Time to start acting like a day trader


  • English
  • Arabic

So today's the day. After last week's pep talk from Steve Misic, the legendary trader and visiting lecturer with the Dubai branch of the Online Trading Academy, I vowed to stop faffing about (British slang for ineffectual activity, since you ask), step up to the plate and start acting like the day trader I am pretending to be.

After all, what am I? A man or a mouse? Or a man who operates a mouse but nevertheless has some undesirable mouse-like qualities when it comes to cats?

Well, here's an odd thing. As I sat waiting for the London Stock Exchange to open - 11.30am UAE time - I found myself leaning towards "mouse".

Even though there is no real money at stake, even though my home cannot be repossessed, even though I will not find myself in prison making the dubious acquaintance of large men with unwholesome inclinations and poorly executed body art, and even though my (imaginary) wife will not leave me and my (relax, equally imaginary) children will not have to be sold into slavery ... I felt nervous.

There is something about the business of putting even your make-believe money where your mouth is, which is both addictive and alarming - especially when you really don't know what you are doing.

This, I find myself thinking as the minutes tick away, is the nightmare of the school production of the musical Tom Sawyer all over again. Wearing bibbed overalls and straw hat, I'm supposed to sing: "The core of my apple I will gladly give if you let me paint a little of your fence". But under the lights all that comes out is "The ... er ... paint ... fence".

I am humiliated and lost to the theatre for life. Today, several decades later, I can, of course, remember every lousy word of what was a very stupid song.

Watching the clock ticking down to the opening bell - or whatever they use in the City of London; perhaps it's the sound of a wet, rolled-up copy of the Financial Times thwacking a passing member of the lower orders around the head - I'm tapping my fingers anxiously, constantly refreshing the page and looking for the first twitch in the charts.

And then I go to make a coffee, get distracted by a fruitless hunt for biscuits and miss the big moment.

When I get back, I find London is awake and my portfolio has jerked to life - and what's more, is up from last week's total of £16,089.82 (Dh93,598) to £16,441.74.

Oh dear. Now what? Surely it would be ruinous madness to start flogging shares that are on the up?

Then I remember a snatch of what Mr Misic told me - only a snatch, mind; a mere "apple ... paint ... fence" from an entire operetta of advice - but it is, I think, enough to allow me to act without destroying all.

As all but one of my four picks are actually up on the price I paid for them, I will set a stop-loss.

The idea of a stop-loss is to protect any profit you may have made on shares you hold, by setting up an automated sale if the price drops past a given point. The Share Centre, which hosts my practice account and is an endless source of clearly presented and patient advice for idiots like me - I really should read it more often - puts it this way: "Let's say you bought a share at a price of 105 pence and it has risen to a current price of 150p."

I should be so lucky. However ...

"You don't want to sell now, but having made a profit of 45p a share you want to ensure that you hang on to at least 25p per share gain."

And so: "Set a stop-loss limit of 130p [purchase price plus 25p gain]. So long as the price remains above 130p, you'll keep the shares. But if it does fall to or below 130p, we'll sell them for you."

Which is jolly nice of them.

My figures, of course, aren't quite as encouraging as the Share Centre's example.

So for Legal & General, purchased at 101.3p and now at 106.3, I set the stop-loss at 105p; if the price sinks back to that level I will walk away - or perhaps that should be shuffle away, dejectedly - with a profit of 3.7p per share. Multiplied by my 3,921 shares, that would add up to £145.07 - minus, of course, the pesky per-transaction trading charge of £7.50.

I place similar orders for Prudential (to sell if it the price drops to 627p, for a profit of 4p a share) and Standard Life (to sell at 231p, for a gain of 4.1p).

But what to do about Aviva, purchased at 424p and now skulking around at under 400p? Courage, mon brave! Boldly, I have expressed confidence in my judgment by setting a sell target of 430p, anticipating (in a complete absence of evidence, it has to be said) a profit of 6p per share.

But, just to be on the safe side, I have also installed a stop-loss at 390p to cater for the remote possibility that this worthless piece of junk rusts further and sinks without trace.

And that, dear reader, is my working day done. Not so bad after all. I haven't made any money, of course, but I have done something positive - or negative, depending on how it shakes down. What's more, I have also set up e-mail alerts for each of the shares, which means that unless I hear them squawking I won't have to look in on these babies for the next week.

My entire ship of shares, in other words, is steaming merrily onwards, with auto pilot engaged and bridge deserted as the skipper ferrets around below, looking for biscuits and such like.

Remind me to tell you about the time I was crossing the Thames estuary in a small yacht one dark night in a Force 6, and popped below for just a moment, leaving the tiller in the hands of my newly purchased and, if I am entirely honest, not yet entirely mastered auto pilot ...

GAC GS8 Specs

Engine: 2.0-litre 4cyl turbo

Power: 248hp at 5,200rpm

Torque: 400Nm at 1,750-4,000rpm

Transmission: 8-speed auto

Fuel consumption: 9.1L/100km

On sale: Now

Price: From Dh149,900

Results

5pm: Handicap (PA) Dh80,000 (Turf) 1,600m; Winner: Nadhra, Fabrice Veron (jockey), Eric Lemartinel (trainer)

5.30pm: Maiden (PA) Dh80,000 (T) 1,400m; Winner: AF Dars, Tadhg O’Shea, Ernst Oertel

6pm: Handicap (PA) Dh80,000 (T) 1,400m; Winner: AF Musannef, Tadhg O’Shea, Ernst Oertel

6.30pm: Handicap (PA) Dh80,000 (T) 1,200m; Winner: AF Taghzel, Malin Holmberg, Ernst Oertel

7pm: Wathba Stallions Cup Handicap (PA) Dh70,000 (T) 2,200m; Winner: M’Y Yaromoon, Khalifa Al Neyadi, Jesus Rosales

7.30pm: Handicap (TB) Dh100,000 (PA) 1,400m; Winner: Hakeem, Jim Crowley, Ali Rashid Al Raihe

A%20Little%20to%20the%20Left
%3Cp%3E%3Cstrong%3EDeveloper%3A%20%3C%2Fstrong%3EMax%20Inferno%3Cbr%3E%3Cstrong%3EConsoles%3A%3C%2Fstrong%3E%20PC%2C%20Mac%2C%20Nintendo%20Switch%3Cbr%3E%3Cstrong%3ERating%3A%20%3C%2Fstrong%3E4%2F5%26nbsp%3B%3C%2Fp%3E%0A
Who's who in Yemen conflict

Houthis: Iran-backed rebels who occupy Sanaa and run unrecognised government

Yemeni government: Exiled government in Aden led by eight-member Presidential Leadership Council

Southern Transitional Council: Faction in Yemeni government that seeks autonomy for the south

Habrish 'rebels': Tribal-backed forces feuding with STC over control of oil in government territory

COMPANY%20PROFILE
%3Cp%3E%3Cstrong%3ECompany%3A%3C%2Fstrong%3E%20Eco%20Way%3Cbr%3E%3Cstrong%3EStarted%3A%3C%2Fstrong%3E%20December%202023%3Cbr%3E%3Cstrong%3EFounder%3A%3C%2Fstrong%3E%20Ivan%20Kroshnyi%3Cbr%3E%3Cstrong%3EBased%3A%3C%2Fstrong%3E%20Dubai%2C%20UAE%3Cbr%3E%3Cstrong%3EIndustry%3A%3C%2Fstrong%3E%20Electric%20vehicles%3Cbr%3E%3Cstrong%3EInvestors%3A%3C%2Fstrong%3E%20Bootstrapped%20with%20undisclosed%20funding.%20Looking%20to%20raise%20funds%20from%20outside%3Cbr%3E%3C%2Fp%3E%0A
RESULTS

2pm: Handicap (PA) Dh40,000 (Dirt) 1,000m
Winner: AF Mozhell, Saif Al Balushi (jockey), Khalifa Al Neyadi (trainer)

2.30pm: Maiden (PA) Dh40,000 (D) 2,000m
Winner: Majdi, Szczepan Mazur, Abdallah Al Hammadi.

3pm: Handicap (PA) Dh40,000 (D) 1,700m
Winner: AF Athabeh, Tadhg O’Shea, Ernst Oertel.

3.30pm: Handicap (PA) Dh40,000 (D) 1,700m
Winner: AF Eshaar, Bernardo Pinheiro, Khalifa Al Neyadi

4pm: Gulf Cup presented by Longines Prestige (PA) Dh150,000 (D) 1,700m
Winner: Al Roba’a Al Khali, Al Moatasem Al Balushi, Younis Al Kalbani

4.30pm: Handicap (TB) Dh40,000 (D) 1,200m
Winner: Apolo Kid, Antonio Fresu, Musabah Al Muahiri

COMPANY PROFILE
Name: HyperSpace
 
Started: 2020
 
Founders: Alexander Heller, Rama Allen and Desi Gonzalez
 
Based: Dubai, UAE
 
Sector: Entertainment 
 
Number of staff: 210 
 
Investment raised: $75 million from investors including Galaxy Interactive, Riyadh Season, Sega Ventures and Apis Venture Partners
Leaderboard

64 - Gavin Green (MAL), Graeme McDowell (NIR)

65 - Henrik Stenson (SWE), Sebastian Soderberg (SWE), Adri Arnaus (ESP), Victor Perez (FRA), Jhonattan Vegas (VEN)

66 - Phil Mickelson (USA), Tom Lewis (ENG), Andy Sullivan (ENG), Ross Fisher (ENG), Aaron Rai (ENG), Ryan Fox (NZL)

67 - Dustin Johnson (USA), Sebastian Garcia Rodriguez (ESP), Lucas Herbert (AUS), Francesco Laporta (ITA), Joost Luiten (NED), Soren Kjeldsen (DEN), Marcus Kinhult (SWE)

68 - Alexander Bjork (SWE), Matthieu Pavon (FRA), Adrian Meronk (POL), David Howell (ENG), Christiaan Bezuidenhout (RSA), Fabrizio Zanotti (PAR), Sean Crocker (USA), Scott Hend (AUS), Justin Harding (RSA), Jazz Janewattananond (THA), Shubhankar Sharma (IND), Renato Paratore (ITA)

Avatar: Fire and Ash

Director: James Cameron

Starring: Sam Worthington, Sigourney Weaver, Zoe Saldana

Rating: 4.5/5

Profile of Tamatem

Date started: March 2013

Founder: Hussam Hammo

Based: Amman, Jordan

Employees: 55

Funding: $6m

Funders: Wamda Capital, Modern Electronics (part of Al Falaisah Group) and North Base Media

'Munich: The Edge of War'

Director: Christian Schwochow

Starring: George MacKay, Jannis Niewohner, Jeremy Irons

Rating: 3/5

Key figures in the life of the fort

Sheikh Dhiyab bin Isa (ruled 1761-1793) Built Qasr Al Hosn as a watchtower to guard over the only freshwater well on Abu Dhabi island.

Sheikh Shakhbut bin Dhiyab (ruled 1793-1816) Expanded the tower into a small fort and transferred his ruling place of residence from Liwa Oasis to the fort on the island.

Sheikh Tahnoon bin Shakhbut (ruled 1818-1833) Expanded Qasr Al Hosn further as Abu Dhabi grew from a small village of palm huts to a town of more than 5,000 inhabitants.

Sheikh Khalifa bin Shakhbut (ruled 1833-1845) Repaired and fortified the fort.

Sheikh Saeed bin Tahnoon (ruled 1845-1855) Turned Qasr Al Hosn into a strong two-storied structure.

Sheikh Zayed bin Khalifa (ruled 1855-1909) Expanded Qasr Al Hosn further to reflect the emirate's increasing prominence.

Sheikh Shakhbut bin Sultan (ruled 1928-1966) Renovated and enlarged Qasr Al Hosn, adding a decorative arch and two new villas.

Sheikh Zayed bin Sultan (ruled 1966-2004) Moved the royal residence to Al Manhal palace and kept his diwan at Qasr Al Hosn.

Sources: Jayanti Maitra, www.adach.ae

Four reasons global stock markets are falling right now

There are many factors worrying investors right now and triggering a rush out of stock markets. Here are four of the biggest:

1. Rising US interest rates

The US Federal Reserve has increased interest rates three times this year in a bid to prevent its buoyant economy from overheating. They now stand at between 2 and 2.25 per cent and markets are pencilling in three more rises next year.

Kim Catechis, manager of the Legg Mason Martin Currie Global Emerging Markets Fund, says US inflation is rising and the Fed will continue to raise rates in 2019. “With inflationary pressures growing, an increasing number of corporates are guiding profitability expectations downwards for 2018 and 2019, citing the negative impact of rising costs.”

At the same time as rates are rising, central bankers in the US and Europe have been ending quantitative easing, bringing the era of cheap money to an end.

2. Stronger dollar

High US rates have driven up the value of the dollar and bond yields, and this is putting pressure on emerging market countries that took advantage of low interest rates to run up trillions in dollar-denominated debt. They have also suffered capital outflows as international investors have switched to the US, driving markets lower. Omar Negyal, portfolio manager of the JP Morgan Global Emerging Markets Income Trust, says this looks like a buying opportunity. “Despite short-term volatility we remain positive about long-term prospects and profitability for emerging markets.” 

3. Global trade war

Ritu Vohora, investment director at fund manager M&G, says markets fear that US President Donald Trump’s spat with China will escalate into a full-blown global trade war, with both sides suffering. “The US economy is robust enough to absorb higher input costs now, but this may not be the case as tariffs escalate. However, with a host of factors hitting investor sentiment, this is becoming a stock picker’s market.”

4. Eurozone uncertainty

Europe faces two challenges right now in the shape of Brexit and the new populist government in eurozone member Italy.

Chris Beauchamp, chief market analyst at IG, which has offices in Dubai, says the stand-off between between Rome and Brussels threatens to become much more serious. "As with Brexit, neither side appears willing to step back from the edge, threatening more trouble down the line.”

The European economy may also be slowing, Mr Beauchamp warns. “A four-year low in eurozone manufacturing confidence highlights the fact that producers see a bumpy road ahead, with US-EU trade talks remaining a major question-mark for exporters.”

A State of Passion

Directors: Carol Mansour and Muna Khalidi

Stars: Dr Ghassan Abu-Sittah

Rating: 4/5

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