As the spectre of higher interest rates begins to worry fund managers, National Bank of Abu Dhabi has joined the ranks of asset managers looking for low-risk ways to generate fixed income from financial instruments other than bonds.
NBAD, the biggest UAE bank by market value, already offers its high net worth clients with at least US$10 million to spare discretionary trade finance portfolios, but is looking to start a trade finance fund this year, domiciled either in the Cayman Islands, Luxembourg or the UAE, said Mark Watts, the head of NBAD’s asset management group.
Late last year, the European Islamic Investment Bank (EIIB) and Dubai-based Rasmala together started a Sharia-compliant trade finance fund domiciled in the Cayman Islands that is targeting a 4 per cent rate of return. It is expecting that investors this year will pour $100m into the niche fund that offers an asset class that is otherwise difficult to tap.
Like the EIIB-Rasmala venture, NBAD is also targeting a return of 4 per cent annually, Mr Watts said.
Trade finance is a form of intermediation for exporters and importers whereby banks or other financial institutions offer guarantees of payment including so-called letters of credit.
“It’s a great asset class,” said Mr Watts, who oversees about $2.2 billion of assets in mostly equities and bonds. “The beauty of it is that you get a good Libor [London interbank offered rate] based return, so there’s no fear of interest rate rises and losing your money.
“Trade finance is a multitrillion-dollar market. Before the banks had a stranglehold on it rather than asset management. But because banks are retrenching slightly because of their balance sheet, because of Basel III [capital requirements], some of these deals are not as attractive for them.”
Together with NBAD’s existing tailor-made trade finance solutions and the planned fund, investments in this business are expected to grow to $1bn within three years at the asset management division, said Mr Watts, a fixed-income specialist who joined NBAD in 2010 at a time when the US Federal Reserve was cutting rates and investors sought more exposure to bonds.
But now that interest rates are set to rise at some point in the near future, fixed income managers are seeking to extract sustainable yields from other asset classes, analysts say.
They are in agreement that it is a good bet to diversify fixed-income portfolios with trade finance, especially at a time when uncertainty hangs over interest rates and the decades-long bull market in bonds looks like it is coming to an end.
Analysts also say that fund managers are in a good position to get into the trade finance business because of Basel III industry regulations that are aimed at reining in the amount banks can both borrow and lend, creating opportunities for them to fund such transactions.
“It would provide a nice diversifying asset class and I am sure that there’s going to be investors interested in that,” said David Mikhail, a Middle East banking analyst at Cairo-based investment bank Beltone Financial. “Whether it’s retail or institutions that want exposure to that asset class, it’s good way to do it because the fixed costs of originating a deal like that are prohibitive to any investment exposure to the business. It’s an interesting idea. Four percent is pretty good at the moment. That’s in line with some of the corporate bonds we’re seeing in the GCC, and above sovereign yields.”
“Trade finance is not a big part of the business of banks in the region but it is something that continues to command the attention of management, because as regional oil exporters become less reliant on hydrocarbons, trade finance will be a good long term business to be in.”
Such funds, however, are geared towards sophisticated investors who can lock up big ticket investments for at least 90 days, the time it typically takes for trade finance operations. And they are likely to continue to be offered exclusively to institutions and high net worth individuals.
“We’re basically giving money to an exporter on day one, taking ownership of the product in between, waiting 90 days for it to reach its other port and getting the money back from the importer,” said Mr Watts. “Generally the weighted average life is about 90 days. This is why it’s slightly unusual and only open really to institutions and larger clients.”
mkassem@thenational.ae
Russia's Muslim Heartlands
Dominic Rubin, Oxford
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ETFs explained
Exhchange traded funds are bought and sold like shares, but operate as index-tracking funds, passively following their chosen indices, such as the S&P 500, FTSE 100 and the FTSE All World, plus a vast range of smaller exchanges and commodities, such as gold, silver, copper sugar, coffee and oil.
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There are thousands to choose from, with the five biggest providers BlackRock’s iShares range, Vanguard, State Street Global Advisors SPDR ETFs, Deutsche Bank AWM X-trackers and Invesco PowerShares.
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Stars: Basel Adra, Yuval Abraham
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Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.
Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.
“Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.
Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.
“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.
Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.
From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.
Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.
BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.
Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.
Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.
“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.
Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.
“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.
“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”
The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”
The specs
Engine: 0.8-litre four cylinder
Power: 70bhp
Torque: 66Nm
Transmission: four-speed manual
Price: $1,075 new in 1967, now valued at $40,000
On sale: Models from 1966 to 1970
The specs
Engine: 2.0-litre 4-cyl turbo
Power: 201hp at 5,200rpm
Torque: 320Nm at 1,750-4,000rpm
Transmission: 6-speed auto
Fuel consumption: 8.7L/100km
Price: Dh133,900
On sale: now