A brokerage cut its price target for Emaar Properties shares yesterday, even before a new report showed that property prices in Dubai continue to decline.
Alembic HC Securities forecastEmaar's next three quarters would be weighed down by a Dh172 million impairment on Dubai Bank, sluggish property deliveries and a full write-down of the Islamic mortgage company Amlak Finance.
"We feel that the timing [of the impairments] may be unfavourable given the already weak earnings outlook for the year on the back of an expected slowdown in deliveries," Majed Azzam, an analyst at Alembic,told clients in a note yesterday.
The analyst cut the stock's fair value to Dh3.20, from Dh3.30, while maintaining a "neutral" rating.
Dubai Bank, which was known to have been under pressure for some time, was taken over by the Dubai Government on May 16. Emaar had a 30 per cent stake in the lender.
Amlak was suspended from trading in 2008 after the financial crisis cut its access to credit. Emaar holds a 45 per cent stake in the company.
"An impairment of Dh800m on Amlak this year now appears more probable, as it appears unlikely that the Government will intercede with a bailout that would benefit Emaar," Mr Azzam said.
Meanwhile, property prices in Dubai have failed to improvesince unrest broke out in parts of the Middle East and North Africa, contrary to speculation that investors would flock to the emirate as a safe haven, according to a Deutsche Bank report.
The report showed home values declined 1.2 per cent last month compared with the previous month and rents fell by 1 per cent, the analysts Nabil Ahmed and Athmane Benzerroug said in a note.
"Despite talks of renewed interest in real estate following regional unrest, there is no visible sign of an improvement," they said.
Dubai property prices have dropped 64 per cent from their peak in mid-2008, while rents have fallen by 55 per cent, according to Deutsche Bank.
Emaar closed 0.9 per cent higher at Dh3.12 yesterday.
[ halsayegh@thenational.ae ]
A QUIET PLACE
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Rating: 4/5
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Stars: Daniel Kaluuya, Keke Palmer, Brandon Perea, Steven Yeun
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Fifa Club World Cup quarter-final
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The Iron Claw
Director: Sean Durkin
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SPECS
Engine: 1.5-litre turbo
Power: 181hp
Torque: 230Nm
Transmission: 6-speed automatic
Starting price: Dh79,000
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The low down on MPS
What is myofascial pain syndrome?
Myofascial pain syndrome refers to pain and inflammation in the body’s soft tissue. MPS is a chronic condition that affects the fascia (connective tissue that covers the muscles, which develops knots, also known as trigger points).
What are trigger points?
Trigger points are irritable knots in the soft tissue that covers muscle tissue. Through injury or overuse, muscle fibres contract as a reactive and protective measure, creating tension in the form of hard and, palpable nodules. Overuse and sustained posture are the main culprits in developing trigger points.
What is myofascial or trigger-point release?
Releasing these nodules requires a hands-on technique that involves applying gentle sustained pressure to release muscular shortness and tightness. This eliminates restrictions in connective tissue in orderto restore motion and alleviate pain. Therapy balls have proven effective at causing enough commotion in the tissue, prompting the release of these hard knots.
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Manchester United 4
(Pogba 5', 33', Rashford 45', Lukaku 72')
Bournemouth 1
(Ake 45+2')
Red card: Eric Bailly (Manchester United)
WHAT IS A BLACK HOLE?
1. Black holes are objects whose gravity is so strong not even light can escape their pull
2. They can be created when massive stars collapse under their own weight
3. Large black holes can also be formed when smaller ones collide and merge
4. The biggest black holes lurk at the centre of many galaxies, including our own
5. Astronomers believe that when the universe was very young, black holes affected how galaxies formed
THE BIO
Bio Box
Role Model: Sheikh Zayed, God bless his soul
Favorite book: Zayed Biography of the leader
Favorite quote: To be or not to be, that is the question, from William Shakespeare's Hamlet
Favorite food: seafood
Favorite place to travel: Lebanon
Favorite movie: Braveheart