How to downsize your company as low oil prices bite


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I have been involved in downsizing at many companies and have been exposed to both the theory of downsizing and the horror of the reality. In today’s business environment we are seeing faster downsizing than usual, but in many cases still not the most effective approaches.

Where senior managers and business owners make the biggest mistake is in understanding their biggest risks in these scenarios – morale. The problem with morale is that it takes time to build and is easy to shatter. The idea that damage to corporate morale can be quickly regained is false and leads to counterproductive strategies.

The first of these strategies is spending far too much time between the time the decision to downsize comes and the actual downsizing happens. This creates a massive unknown for each employee – will I have a job or will my employment be terminated at the beginning of an economic downturn? Worse, each time a manager is asked a question to which they do not have an answer. Nothing creates fear like a frightened imagination.

The solution to this is pre- planning. I was chairman of the business information company Zawya for more than a decade and we had such plans ready and agreed in advance. What is even better is to place such issues within a larger context to help maintain morale. In 2008, Zawya updated its crisis response plans even though we did not know the impact. In 2009, when it became clear how serious the issues were for the economy, we were able to immediately, and confidently, answer employees’ questions.

The second strategy is to place downsizing as only one part of the expense management process. At Zawya we had a defined formula that looked at rolling 12-month sales, receivables growth and changes in cash at hand as part of our triggers. We were willing to absorb some sales loss, some delay in revenue payments and especially partially use our cash buffer before we considered downsizing. Employees always like to feel that they will not be fired to save a dirham.

The best strategy I saw was a suggestion that we made to the employees. Instead of firing people, if certain negative performance triggers were hit, we would cut salaries for everyone to reach the necessary savings. They unanimously agreed. That is how powerful out-of-the-box thinking can bring employees together. Morale was not dropping, it was increasing because we were coming together.

Senior management extended this plan. They suggested that they should take cuts first and then middle management if necessary and so on. Well, the board of directors were not going to be left out and joined in. Whereas nearly every other company was keeping their high-cost managers and firing the lower employees, we were doing the opposite with our salaries. You can bet your bottom dollar that this approach keeps morale high and increases loyalty. I wonder how many boards and senior managers took pay cuts before firing their hardworking employees.

People say be humane. I say be a leader.

Which brings me to the speed of downsizing that is happening, and it is breathtaking. The most probable cause of what seems to me an irresponsibly fast downsizing is the fact that the managers got caught out in 2009 and not wanting to repeat that are cutting employees as if it is 2009. Yes, oil has dropped dramatically and this will effect government spending. But low oil spurs the global economy. Ever think of that?

The only other reason to cut this fast is if the business is dependent predominantly on government business. That is what happens after, when things are good, managers get lazy and use the government instead of doing the hard work of diversifying their business. If that is the case it is the senior executives who need to be fired. After all, they made the mistake.

The worst thing that I have seen in downsizings is the corporate politics. Decisions are not made using true performance measurement of the employees but instead the decisions selecting the employees for termination are based on corporate politics. Boards are well advised to keep an eye out for that.

I fear a scenario whereby panicked managers overreact and hurt our long-term sustainable growth. I hope that they can think outside the box and find solutions that can protect the downside without damaging our human assets.

Sabah Al Binali is an active investor and entrepreneurial leader with a track record of financing, building and growing companies in the Mena region. You can read more of his thoughts at al-binali.com

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Libya's Gold

UN Panel of Experts found regime secretly sold a fifth of the country's gold reserves. 

The panel’s 2017 report followed a trail to West Africa where large sums of cash and gold were hidden by Abdullah Al Senussi, Qaddafi’s former intelligence chief, in 2011.

Cases filled with cash that was said to amount to $560m in 100 dollar notes, that was kept by a group of Libyans in Ouagadougou, Burkina Faso.

A second stash was said to have been held in Accra, Ghana, inside boxes at the local offices of an international human rights organisation based in France.

The biog

Favourite book: Men are from Mars Women are from Venus

Favourite travel destination: Ooty, a hill station in South India

Hobbies: Cooking. Biryani, pepper crab are her signature dishes

Favourite place in UAE: Marjan Island

Cricket World Cup League 2 Fixtures

Saturday March 5, UAE v Oman, ICC Academy (all matches start at 9.30am)

Sunday March 6, Oman v Namibia, ICC Academy

Tuesday March 8, UAE v Namibia, ICC Academy

Wednesday March 9, UAE v Oman, ICC Academy

Friday March 11, Oman v Namibia, Sharjah Cricket Stadium

Saturday March 12, UAE v Namibia, Sharjah Cricket Stadium

UAE squad

Ahmed Raza (captain), Chirag Suri, Muhammad Waseem, CP Rizwan, Vriitya Aravind, Asif Khan, Basil Hameed, Rohan Mustafa, Kashif Daud, Zahoor Khan, Junaid Siddique, Karthik Meiyappan, Akif Raja, Rahul Bhatia

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TOUCH RULES

Touch is derived from rugby league. Teams consist of up to 14 players with a maximum of six on the field at any time.

Teams can make as many substitutions as they want during the 40 minute matches.

Similar to rugby league, the attacking team has six attempts - or touches - before possession changes over.

A touch is any contact between the player with the ball and a defender, and must be with minimum force.

After a touch the player performs a “roll-ball” - similar to the play-the-ball in league - stepping over or rolling the ball between the feet.

At the roll-ball, the defenders have to retreat a minimum of five metres.

A touchdown is scored when an attacking player places the ball on or over the score-line.

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Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.

Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.

Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.

“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.

Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.

From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.

Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.

BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.

Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.

Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.

“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.

“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.

“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”

The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”

Timeline

2012-2015

The company offers payments/bribes to win key contracts in the Middle East

May 2017

The UK SFO officially opens investigation into Petrofac’s use of agents, corruption, and potential bribery to secure contracts

September 2021

Petrofac pleads guilty to seven counts of failing to prevent bribery under the UK Bribery Act

October 2021

Court fines Petrofac £77 million for bribery. Former executive receives a two-year suspended sentence 

December 2024

Petrofac enters into comprehensive restructuring to strengthen the financial position of the group

May 2025

The High Court of England and Wales approves the company’s restructuring plan

July 2025

The Court of Appeal issues a judgment challenging parts of the restructuring plan

August 2025

Petrofac issues a business update to execute the restructuring and confirms it will appeal the Court of Appeal decision

October 2025

Petrofac loses a major TenneT offshore wind contract worth €13 billion. Holding company files for administration in the UK. Petrofac delisted from the London Stock Exchange

November 2025

180 Petrofac employees laid off in the UAE

2020 Oscars winners: in numbers
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  • 1917– 3
  • Ford v Ferrari – 2
  • Joker – 2
  • Once Upon a Time ... in Hollywood – 2
  • American Factory – 1
  • Bombshell – 1
  • Hair Love – 1
  • Jojo Rabbit – 1
  • Judy – 1
  • Little Women – 1
  • Learning to Skateboard in a Warzone (If You're a Girl) – 1
  • Marriage Story – 1
  • Rocketman – 1
  • The Neighbors' Window – 1
  • Toy Story 4 – 1
The burning issue

The internal combustion engine is facing a watershed moment – major manufacturer Volvo is to stop producing petroleum-powered vehicles by 2021 and countries in Europe, including the UK, have vowed to ban their sale before 2040. The National takes a look at the story of one of the most successful technologies of the last 100 years and how it has impacted life in the UAE. 

Read part four: an affection for classic cars lives on

Read part three: the age of the electric vehicle begins

Read part two: how climate change drove the race for an alternative