In an era where traditional savings seem increasingly secure, it is crucial to understand the hidden costs associated with hoarding cash.
Despite high interest rates offered by banks, the reality of inflation means that the “real” return on cash savings is often disappointingly low.
As we look ahead, exploring non-cash assets might prove a more lucrative approach for the coming decade.
The illusion of high returns
There was a time when saving meant simply depositing money in the bank and enjoying a decent return.
However, the landscape has shifted dramatically. Despite seemingly high interest rates on savings accounts, the “real” return on cash has been negative for most of the past four years due to inflation.
This erosion of value underscores the necessity of exploring other avenues for investment.
Diversifying beyond cash
For those wary of risk, cash may seem like a safe haven. Yet, its comfort can be deceptive. Holding a lot of cash probably means you are conscious of risk.
Multi-asset funds could be a viable alternative, offering a balance between risk and return by diversifying investments across various asset classes, including stocks, bonds, real estate and commodities.
Why a multi-asset strategy is important
Multi-asset funds provide exposure to different sources of potential returns. For instance, stocks, particularly those in sectors like consumer staples and energy, can be resilient during inflationary times. Conversely, consumer discretionary and technology stocks might falter when economic belts tighten.
Commodities, known for their price volatility, often rise with inflation and can serve as a hedge against losing purchasing power.
Bonds, ranging from low-risk government bonds to higher-risk emerging market bonds, also play a pivotal role in many investment strategies. Their performance can vary with changing interest rate environments, making them a critical component of a diversified portfolio.
Stocks are another key component of a balanced investment strategy. During inflationary periods, companies making essential goods, often classified under consumer staples, tend to perform well because demand for basic necessities does not wane.
Energy stocks also typically hold their ground as energy remains a fundamental need regardless of economic conditions.
On the other hand, during times of economic contraction, consumer spending on non-essential items tends to decrease.
This shift impacts consumer discretionary sectors, which includes luxury goods, non-essential services and technology, where investments are often seen as expendable during tough economic times.
Long-term investments are key
The value of a long-term investment strategy often surpasses attempting to time the market.
Historical data suggests that staying invested typically yields better results. Market fluctuations often tempt investors to time their trades, but missing even a few key days can significantly reduce potential returns.
If you invested in global equities, missing out on just the 10 best days in the last 20 years could cut your returns by half.
It is a formidable challenge to predict these days accurately, and frequent trading increases the risk of missing them.
For those who find the management of investments daunting, outsourcing to professionals via actively managed funds might be an appealing option. This allows individuals to leverage expert knowledge in market trends and risk assessment, potentially enhancing the performance of their investments.
Embracing discomfort for greater returns
Investing involves not just steering clear of discomfort but strategically embracing it to secure a sound financial future.
Opting for safe, low-return options might spare some sleepless nights, but it won't necessarily set your portfolio up to achieve long-term financial security.
Diversification, particularly through bonds and multi-asset funds, not only spreads risk but also enhances the potential for real growth.
When every dirham counts, making your money work as hard as you do is not just an option, it’s a necessity.
For investors looking to navigate the complexities of modern finance, understanding the real costs of cash and the benefits of diversified investments is key.
The future belongs to those who are prepared to embrace a little discomfort for substantially better returns.
Fabio Faltoni is product director of multi-asset strategies (MAS) UK team at Invesco
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Our legal consultants
Name: Hassan Mohsen Elhais
Position: legal consultant with Al Rowaad Advocates and Legal Consultants.
Nancy 9 (Hassa Beek)
Nancy Ajram
(In2Musica)
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The five pillars of Islam
The Programme
Saturday, October 26: ‘The Time That Remains’ (2009) by Elia Suleiman
Saturday, November 2: ‘Beginners’ (2010) by Mike Mills
Saturday, November 16: ‘Finding Vivian Maier’ (2013) by John Maloof and Charlie Siskel
Tuesday, November 26: ‘All the President’s Men’ (1976) by Alan J Pakula
Saturday, December 7: ‘Timbuktu’ (2014) by Abderrahmane Sissako
Saturday, December 21: ‘Rams’ (2015) by Grimur Hakonarson
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Racecard
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Skoda Superb Specs
Engine: 2-litre TSI petrol
Power: 190hp
Torque: 320Nm
Price: From Dh147,000
Available: Now
Roll of honour
Who has won what so far in the West Asia Premiership season?
Western Clubs Champions League - Winners: Abu Dhabi Harlequins; Runners up: Bahrain
Dubai Rugby Sevens - Winners: Dubai Exiles; Runners up: Jebel Ali Dragons
West Asia Premiership - Winners: Jebel Ali Dragons; Runners up: Abu Dhabi Harlequins
UAE Premiership Cup - Winners: Abu Dhabi Harlequins; Runners up: Dubai Exiles
West Asia Cup - Winners: Bahrain; Runners up: Dubai Exiles
West Asia Trophy - Winners: Dubai Hurricanes; Runners up: DSC Eagles
Final West Asia Premiership standings - 1. Jebel Ali Dragons; 2. Abu Dhabi Harlequins; 3. Bahrain; 4. Dubai Exiles; 5. Dubai Hurricanes; 6. DSC Eagles; 7. Abu Dhabi Saracens
Fixture (UAE Premiership final) - Friday, April 13, Al Ain – Dubai Exiles v Abu Dhabi Harlequins
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Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.
Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.
“Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.
Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.
“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.
Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.
From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.
Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.
BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.
Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.
Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.
“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.
Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.
“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.
“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”
The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”
WOMAN AND CHILD
Director: Saeed Roustaee
Starring: Parinaz Izadyar, Payman Maadi
Rating: 4/5
F1 The Movie
Starring: Brad Pitt, Damson Idris, Kerry Condon, Javier Bardem
Director: Joseph Kosinski
Rating: 4/5
Milestones on the road to union
1970
October 26: Bahrain withdraws from a proposal to create a federation of nine with the seven Trucial States and Qatar.
December: Ahmed Al Suwaidi visits New York to discuss potential UN membership.
1971
March 1: Alex Douglas Hume, Conservative foreign secretary confirms that Britain will leave the Gulf and “strongly supports” the creation of a Union of Arab Emirates.
July 12: Historic meeting at which Sheikh Zayed and Sheikh Rashid make a binding agreement to create what will become the UAE.
July 18: It is announced that the UAE will be formed from six emirates, with a proposed constitution signed. RAK is not yet part of the agreement.
August 6: The fifth anniversary of Sheikh Zayed becoming Ruler of Abu Dhabi, with official celebrations deferred until later in the year.
August 15: Bahrain becomes independent.
September 3: Qatar becomes independent.
November 23-25: Meeting with Sheikh Zayed and Sheikh Rashid and senior British officials to fix December 2 as date of creation of the UAE.
November 29: At 5.30pm Iranian forces seize the Greater and Lesser Tunbs by force.
November 30: Despite a power sharing agreement, Tehran takes full control of Abu Musa.
November 31: UK officials visit all six participating Emirates to formally end the Trucial States treaties
December 2: 11am, Dubai. New Supreme Council formally elects Sheikh Zayed as President. Treaty of Friendship signed with the UK. 11.30am. Flag raising ceremony at Union House and Al Manhal Palace in Abu Dhabi witnessed by Sheikh Khalifa, then Crown Prince of Abu Dhabi.
December 6: Arab League formally admits the UAE. The first British Ambassador presents his credentials to Sheikh Zayed.
December 9: UAE joins the United Nations.
Learn more about Qasr Al Hosn
In 2013, The National's History Project went beyond the walls to see what life was like living in Abu Dhabi's fabled fort:
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Groom and Two Brides
Director: Elie Semaan
Starring: Abdullah Boushehri, Laila Abdallah, Lulwa Almulla
Rating: 3/5
BLACKBERRY
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SPECS
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