Emaar's villa sales grew by 85 per cent last year. Pawan Singh / The National
Emaar's villa sales grew by 85 per cent last year. Pawan Singh / The National
Emaar's villa sales grew by 85 per cent last year. Pawan Singh / The National
Emaar's villa sales grew by 85 per cent last year. Pawan Singh / The National

Emaar results show Dubai shift to villas


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The latest financial statement from Emaar Properties reflects a shift in Dubai's property market as buyers trade up from apartments to more spacious villas.

Revenues from apartment sales fell 85 per cent for Emaar last year, while villa sales grew by 85 per cent over the previous year.

The developer, based in Dubai, has residential property developments in countries including Morocco, Saudi Arabia and the United States, as well as the UAE.

Apartment sales revenues declined to Dh1.11 billion (US$299.4 million) last year from Dh7.56 billion the previous year, the statement posted on the Dubai Financial Market showed. Revenues from sales of villas reached Dh958.7m compared to Dh517.27m the previous year.

Emaar, which developed the Burj Khalifa and Dubai Mall, did not provide a breakdown of where the properties were sold, but analysts said the figures were likely to be heavily weighted by sales in Dubai and reflected a general trend in the emirate.

"The villa market has definitely performed more strongly than the apartment market over the last year," said Craig Plumb, the head of research at Jones Lang LaSalle, Middle East and North Africa. "The reason for that is because there has been a limited amount of new villas coming into the market compared to a lot of new apartments. That situation may equalise over the next year because there are now more villas coming on over the next year."

"The other factor why villas have performed better is because as prices have fallen across the market, people have been able to trade up from apartments into villas."

Shopping malls and hotels have become an increasingly important source of cash for Emaar, particularly following a sharp decline in property prices in the emirate amid the global financial crisis.

Emaar's retail, hospitality and leisure businesses accounted for 41 per cent of total annual revenue last year, compared with about 24 per cent in 2010.

Emaar suffered a 27 per cent fall in net profit last year compared with 2010.

But net profit in the fourth quarter of the last year surged from Dh274m to Dh716m compared with the same quarter in 2010, boosted by soaring retail and hospitality revenues amid tourism growth in Dubai.

The group said it expected to hand over projects in Egypt, Saudi Arabia, and Lebanon this year.

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Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.

Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.

Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.

“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.

Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.

From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.

Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.

BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.

Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.

Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.

“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.

“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.

“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”

The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”

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