Warren Buffett's strategy has some investors expecting him to eventually absorb Occidental and turn it into a 'cash machine' that feeds his other investments. AP
Warren Buffett's strategy has some investors expecting him to eventually absorb Occidental and turn it into a 'cash machine' that feeds his other investments. AP
Warren Buffett's strategy has some investors expecting him to eventually absorb Occidental and turn it into a 'cash machine' that feeds his other investments. AP
Warren Buffett's strategy has some investors expecting him to eventually absorb Occidental and turn it into a 'cash machine' that feeds his other investments. AP

Warren Buffett’s Berkshire boosts Occidental stake as it pushes to buy half of the company


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Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway boosted its stake in Occidental Petroleum to 26.8 per cent after receiving the go-ahead last month from US regulators to buy as much as half of the oil company.

The new level of ownership, reported late on Friday in a federal filing, is up from 20.2 per cent as of August 8, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.

Berkshire won approval from US regulators in August to buy as much as 50 per cent of Occidental after spending months snapping up its shares, sending the Houston-based oil company's stock to its biggest gain in five months.

The Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC) said at the time that Berkshire’s proposed stock purchases were “consistent with the public interest”.

Berkshire applied for the authorisation on July 11, the FERC said. The company has spent this year wagering more on Occidental after first making a bet on the company three years ago.

In early August, Berkshire reported that it held 188 million shares of Occidental’s common stock, a little more than 20 per cent of its 931 million shares outstanding.

“No question Buffett goes to 50 per cent from here,” Bill Smead, who manages $4.8 billion at Smead Capital Management, is a top 20 shareholder in Occidental and also owns Berkshire stock, said at the time.

“This is looking more and more like the Burlington transaction where he ended up buying the whole shooting match.”

Mr Buffett's strategy into Occidental has some investors expecting the billionaire to eventually absorb the oil producer and turn it into a “cash machine” that feeds his other investments.

Berkshire has been snapping up Occidental shares since 2019, when it bought around $10 billion in preferred stock to help the company finance a deal for a rival. That investment came with warrants for 83.9 million shares.

Mr Buffett, who told shareholders earlier this year that cash is similar to oxygen, is probably attracted by estimates showing Occidental's cash-flow potential has soared, analysts said.

He added 4.3 million shares this week, bringing Berkshire's direct holdings to 179.4 million. Occidental's shares have more than doubled this year.

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Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.

Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.

Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.

“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.

Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.

From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.

Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.

BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.

Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.

Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.

“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.

“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.

“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”

The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”

Updated: September 10, 2022, 6:26 AM