The view inside the Sun Tower, being developed by Sorouh, overlooking Reem Island.
The view inside the Sun Tower, being developed by Sorouh, overlooking Reem Island.
The view inside the Sun Tower, being developed by Sorouh, overlooking Reem Island.
The view inside the Sun Tower, being developed by Sorouh, overlooking Reem Island.

Investors venture back into Gulf region


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Institutional investors are streaming through the gilded halls of Emirates Palace and the offices of some of the largest property developers as they study joint-venture opportunities in the region. Given the present limits on credit from financial institutions and with off-plan sales of homes down sharply, companies such as Aldar Properties and Sorouh Real Estate are seeking new ways to fund their multibillion-dirham projects. Meanwhile, institutional investors see Abu Dhabi and other markets in the Gulf as nearing the bottom of the downturn and ripe for investment.

Philip Blumberg, the founder and chairman of Blumberg Capital Partners, said: "Abu Dhabi is overbuilt and there are a lot of buildings coming on line, but we see opportunities to develop a building here that caters to a niche market." Mr Blumberg was passing through Abu Dhabi on a regional tour to promote a new US$1 billion (Dh3.67bn) property fund to take advantage of the bottom of the cycle in the US.

In addition to investing in the US, the fund could develop or invest in property in Brazil, Oman and Abu Dhabi, he said. Mr Blumberg said he would want to form a partnership with a local developer and ensure the Government had a stake in the project as insurance in case problems arose. In the past two years, there has been little investment in the region's property sector by outside funds. Many large investors have retreated from riskier markets during the global financial crisis. These funds also tend to avoid off-plan developments, markets with uncertain legal environments and buildings that cannot be wholly owned.

Andrew Charlesworth, the head of capital markets at the regional office of the property consultancy Jones Lang LaSalle, said: "In reality, only the best-located developments that have a demonstrable demand profile, or those developers with a proven track record and who have put together a well-thought-out and creative investment package that takes into account the risk aversion of investors, are likely to succeed in attracting this type of capital."

Some of the smaller developers that are trying to bring in these investors using "outdated valuations" are likely to "struggle to compete for such capital in the near term", Mr Charlesworth said. Sorouh, the second-largest developer in the capital, has been talking with outside companies to get them involved in some of its large projects in Abu Dhabi. Abubaker Seddiq al Khouri, the managing director of Sorouh, said: "We are talking to international developers and investors, and this will help de-risk the proposed business partnerships with Sorouh. Sorouh can offer investors a platform whereby they have access to development opportunities on marked-to-market terms, to better position their developments locally and leverage relationships with contractors and banks."

Mr al Khouri said investors would have more secure "access to a nascent market, where land is closely held and the laws are still being formed". However, a major deterrent to outside investors is the region's underdeveloped legal framework. Many insurance companies and pension funds, which make up a large proportion of the buyers in London and New York, can invest only if they are able to legally own the property and enforce their rights in a way that is comparable to the legal provisions in their own jurisdictions.

Jurgen Herre, the head of the regional office for the US developer and investment company Hines, said: "Here you have uncertainties. They have done a wonderful job improving the legal framework [for] investors, but it is still not at the level to allow the majority of investors to come into the market." So far, the only investors willing to take the risk are private equity groups and hedge funds, but "that will change over time", Mr Herre said.

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Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.

Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.

Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.

“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.

Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.

From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.

Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.

BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.

Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.

Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.

“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.

“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.

“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”

The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”

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