 (D) 1,400m
7.40pm: Maiden (TB) Dh82,500 (D) 1,600m
8.15pm: Handicap (TB) Dh87,500 (D) 2,200m
8.50pm: Dubai Creek Mile Listed (TB) Dh132,500 (D) 1,600m
9.25pm: Conditions (TB) Dh120,000 (D) 1,900m
10pm: Handicap (TB) Dh92,500 (D) 1,400m
Labour dispute
The insured employee may still file an ILOE claim even if a labour dispute is ongoing post termination, but the insurer may suspend or reject payment, until the courts resolve the dispute, especially if the reason for termination is contested. The outcome of the labour court proceedings can directly affect eligibility.
- Abdullah Ishnaneh, Partner, BSA Law