AI advances will remain the key growth engine for markets, with companies investing heavily in infrastructure and integration. Reuters
AI advances will remain the key growth engine for markets, with companies investing heavily in infrastructure and integration. Reuters
AI advances will remain the key growth engine for markets, with companies investing heavily in infrastructure and integration. Reuters
AI advances will remain the key growth engine for markets, with companies investing heavily in infrastructure and integration. Reuters

What 2025 has in store for global markets


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In 2025, the global financial landscape seems to stand at the crossroads of volatility, opportunity and transformation. Amid policy uncertainty, geopolitical tensions and macroeconomic fluctuations, the year is set to challenge investors and traders, demanding sharper strategies and a keen eye for emerging trends.

The world is experiencing major shifts in governance, economics and culture, setting the stage for heightened volatility. This complexity could lead to significant sentiment swings, especially in traditional finance (TradFi) assets and decentralised finance (DeFi) markets.

Uncertainty is further amplified by factors like the US political landscape and the second Donald Trump presidency. However, technological innovation, particularly in artificial intelligence, and the continued evolution of digital assets are expected to be key drivers in 2025. I believe these assets have the potential to emerge stronger by year-end.

The tech sector: Steady growth with innovation at the helm

Following a stellar 2024, tech stocks may face some short-term pullbacks in 2025, but they are expected to end the year in a strong position, outperforming the broader market. However, growth will likely return to more traditional levels rather than repeating last year’s explosive rallies, as investors recalibrate their expectations for the sector.

AI advancements will remain the key growth engine, with companies heavily investing in artificial intelligence, its infrastructure and its integration into products and services. For example, Nvidia continues to dominate the AI hardware space with its cutting-edge GPUs, which are powering everything from generative AI models to autonomous vehicles. Similarly, Microsoft is expanding its AI footprint by integrating OpenAI tools across its Azure cloud platform and Office suite, solidifying its position as an innovation leader.

Beyond AI, sustainability-driven technologies will also play a big role. Companies focused on renewable energy solutions, such as Tesla with its solar and battery technology or Alphabet with its AI-powered energy efficiency tools, are also poised to capture investor attention.

In sum, with its unparalleled capacity for innovation, the tech sector is well-positioned to deliver steady growth over the long term, rewarding those who stay focused on transformative trends like AI and sustainability.

Crypto markets: Bullish momentum ahead

Many, including myself, believe that the crypto market is set for more growth in 2025, with "blue-chip" cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin and Ethereum expected to outperform both TradFi and DeFi assets by year-end. While events such as last year’s Bitcoin ETF approvals or the rollout of central bank digital currencies may dominate headlines, the real opportunities lie in long-term trends shaping the industry.

The approval of Bitcoin ETFs has increased institutional involvement, while advancements in blockchain scalability, like Ethereum’s Layer 2 solutions, are driving broader adoption. These developments are attracting not just speculators but also long-term investors who recognise the maturing infrastructure and growing utility of cryptocurrencies.

Guide to intelligent investing
Investing success often hinges on discipline and perspective. As markets fluctuate, remember these guiding principles:
  • Stay invested: Time in the market, not timing the market, is critical to long-term gains.
  • Rational thinking: Breathe and avoid emotional decision-making; let logic and planning guide your actions.
  • Strategic patience: Understand why you’re investing and allow time for your strategies to unfold.
 
 

Rather than reacting to short-term volatility, investors should focus on sectors like decentralised finance, tokenised assets and blockchain-powered solutions, which are poised for sustainable growth over the next three to five years.

Bitcoin’s fixed supply and halving cycles, along with Ethereum’s energy-efficient proof-of-stake model, underscore the structural factors that could drive value.

While 2025 may bring volatility, it should be remembered that the most promising opportunities in crypto lie in long-term innovation and adoption. With patience and a focus on these trends, cryptocurrencies have the potential for strong performance in the years ahead.

Mena perspective: Growth and modernisation

The Middle East and North Africa region, particularly the Gulf countries, continues its growth trajectory, having outperformed most global markets in 2024. The region's commitment to modernisation, fraud reduction and regulatory advancements is expected to bolster investor confidence.

But while the trajectory is clear and there is little doubt as to the bullish sentiment for the next decade, there are some hurdles that need to be dealt with. The first is rising cost of living. How governments address this issue will have significant implications for everyday decision-making, including investments. The second is infrastructure modernisation. Continued improvement in infrastructure and regulatory frameworks will likely enhance market performance.

2025 is shaping up to be a year of volatility and transformation, offering both challenges and opportunities for traders and investors. By focusing on long-term trends, such as technological innovation and regional growth in Mena, and maintaining disciplined investment strategies, investors can navigate the complexities of the year with confidence.

Muhammad Rasoul is chief executive of neo-broker amana

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Ten tax points to be aware of in 2026

1. Domestic VAT refund amendments: request your refund within five years

If a business does not apply for the refund on time, they lose their credit.

2. E-invoicing in the UAE

Businesses should continue preparing for the implementation of e-invoicing in the UAE, with 2026 a preparation and transition period ahead of phased mandatory adoption. 

3. More tax audits

Tax authorities are increasingly using data already available across multiple filings to identify audit risks. 

4. More beneficial VAT and excise tax penalty regime

Tax disputes are expected to become more frequent and more structured, with clearer administrative objection and appeal processes. The UAE has adopted a new penalty regime for VAT and excise disputes, which now mirrors the penalty regime for corporate tax.

5. Greater emphasis on statutory audit

There is a greater need for the accuracy of financial statements. The International Financial Reporting Standards standards need to be strictly adhered to and, as a result, the quality of the audits will need to increase.

6. Further transfer pricing enforcement

Transfer pricing enforcement, which refers to the practice of establishing prices for internal transactions between related entities, is expected to broaden in scope. The UAE will shortly open the possibility to negotiate advance pricing agreements, or essentially rulings for transfer pricing purposes. 

7. Limited time periods for audits

Recent amendments also introduce a default five-year limitation period for tax audits and assessments, subject to specific statutory exceptions. While the standard audit and assessment period is five years, this may be extended to up to 15 years in cases involving fraud or tax evasion. 

8. Pillar 2 implementation 

Many multinational groups will begin to feel the practical effect of the Domestic Minimum Top-Up Tax (DMTT), the UAE's implementation of the OECD’s global minimum tax under Pillar 2. While the rules apply for financial years starting on or after January 1, 2025, it is 2026 that marks the transition to an operational phase.

9. Reduced compliance obligations for imported goods and services

Businesses that apply the reverse-charge mechanism for VAT purposes in the UAE may benefit from reduced compliance obligations. 

10. Substance and CbC reporting focus

Tax authorities are expected to continue strengthening the enforcement of economic substance and Country-by-Country (CbC) reporting frameworks. In the UAE, these regimes are increasingly being used as risk-assessment tools, providing tax authorities with a comprehensive view of multinational groups’ global footprints and enabling them to assess whether profits are aligned with real economic activity. 

Contributed by Thomas Vanhee and Hend Rashwan, Aurifer

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Company Profile

Name: Thndr
Started: 2019
Co-founders: Ahmad Hammouda and Seif Amr
Sector: FinTech
Headquarters: Egypt
UAE base: Hub71, Abu Dhabi
Current number of staff: More than 150
Funds raised: $22 million

Guide to intelligent investing
Investing success often hinges on discipline and perspective. As markets fluctuate, remember these guiding principles:
  • Stay invested: Time in the market, not timing the market, is critical to long-term gains.
  • Rational thinking: Breathe and avoid emotional decision-making; let logic and planning guide your actions.
  • Strategic patience: Understand why you’re investing and allow time for your strategies to unfold.
 
 
Updated: January 30, 2025, 4:00 AM