The Middle East remains an oasis of stability in the oil and gas jobs market, even as the oil price rout in the past few months has taken its toll on the industry worldwide, according to the head of oil and gas at Hays, the recruitment consultant.
Hays, in its global quarterly oil and gas jobs survey released today, says a fairly buoyant market for skilled personnel across the board in last year’s fourth quarter has since turned sour after a large number of international oil companies have announced swingeing cuts to their capital spending budgets and broad-based layoffs.
“The Middle East, however, has been relatively protected,” says Gary Ward, the Abu Dhabi-based head of Hays Middle East and the head of its oil and gas unit worldwide.
“Most of the big international oil companies have announced that they are not going ahead with some [development] programmes and will be making redundancies, but the Middle East is not seeing any of that,” at least for projects under way, Mr Ward says.
In the Middle East, therefore, there is not the same downwards pressure on salaries, but remuneration is expected to flatline in the coming year and perhaps beyond if oil prices stay in the US$50 to $70 per barrel range, which is assumed by several major forecasters.
The Hays survey was carried out in November, when oil prices had begun to fall from the average of above $100 during the past four years but had not yet begun the steepest part of their descent. Consequently, the survey reflects the more optimistic mood that had prevailed for most of the year, including the expectation among a large majority (about 85 per cent) of at least a modest increase in salary.
The evidence in the past couple of months, however, has run counter to that, Hays said.
Taking offshore drilling as an example, the recruitment company said this market could deteriorate further because of weak demand and a flood of new vessels. Rig rates have fallen sharply over the past 18 months as oil companies cut capital spending just as dozens of new offshore rigs ordered during the boom come on line. Day rates for most advanced ultra-deep rigs, which peaked at $650,000 per day last year, are now down to $375,000 to $500,0000.
The specific jobs that are being affected depend on the region, Mr Ward said. In Mexico, for example, the country had been looking to attract international oil companies after it opened up its sector to foreign investment. But international oil companies have cooled on potential projects in Mexico’s offshore oil sector as they re-prioritise budgets, and it is the exploration and production (E&P) sector there that has suffered.
But in the mature North Sea area, where there is little new E&P, operating budgets have come in for cuts, affecting a different group of skilled workers.
The situation could be an opportunity for companies in the Middle East – especially in the more stable GCC countries, including the UAE – to secure skilled workers in the areas needed for development over the next several years, Mr Ward said.
In the UAE, this includes both offshore and onshore oil and gasfield developments that are aiming to boost oil production to 3.5 million barrels per day using the latest techniques. There is also an ambitious programme to produce more domestic gas by capturing it for use in electricity generation, and reinjecting carbon dioxide into oilfields instead.
“If the GCC countries do it right, then in the current economic environment skilled workers in the sector will be looking at the region in a completely different way,” Mr Ward says.
Part of attracting skilled oil and gas workers to the region is recognising what lures them apart from basic salary.
Mr Ward said that the latest Hays survey identified health care as the No 1 non-salary priority for the first time since the the company began taking the poll.
It is run a close second by bonuses, perhaps reflecting the worry that extra compensation is the first thing employers cut in tough times. The third-most important element of the package, running close to the top two, is home leave allowances. Coming a distant fourth, surprisingly, is housing allowance, although this would be likely to run much higher for countries such as the UAE that have a predominantly expatriate workforce in the sector.
The Hays report also looked at skill shortages and asked industry respondents – which included a much larger sample size than previous reports, including a bigger proportion of women – of the main reasons behind it. The top two answers were bad “succession planning”, which means the transfer of knowledge from one generation to the next, followed by a dearth of new professionals entering the industry.
This is especially the case for the UAE, where most of the work in the industry has previously been done by an expatriate workforce; it is only recently that qualified Emiratis have been coming through the system in great numbers.
amcauley@thenational.ae
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Children who witnessed blood bath want to help others
Aged just 11, Khulood Al Najjar’s daughter, Nora, bravely attempted to fight off Philip Spence. Her finger was injured when she put her hand in between the claw hammer and her mother’s head.
As a vital witness, she was forced to relive the ordeal by police who needed to identify the attacker and ensure he was found guilty.
Now aged 16, Nora has decided she wants to dedicate her career to helping other victims of crime.
“It was very horrible for her. She saw her mum, dying, just next to her eyes. But now she just wants to go forward,” said Khulood, speaking about how her eldest daughter was dealing with the trauma of the incident five years ago. “She is saying, 'mama, I want to be a lawyer, I want to help people achieve justice'.”
Khulood’s youngest daughter, Fatima, was seven at the time of the attack and attempted to help paramedics responding to the incident.
“Now she wants to be a maxillofacial doctor,” Khulood said. “She said to me ‘it is because a maxillofacial doctor returned your face, mama’. Now she wants to help people see themselves in the mirror again.”
Khulood’s son, Saeed, was nine in 2014 and slept through the attack. While he did not witness the trauma, this made it more difficult for him to understand what had happened. He has ambitions to become an engineer.
Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.
Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.
“Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.
Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.
“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.
Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.
From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.
Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.
BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.
Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.
Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.
“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.
Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.
“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.
“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”
The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”
Tailors and retailers miss out on back-to-school rush
Tailors and retailers across the city said it was an ominous start to what is usually a busy season for sales.
With many parents opting to continue home learning for their children, the usual rush to buy school uniforms was muted this year.
“So far we have taken about 70 to 80 orders for items like shirts and trousers,” said Vikram Attrai, manager at Stallion Bespoke Tailors in Dubai.
“Last year in the same period we had about 200 orders and lots of demand.
“We custom fit uniform pieces and use materials such as cotton, wool and cashmere.
“Depending on size, a white shirt with logo is priced at about Dh100 to Dh150 and shorts, trousers, skirts and dresses cost between Dh150 to Dh250 a piece.”
A spokesman for Threads, a uniform shop based in Times Square Centre Dubai, said customer footfall had slowed down dramatically over the past few months.
“Now parents have the option to keep children doing online learning they don’t need uniforms so it has quietened down.”
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