This month I opened a Swiss bank account for the first time in my life. It was not very difficult, and I will get to that later. But this seemed a very logical progression from the argument in this column in recent months about where individual investors ought to be stashing their cash at the moment.
Last month there was a 10 per cent correction in US stocks and a very strong rebound back to fresh all-time highs. The intelligent investor would note that such volatility at high prices is generally a danger signal and the rebound is a good point at which to sell. If you look at the way the leadership of the market is concentrated into fewer and fewer stocks, then it is clear that this is exactly what is happening. The majority of US shares are actually already on the way down. The rest will follow the others. It is just a matter of time.
Locally it is hard not to be concerned about the 30 per cent fall in oil prices since the summer for two reasons. First because it means that the global economy is slowing down and going into a recession. Japan is already there. The euro zone is not far behind, and China too.
Secondly, of course oil prices matter for the UAE. Sure, this country’s economy is one of the richest and most diversified in the region. So it was too in 2008, and that did not prevent a vicious recession in 2009 after the oil price plunged from $147 to $32 in a matter of months.
Would it really be so different this time around? True the economy is not overheating to quite the same degree. But there is still plenty of room for a meaningful slowdown.
If you are an investor in UAE stocks then you’ve also had a wake-up call from recent market movements, in particular the 20 per cent correction of May-June. Remember what I just said about US volatility and all-time highs?
Eight years ago I did a private equity deal in Dubai and managed to sell my company before the global financial crash. It was interesting to meet one of the partners in the private equity firm that pulled off that deal recently and learn that he could not find a single worthwhile investment at the moment.
So what do you do with your money now? You always have to do something with it.
Even if the cash is just going to sit in a bank account you want to be sure that you have the best interest rate in the very safest banking location, preferably removed from the one you currently inhabit just in case. Even if you feel most comfortable with your money closer to where you live, there is still a good case for geographical diversification of assets.
For most people that country would be Switzerland. It’s politically rock solid and safe from invasion. It’s hugely rich with strong banking laws and has a reputation it can’t afford to lose.
The first $110,000 in all bank accounts is guaranteed by a federal deposit insurance scheme. Of course, there are a large number of Swiss banks that take deposits from foreigners, but this has not generally been available for the smaller investor without fees and charges that make it uneconomic.
There seems to be one exception to this rule and that is Swissquote.com, a Zurich stock market-quoted online bank that has recently set up an office in the Dubai international Financial Centre. It doesn’t charge for opening an account and the interest rate is 0.75 per cent on deposits up to $50,000. The downside was a lengthy form to complete to comply with the Dubai Financial Services Agency regulations that are actually more onerous than Swiss rules these days.
It wasn’t really just a matter of filling out a small form online.
But you do get a bank account, Swiss Iban number and deposit insurance. You take money in and out like any other internet bank account with a secure key number generated by looking at a small table rather than an HSBC-style electronic fob.
Its UAE portal is set up especially for users here and that’s quite an innovation for a Swiss bank. Then again, don’t bother if you are a US citizen and remember that Swiss banks always cooperate with your national tax authority. Still if you want to keep your money in Switzerland, this is an easy way to do it.
Peter Cooper is editor of ArabianMoney.net
Follow us on Twitter @TheNationalPF
UAE currency: the story behind the money in your pockets
When Umm Kulthum performed in Abu Dhabi
Known as The Lady of Arabic Song, Umm Kulthum performed in Abu Dhabi on November 28, 1971, as part of celebrations for the fifth anniversary of the accession of Sheikh Zayed bin Sultan Al Nahyan as Ruler of Abu Dhabi. A concert hall was constructed for the event on land that is now Al Nahyan Stadium, behind Al Wahda Mall. The audience were treated to many of Kulthum's most well-known songs as part of the sold-out show, including Aghadan Alqak and Enta Omri.
The Freedom Artist
By Ben Okri (Head of Zeus)
Biog
Mr Kandhari is legally authorised to conduct marriages in the gurdwara
He has officiated weddings of Sikhs and people of different faiths from Malaysia, Sri Lanka, Russia, the US and Canada
Father of two sons, grandfather of six
Plays golf once a week
Enjoys trying new holiday destinations with his wife and family
Walks for an hour every morning
Completed a Bachelor of Commerce degree in Loyola College, Chennai, India
2019 is a milestone because he completes 50 years in business
'Operation Mincemeat'
Director: John Madden
Cast: Colin Firth, Matthew Macfayden, Kelly Macdonald and Penelope Wilton
Rating: 4/5
Company Fact Box
Company name/date started: Abwaab Technologies / September 2019
Founders: Hamdi Tabbaa, co-founder and CEO. Hussein Alsarabi, co-founder and CTO
Based: Amman, Jordan
Sector: Education Technology
Size (employees/revenue): Total team size: 65. Full-time employees: 25. Revenue undisclosed
Stage: early-stage startup
Investors: Adam Tech Ventures, Endure Capital, Equitrust, the World Bank-backed Innovative Startups SMEs Fund, a London investment fund, a number of former and current executives from Uber and Netflix, among others.
Results
Final: Iran beat Spain 6-3.
Play-off 3rd: UAE beat Russia 2-1 (in extra time).
Play-off 5th: Japan beat Egypt 7-2.
Play-off 7th: Italy beat Mexico 3-2.
COMPANY%20PROFILE
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Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.
Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.
“Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.
Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.
“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.
Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.
From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.
Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.
BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.
Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.
Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.
“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.
Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.
“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.
“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”
The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”
COMPANY%20PROFILE
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The biog
Title: General Practitioner with a speciality in cardiology
Previous jobs: Worked in well-known hospitals Jaslok and Breach Candy in Mumbai, India
Education: Medical degree from the Government Medical College in Nagpur
How it all began: opened his first clinic in Ajman in 1993
Family: a 90-year-old mother, wife and two daughters
Remembers a time when medicines from India were purchased per kilo
ESSENTIALS
The flights
Emirates, Etihad and Swiss fly direct from the UAE to Zurich from Dh2,855 return, including taxes.
The chalet
Chalet N is currently open in winter only, between now and April 21. During the ski season, starting on December 11, a week’s rental costs from €210,000 (Dh898,431) per week for the whole property, which has 22 beds in total, across six suites, three double rooms and a children’s suite. The price includes all scheduled meals, a week’s ski pass, Wi-Fi, parking, transfers between Munich, Innsbruck or Zurich airports and one 50-minute massage per person. Private ski lessons cost from €360 (Dh1,541) per day. Halal food is available on request.
More from Neighbourhood Watch:
UAE currency: the story behind the money in your pockets
Brief scoreline:
Manchester United 2
Rashford 28', Martial 72'
Watford 1
Doucoure 90'
Banned items
Dubai Police has also issued a list of banned items at the ground on Sunday. These include:
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Political flags or banners
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Bikes, skateboards or scooters
The specs: 2018 Infiniti QX80
Price: base / as tested: Dh335,000
Engine: 5.6-litre V8
Gearbox: Seven-speed automatic
Power: 400hp @ 5,800rpm
Torque: 560Nm @ 4,000rpm
Fuel economy, combined: 12.1L / 100km
Where to submit a sample
Volunteers of all ages can submit DNA samples at centres across Abu Dhabi, including: Abu Dhabi National Exhibition Centre (Adnec), Biogenix Labs in Masdar City, NMC Royal Hospital in Khalifa City, NMC Royal Medical Centre, Abu Dhabi, NMC Royal Women's Hospital, Bareen International Hospital, Al Towayya in Al Ain, NMC Specialty Hospital, Al Ain
LA LIGA FIXTURES
Thursday (All UAE kick-off times)
Sevilla v Real Betis (midnight)
Friday
Granada v Real Betis (9.30pm)
Valencia v Levante (midnight)
Saturday
Espanyol v Alaves (4pm)
Celta Vigo v Villarreal (7pm)
Leganes v Real Valladolid (9.30pm)
Mallorca v Barcelona (midnight)
Sunday
Atletic Bilbao v Atletico Madrid (4pm)
Real Madrid v Eibar (9.30pm)
Real Sociedad v Osasuna (midnight)