US dollar falls as clock ticks down



The US dollar fell as Congress examined a tentative deal to prevent the world's largest economy from defaulting on its debts and traders prepared for a wrenching day ahead.

Since world markets closed on Friday, the dollar has lost 1 per cent against the euro and 0.9 per cent against sterling.

The US must agree on a deal to raise its US$14.3 trillion (Dh52.52tn) debt ceiling, which it will hit tomorrow unless a deal is reached.

As The National went to press, media reports suggested party leaders in Washington had made significant progress towards reaching a bipartisan deal on raising the debt ceiling.

A framework had emerged for a deal which involves $1tn of immediate cuts and potentially $2.4tn in total budget reductions, Associated Press reported.

Markets in the Gulf were mixed as the stand-off in Washington unravelled, following a dismal week of trading. Saudi Arabia's Tadawul rose 0.6 per cent to 6,392.13 and the Dubai Financial Market General Index rose 0.76 per cent to 1,517.58, although most other Gulf markets fell.

But with many world markets closed for the weekend, currencies were the only measure of market sentiment.

The US dollar also lost 0.4 per cent against the Australian dollar, which is often viewed as a proxy for commodities because of the country's strength as a producer of minerals.

Traders said they expected volatility in Asian equity market futures trading this morning, alongside the US dollar index and US two-year, five-year and 10-year treasury bonds.

The stock market's moves would hinge upon what kind of deal emerges, said Tudor Allin-Khan, the chief economist at AlembicHC.

"If a deal comes out that's very, very positive and very firm on a long-term structural solution, equity markets will do quite well."

In the event of a less credible deal, "you'll see a relief rally, but then people will start asking questions and start speculating about what'll happen next", Mr Allin-Khan said.

Gold, traditionally viewed as a haven during times of uncertainty, closed on Friday at $1,627.20 per troy ounce, having fallen just a few dollars from an all-time high reached only four hours earlier.

The most likely consequence of a deal being reached would be a "big unwinding of safe havens" such as gold and the Swiss franc, leading to a significant boost to the dollar, said Gaurav Kashyap, the head of the Dubai Gold and Commodities Exchange desk at Alpari, an online broker.

However, many fundamental problems remain for the US even if Congress reaches a deal, most notably sluggish economic growth. GDP for the first quarter was recently revised down to 0.4 per cent from 1.9 per cent, US department of commerce figures showed.

"The long-term picture for the US doesn't look good," Mr Kashyap said. "This is also going to be a drag on US equity prices."

The US may also have suffered damage to its international reputation in the eyes of world capital markets that will be hard to reverse, Mr Allin-Khan said.

How much sugar is in chocolate Easter eggs?
  • The 169g Crunchie egg has 15.9g of sugar per 25g serving, working out at around 107g of sugar per egg
  • The 190g Maltesers Teasers egg contains 58g of sugar per 100g for the egg and 19.6g of sugar in each of the two Teasers bars that come with it
  • The 188g Smarties egg has 113g of sugar per egg and 22.8g in the tube of Smarties it contains
  • The Milky Bar white chocolate Egg Hunt Pack contains eight eggs at 7.7g of sugar per egg
  • The Cadbury Creme Egg contains 26g of sugar per 40g egg
At a glance

Global events: Much of the UK’s economic woes were blamed on “increased global uncertainty”, which can be interpreted as the economic impact of the Ukraine war and the uncertainty over Donald Trump’s tariffs.

 

Growth forecasts: Cut for 2025 from 2 per cent to 1 per cent. The OBR watchdog also estimated inflation will average 3.2 per cent this year

 

Welfare: Universal credit health element cut by 50 per cent and frozen for new claimants, building on cuts to the disability and incapacity bill set out earlier this month

 

Spending cuts: Overall day-to day-spending across government cut by £6.1bn in 2029-30 

 

Tax evasion: Steps to crack down on tax evasion to raise “£6.5bn per year” for the public purse

 

Defence: New high-tech weaponry, upgrading HM Naval Base in Portsmouth

 

Housing: Housebuilding to reach its highest in 40 years, with planning reforms helping generate an extra £3.4bn for public finances

ICC T20 Rankings

1. India - 270 ranking points

 

2. England - 265 points

 

3. Pakistan - 261 points

 

4. South Africa - 253 points

 

5. Australia - 251 points 

 

6. New Zealand - 250 points

 

7. West Indies - 240 points

 

8. Bangladesh - 233 points

 

9. Sri Lanka - 230 points

 

10. Afghanistan - 226 points

 
Real estate tokenisation project

Dubai launched the pilot phase of its real estate tokenisation project last month.

The initiative focuses on converting real estate assets into digital tokens recorded on blockchain technology and helps in streamlining the process of buying, selling and investing, the Dubai Land Department said.

Dubai’s real estate tokenisation market is projected to reach Dh60 billion ($16.33 billion) by 2033, representing 7 per cent of the emirate’s total property transactions, according to the DLD.

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