Middle East top foreign investor in US property


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ABU DHABI // The Middle East has overtaken the rest of the world to become the largest foreign property investor in North America this year, according to research from the US. Multimillion-dollar deals like the Abu Dhabi Investment Council's 90 per cent purchase of Manhattan's Chrysler Building for US$800 million (Dh2.9 billion), and Istithmar's $750m purchase of the Fontainebleau Hilton on Miami Beach have seen the Middle East - and the Gulf in particular - overtaking more developed countries to become the largest foreign investor in the US property market, amid the country's ongoing housing slump.

Middle Eastern buyers have already toted up at least $2bn in US property purchases so far this year, putting the region ahead of once heavy-hitting foreign buyers from Australia and Europe, according to the latest data from the US consultancy, Real Capital Analytics (RCA) in New York. Far from signalling a major shift of Middle Eastern funds into the beleaguered US market, however, the trend is more a reflection of who has been hit hardest by the global credit crisis - and who has not.

"The credit crunch has been very democratic in affecting most buyers worldwide," said Dan Fasulo, the managing director of RCA. "The lack of available debt has given cash-rich buyers an advantage in winning deals." And that, he said, played to the strengths of oil-rich investors from the Middle East. High oil prices are funnelling a steady stream of dollars into the region, many of which are re-invested by governments, companies and individuals back into the West, including US properties.

"Even if crude prices fall temporarily, they have huge surpluses," said Hany Genena, the senior economist at Gulf Finance House Investment Bank in Manama. But with banks loath to lend amid diving property prices, foreign net purchases of US property have fallen almost across the board, and the Middle East is no exception. Net purchases by Middle Eastern investors in the US are on track to fall by more than half this year from last year amid the deepening gloom.

That decline is nothing next to the roughly 75 per cent decline in projected foreign investment in US property so far this year, as global credit dries up. Australian investors, who last year bought a net $12bn in US property, sold off $116m worth of properties in the first six months of this year, according to RCA. Investment from European investors is on track to fall by almost 80 per cent compared with last year, when Europeans chalked up $9bn in net purchases.

RCA's statistics reveal some interesting trends in Middle Eastern buying patterns. After a few years of relatively low purchasing levels at the beginning of this decade, Middle Eastern investors jumped aboard America's property boom along with other foreign investors, beginning in 2003. They continued to gobble up US property for the next four years, buying up an additional $12bn worth of assets. Even in 2006, when foreign buying from everywhere but Asia slowed, and investors from Germany sold off about $8bn in property, Middle Eastern investors were snapping up US property and office buildings in particular.

In fact, Middle Eastern investors have remained net buyers of US property for the past seven years, even as investors from elsewhere have chosen to reduce their holdings, demonstrating the long-term support Middle Eastern oil revenues provide to the US market. "A lot of money is flowing into this region that needs to find a home outside the region," said Craig Plumb, the head of research at Jones Lang Lasalle in Dubai. "Their attitude toward overseas investment is as a long-term play, as opposed to home, where they might trade properties."

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Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.

Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.

Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.

“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.

Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.

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Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.

BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.

Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.

Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.

“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.

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“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.

“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”

The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”

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The bulk of genuine specialty coffee companies aim to improve on these elements in every stage of production via direct relationships with farmers. For instance, Mokha 1450 on Al Wasl Road strives to work predominantly with women-owned and -operated coffee organisations, including female farmers in the Sabree mountains of Yemen.

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