India’s aviation sector seeks US investment


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India is seeking more investment from the United States in its aviation sector, as it aims to become the third largest market globally by passenger numbers by 2020.

“Considering the growth prospects of air traffic, potential for large-scale acquisition of aircrafts by the airlines and substantial investment projections, [the] Indian civil aviation market offers tremendous opportunities for US industries to invest in India,” said Ajit Singh, the civil aviation minister, speaking at the US-India Aviation Summit in Washington last week.

He said India was expanding its air transport network and the growing role of the private sector had fuelled a rise in air traffic in the subcontinent.

“India is currently the ninth largest aviation market handling 121 million domestic and 41 million international passengers with more than 85 international airlines operating to India and five Indian carriers connecting over 40 countries,” Mr Singh said.

"The Indian airport system is poised to handle 336 million domestic and 85 million international passengers by 2020, making India the third largest aviation market."

By 2020, the country’s commercial fleet size is expected to more than double to 1,000 aircraft, worth US$45 billion, compared with 400 today, he said. The “Indian government has envisaged investment of investment of $12.1bn in the airports sector during the 12th-plan period [a five-year plan that runs from 2012 to 2017], of which $9.3bn is expected to come from the private sector for construction of new airports, expansion, and modernisation of existing airports and development of low cost airports”, he added.

Total bilateral trade in goods between India and the US reached $62.8bn last year, with aircraft, spacecraft, and their parts being some of the major items of export between the two countries.

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Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.

Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.

Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.

“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.

Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.

From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.

Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.

BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.

Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.

Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.

“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.

“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.

“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”

The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”

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