The oil services firm Petrofac yesterday warned that its profits for next year would be lower than forecast, sending its shares tumbling in London.
The Sharjah-based company said it expected net profit next year to be US$500 million, compared to previous analyst estimates of $675m, citing weakened oil prices and project complications resulting in delays in overseas operations in Europe and Mexico.
Shares were 25.8 per cent lower at 889 pence apiece on the London Stock Exchange at 3.30pm UK time.
Oil prices continue to linger around $80 a barrel, and the Petrofac chief executive Ayman Asfari said that was one of the key factors behind lowering the firm’s guidance for 2015. “Analysts are running on $100 a barrel, but we’re at $80 so that’s an impact of about $40m to $45m [on its integrated energy services, or IES, unit],” he said.
Mr Asfari said that the company would continue to focus on matters it could control rather than the uncontrollable market. One of those areas is execution, which the firm has struggled with leading to delays on two projects in the UK. “It is clear that on a small number of projects, our execution has fallen short of the high standards we set for ourselves,” he said.
Petrofac has two divisions. The first is its engineering, construction, operations and management endeavours (Ecom) and the second is the IES unit – which includes the work that the firm is currently undertaking in the Middle East. The company will remain on track with its Ecom division, but the upstream IES business will experience a “big downgrade”, Mr Asfari said.
The company has key dealings in the UAE’s upstream sector including Petrofac Emirates, its joint venture with Nama Project Services.
The joint venture has won six engineering, procurement and construction projects since 2008 including at some big-name fields like Upper Zakum and Bab.
Despite the news that the IES division will suffer, the Middle East remains Petrofac's "brightest spot". Spending plans of national oil companies (NOCs) in the region remain unchanged, said Mr Asfari. The majority of the company's revenue has been from NOCs and these were most likely to make long-term investment decisions that are less affected by short-term changes in the oil price, he said.
The UAE’s Minister of Energy Suhail Al Mazrouei also reiterated yesterday that the outlook for the country’s oil and gas sector would remain unchanged despite lower oil.
“Prices will not signal a catastrophe,” the minister said. “We don’t look at current oil prices as a setback, we will continue to invest.”
lgraves@thenational.ae
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Manikarnika: The Queen of Jhansi
Director: Kangana Ranaut, Krish Jagarlamudi
Producer: Zee Studios, Kamal Jain
Cast: Kangana Ranaut, Ankita Lokhande, Danny Denzongpa, Atul Kulkarni
Rating: 2.5/5
Elvis
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Kibsons%20Cares
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Profile of RentSher
Started: October 2015 in India, November 2016 in UAE
Founders: Harsh Dhand; Vaibhav and Purvashi Doshi
Based: Bangalore, India and Dubai, UAE
Sector: Online rental marketplace
Size: 40 employees
Investment: $2 million
Our Time Has Come
Alyssa Ayres, Oxford University Press
The specs
Engine: Four electric motors, one at each wheel
Power: 579hp
Torque: 859Nm
Transmission: Single-speed automatic
Price: From Dh825,900
On sale: Now
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UAE - India ties
The UAE is India’s third-largest trade partner after the US and China
Annual bilateral trade between India and the UAE has crossed US$ 60 billion
The UAE is the fourth-largest exporter of crude oil for India
Indians comprise the largest community with 3.3 million residents in the UAE
Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi first visited the UAE in August 2015
His visit on August 23-24 will be the third in four years
Sheikh Mohamed bin Zayed, Crown Prince of Abu Dhabi and Deputy Supreme Commander of the Armed Forces, visited India in February 2016
Sheikh Mohamed was the chief guest at India’s Republic Day celebrations in January 2017
Modi will visit Bahrain on August 24-25
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A State of Passion
Directors: Carol Mansour and Muna Khalidi
Stars: Dr Ghassan Abu-Sittah
Rating: 4/5
UAE currency: the story behind the money in your pockets
The specs
Engine: 3.0-litre six-cylinder turbo
Power: 398hp from 5,250rpm
Torque: 580Nm at 1,900-4,800rpm
Transmission: Eight-speed auto
Fuel economy, combined: 6.5L/100km
On sale: December
Price: From Dh330,000 (estimate)
Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.
Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.
“Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.
Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.
“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.
Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.
From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.
Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.
BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.
Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.
Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.
“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.
Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.
“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.
“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”
The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”
Ukraine
Capital: Kiev
Population: 44.13 million
Armed conflict in Donbass
Russia-backed fighters control territory