Hands up those who want to live to 100. Chances are many of us Britons will live that long, whether we like it or not.
The UK department of work and pensions (DWP) predicts one in six Britons today - more than 10 million of the country's 62 million people - will live to be a centenarian. More than half of them are aged between 16 and 50.
In total, about 500,000 people in the UK will be aged at least 100 by 2066, including nearly 8,000 aged 110 or more, the supercentenarians. This compares with nearly 12,000 people today who are aged 100 or more and fewer than 100 who are more than 110 years old.
"Oh dear! I wouldn't want to live that long," says Phyllis Varnes, 80, a grandmother. "Can you imagine being a 100-year-old in this winter? Not being able to move much in that cold and wearing layers and layers of old cardigans just to keep warm to save money on the heating bill?"
It is a grim thought probably shared by many British pensioners. What is there to look forward to as a centenarian?
You've seen it all, done it all, and still no one wants to learn from your experience.
Your advice is seen as mere rambling. You live in the nursing home, regretting that the house you dearly hoped to pass on to the children will have to be sold for your welfare expenses.
Recent surveys have found the scale of happiness is U-shaped. People start out their adult life generally happy.
From then on things start going downhill until they reach a nadir at the global average of 46. After this midlife crisis, people become less stressed, less anxious, more accepting and generally happier.
It is not clear from the surveys at what age the U-bend stops but most likely unhappiness starts creeping in when stiffening muscles, aching joints, fading eyesight and fogging of memory become a burden.
Already many Britons face a bleak retirement with little savings put aside for a decent pension, a problem aggravated by global economic upheavals and cuts in UK government spending to tackle a yawning deficit.
Longer life expectancy will therefore be onerous not just to the individual, but it will also have profound social and economic implications. People will have to pay more taxes to meet the costs of pension and health care of the elderly, who will spend a third of their lives in retirement.
The government is considering significant reforms to the pension system, including linking the state pension to life expectancy. This could mean future generations working into their 70s.
It's a nightmare scenario for all concerned.
Even in Japan, a country renowned for longevity and respect for the aged, some families have adopted the scam of claiming the pension of elderly relatives who have died, sometimes for decades.
More than 230,000 elderly people listed as being 100 years old or older were unaccounted for in a nationwide inquiry last September. The inquiry followed the discovery of mummified remains in the family home of the man thought to be Tokyo's oldest.
The scandal spotlighted the isolation and loneliness faced by millions of elderly people as the Japanese government struggles to cope with a rapidly greying population.
The British government faces a similar threat. The country has seen a rise in what is being dubbed the "grey crime wave". Since the recession, the number of over-65s being arrested and ending up in jail has increased by between 15 and 25 per cent. Although still a low proportion of all crime in the UK, it is serious enough for a prison in Portsmouth on the south coast of England to provide an "elderly wing", complete with stairlifts and other adaptations.
Experts are divided over whether the trend is due to poverty among the elderly or courts becoming tougher on perpetrators of crime.
Whatever the reason, longevity seems to be overrated. But then, to quote the French actor Maurice Chevalier, old age isn't so bad when you consider the alternative.
For sure, 2066 will be a very busy time indeed for the DWP's centenarian clerk, who works with Buckingham Palace to ensure citizens receive a 100th birthday card from the monarch.
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Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.
Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.
“Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.
Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.
“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.
Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.
From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.
Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.
BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.
Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.
Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.
“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.
Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.
“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.
“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”
The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”
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Dubai Rugby Sevens
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West Asia Premiership
Winners: Bahrain
Runners up: UAE Premiership
UAE Premiership
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Runners up: Dubai Hurricanes
UAE Division One
Winners: Abu Dhabi Saracens
Runners up: Dubai Hurricanes II
UAE Division Two
Winners: Barrelhouse
Runners up: RAK Rugby
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