Developments in Europe will determine the trading pace in the Middle East. Above, the Egyptian stock exchange. Mohamed Omar / EPA, Bloomberg News
Developments in Europe will determine the trading pace in the Middle East. Above, the Egyptian stock exchange. Mohamed Omar / EPA, Bloomberg News

Investors to take a cue from Europe



Middle East markets will look to both Europe and the region this week as the euro-zone crisis and the release of third-quarter earnings closer to home set the trading pace.

Road to ruin or recovery?

Euro Zone The National charts Europe's struggles as it attempts to through of financial crisis. Learn more

Italy's Senate on Friday approved austerity measures in an attempt to appease investors and pave the way for a new government following the expected departure of the prime minister Silvio Berlusconi. How effective those moves are perceived by investors will become apparent tomorrow when European markets re-open.

"They are putting Band-Aids on the problem, but not really tackling the root cause," said Saleem Khokhar, the head of equities at National Bank of Abu Dhabi. "It's a good first step, however more action needs to be done by policymakers to convince investors that the euro zone is taking its debt crisis seriously."

Italian bond yields, which raced way above sustainable levels last week, triggered a roller-coaster ride for global and regional stock-markets. The Egyptian Exchange, the only bourse in the region classified as an emerging market, declined 1.4 per cent to 4383.49 points last week.

The second-largest bourse in the region is expected to see a flurry of trading activity as companies release third-quarter results, providing an indication of whether a recovery is in place following the civil uprising that ousted Hosni Mubarak as president. Some stocks may face pressure as court cases unfold.

Egypt's annual consumer price inflation hit a four-year low last month, at 7.1 per cent year-on-year, down from 8.2 per cent in September. Rising living costs were seen as one trigger for the country's popular uprising.

"There are way too many unknowns at the moment," Mr Khokhar said. "Egypt is a market that has a lot of potential but that won't be unlocked until a year or so."

Ghabbour Auto, the Middle East's largest vehicle maker, is expected to release weak third-quarter results today as dwindling tourist numbers require far fewer buses, according to CI Capital, based in Cairo. The investment bank has a "hold" rating on the stock.

Telecom Egypt, the country's monopoly fixed-line telephone company, will report earnings tomorrow. The company was hit by a two-week strike last month even after it said it would give employees a bonus before Eid.

Remco for Touristic Villages Construction, the third-biggest publicly traded resorts company in Egypt, on Tuesday will attend a court case hearing related to the annulment of its North Coast land contract.

Orascom Development Holding will release quarterly results on Wednesday. The resort company run by the billionaire Samih Sawiris last week lowered its guidance for the full-year margin on earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortisation to between 2 per cent and 4 per cent as hotel occupancy declined.

A court case to challenge the annulment of the department store Omar Effendi by a Saudi investor resumes on Wednesday. Omar Effendi was sold to Nawal, a Saudi Arabian company, for 589.5 million Egyptian pounds in 2006. The sale, by the Mubarak government, drew great scrutiny because of the brand's popularity. The retail chain was founded more than 150 years ago.

Elsewhere in the region, the Dubai Financial Market General Index opened at 1369.74 points on Wednesday and rose to a high of 1391.72 before closing at 1382.72 on Thursday. The Abu Dhabi Securities Exchange General Index opened at 2480.78 before reaching a high of 2483.29 on Wednesday and closing at 2477.84 on Thursday. Qatar's index was little changed at 8697.58 and Bahrain's measure lost 0.4 per cent to 1154.20. Markets in Saudi Arabia, Oman and Kuwait were closed for Eid.

twitter: Follow and share our breaking business news. Follow us

Test

Director: S Sashikanth

Cast: Nayanthara, Siddharth, Meera Jasmine, R Madhavan

Star rating: 2/5

The smuggler

Eldarir had arrived at JFK in January 2020 with three suitcases, containing goods he valued at $300, when he was directed to a search area.
Officers found 41 gold artefacts among the bags, including amulets from a funerary set which prepared the deceased for the afterlife.
Also found was a cartouche of a Ptolemaic king on a relief that was originally part of a royal building or temple. 
The largest single group of items found in Eldarir’s cases were 400 shabtis, or figurines.

Khouli conviction

Khouli smuggled items into the US by making false declarations to customs about the country of origin and value of the items.
According to Immigration and Customs Enforcement, he provided “false provenances which stated that [two] Egyptian antiquities were part of a collection assembled by Khouli's father in Israel in the 1960s” when in fact “Khouli acquired the Egyptian antiquities from other dealers”.
He was sentenced to one year of probation, six months of home confinement and 200 hours of community service in 2012 after admitting buying and smuggling Egyptian antiquities, including coffins, funerary boats and limestone figures.

For sale

A number of other items said to come from the collection of Ezeldeen Taha Eldarir are currently or recently for sale.
Their provenance is described in near identical terms as the British Museum shabti: bought from Salahaddin Sirmali, "authenticated and appraised" by Hossen Rashed, then imported to the US in 1948.

- An Egyptian Mummy mask dating from 700BC-30BC, is on offer for £11,807 ($15,275) online by a seller in Mexico

- A coffin lid dating back to 664BC-332BC was offered for sale by a Colorado-based art dealer, with a starting price of $65,000

- A shabti that was on sale through a Chicago-based coin dealer, dating from 1567BC-1085BC, is up for $1,950

Tips for job-seekers
  • Do not submit your application through the Easy Apply button on LinkedIn. Employers receive between 600 and 800 replies for each job advert on the platform. If you are the right fit for a job, connect to a relevant person in the company on LinkedIn and send them a direct message.
  • Make sure you are an exact fit for the job advertised. If you are an HR manager with five years’ experience in retail and the job requires a similar candidate with five years’ experience in consumer, you should apply. But if you have no experience in HR, do not apply for the job.

David Mackenzie, founder of recruitment agency Mackenzie Jones Middle East