Investing in old coins can reap good returns, especially if you know your history. But experts say novice collectors may have difficulty recognising key elements such as quality, rarity and market demand. Tony Glover reports
Anyone boarding a plane with tens of millions of US dollars worth of rare coins in their pocket while only appearing to carry a pocket full of loose change is likely to be either a successful criminal or a keen numismatist.
Numismatics is the study or collection of currencies, and the collectors of rare coins are known as numismatists or numatists. Some are wealthy investors, while others only want to hold a piece of history in the palm of their hand.
According to Rick Pontario, the executive vice president of Stack's Bowers and Pontario, a major global auctioneer of ancient coins, rare coins have historically been a good investment over a 10-year period.
"Quality, rarity and demand are the key factors," says Mr Pontario.
A favoured way of establishing a coin's value without selling it at auction is called "slabbing".
This involves having a coin valued by a professional on the grounds of quality, rarity and demand, and placed in a sealed transparent classic case to preserve its condition.
But while this service may be reassuring for the novice collector, professionals in the business of rare coins are sceptical of the true value of slabbing.
"How accurate is any valuation? Something could be valued for £1 million [Dh5.83m] by the world-famous London auction house Sotheby's and go for only a hundred thousand under the hammer," says Malcolm Bord, a partner at the London-based Gold Coin Exchange.
It is often hard to judge the exact value of a coin on the basis of its rarity. This, like beauty, is in the eye of the beholder and may depend on the nature and condition of the purchaser's collection.
For this reason, gold coins are often of particular interest to collectors who value preserving their investment. Gold prices have a habit of rising over the mid to long term, particularly in times of economic turmoil.
It would, therefore, be wrong to call someone who is only interested in the weight of their gold collection as a "collector".
There are, however, some eminently collectable gold coins. One example is a rare US$20 double eagle coin minted in 1933, which went for a record $7.59m when auctioned at Sotheby's in 2002.
But new collectors may prefer to invest in more affordable gold coins, which may interest future collectors.
Recent examples are the Cena commemorative gold and silver coins that were minted to mark the World Energy Forum in Dubai this year.
The face of the two coins depict the name of the state in Arabic and English, along with the portraits of Sheikh Khalifa, President of the UAE, and Sheikh Mohammed bin Rashid, Vice President of the UAE and Ruler of Dubai.
The back of the coins depict the logo, "World Energy Forum 2012-Dubai" in Arabic and English.
Other examples include Queen Elizabeth II's Diamond Jubilee coins. These commemorate the 60th anniversary of the queen's coronation, which was celebrated during the summer. Each coin is 99.999 per cent pure gold and has a face value of £1000.
But gold coins are not always the most historically interesting. Some silver Islamic coins not yet popular on the international coin market, for instance, still represent true value for the true collector.
A silver dirham coin from Caliph Al Walid's historically fascinating era was advertised online with a price tag of only $50.
Caliph Al Walid expanded the Umayyad Empire from 705 to 715, but instead of forcing the conquered Jews and Christians to convert to Islam, he gave them a financial incentive by charging non-Muslims extra taxes. He also made Arabic the official language of the Middle East.
But another silver dirham from the same Caliph Al Walid era is worth more than $1,000.
Spotting the difference between one ancient coin and another requires considerable numismatic skill, but a growing number of investors worldwide are prepared to acquire a little historical knowledge along with their investment.
After developing some knowledge of coins, the novice collector is faced with a bewildering array of methods of buying them.
These range from buying at Sotheby's auction house in London to ordering them via mail order or, increasingly, over the internet.
Despite the growing popularity of the internet, the favoured method involves going into a traditional coin shop. Aside from the obvious advantages of being able to handle coins before purchase, human interaction is a crucial part of becoming a serious collector or investor.
"Knowledge is king. If you become a regular shop customer, you open the door to many discussions with the owner/employees. These discussions can often be highly valuable," the 2013 US Coin Digest advises.
Online auction sites such as eBay are also an increasingly popular way to buy and sell coins. The disadvantage is that, unlike conventional auctions, there is no opportunity to handle the coins before deciding what to bid for.
Many coin collectors also find it useful to order coins that have been advertised in the mail. But the US Coin Digest warns that care must be taken by the buyer to ensure that the price advertised matches the quality and state of the coins on offer.
The world's stock of ancient coins is also periodically increased by the reappearance of coins from the past.
A pot of gold coins from the Crusades, for instance, has been unearthed in Israel. The coins had been buried by the Knights Hospitallers in 1265. Immensely valuable even in the 13th century, the gold dinals have yet to be accurately valued.
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UAE currency: the story behind the money in your pockets
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Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.
Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.
“Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.
Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.
“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.
Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.
From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.
Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.
BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.
Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.
Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.
“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.
Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.
“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.
“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”
The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”
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Europa League final
Who: Marseille v Atletico Madrid
Where: Parc OL, Lyon, France
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TV: BeIN Sports
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Emergency
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Libya's Gold
UN Panel of Experts found regime secretly sold a fifth of the country's gold reserves.
The panel’s 2017 report followed a trail to West Africa where large sums of cash and gold were hidden by Abdullah Al Senussi, Qaddafi’s former intelligence chief, in 2011.
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1) Beware of cheques presented late on Thursday
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4) Try not to close the sale at night
5) Don't be rushed into a sale
6) Call 901 if you see any suspicious behaviour