Crowds of people throng a market place in Mbare, Harare, Zimbabwe. The country generates the bulk of its foreign currency earnings from exports of tobacco, gold and platinum. EPA
Crowds of people throng a market place in Mbare, Harare, Zimbabwe. The country generates the bulk of its foreign currency earnings from exports of tobacco, gold and platinum. EPA
Crowds of people throng a market place in Mbare, Harare, Zimbabwe. The country generates the bulk of its foreign currency earnings from exports of tobacco, gold and platinum. EPA
Crowds of people throng a market place in Mbare, Harare, Zimbabwe. The country generates the bulk of its foreign currency earnings from exports of tobacco, gold and platinum. EPA

Zimbabwe bullish on economic recovery in 2021 on the back of limited Covid-19 impact


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Zimbabwe’s economy is forecast to rebound in 2021 as the country shrugs off the effects of the coronavirus pandemic and the government takes further measures to stabilise the currency, finance minister Mthuli Ncube said.

Gross domestic product is expected to expand by 7.4 per cent after contracting by an estimated 4.5 per cent this year, Mr Ncube said in a budget strategy paper presented to reporters and businesspeople on Friday in the capital, Harare.

Growth next year will be anchored by agriculture and mining, which forecast to grow by 11.3 per cent and 11 per cent respectively, he said.

The country generates the bulk of its foreign currency earnings from exports of tobacco, gold and platinum.

Inflation, which eased to 659 per cent in September – the second straight decline from a July peak of 837 per cent – is expected to reach 134 per cent by the end of the year, supported by weekly foreign currency auctions, Mr Ncube said.

Highlights 

  • The wage bill for government workers will be managed in line with budget capacity and inflation. The target is to contain employment costs below 50 per cent of total expenditure.
  • The introduction of a market-based foreign exchange auction system will be supported by the carrying out of "strong fiscal and monetary policies for stabilising inflation, and the preservation of the external value of the local currency."
  • The budget to be presented in November will outline plans to offset the loss of value arising from currency reforms. In February last year the government abandoned the local unit's 1:1 to the dollar and four months later the Zimbabwean dollar was reintroduced as sole legal tender.
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Price: base / as tested: Dh185,000

Engine: 2.0-litre, turbocharged in-line four-cylinder

Gearbox: Eight-speed automatic

Power: 250hp @ 5,500rpm

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  • A single, divorced or widowed Muslim Emirati female, residing in the UAE may apply to foster a child if she is at least 30 years old and able to support the child financially

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Stage of funding: Seed

Investors: Three founders (two silent co-founders) and one venture capital fund

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UAE currency: the story behind the money in your pockets

Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.

Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.

Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.

“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.

Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.

From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.

Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.

BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.

Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.

Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.

“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.

“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.

“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”

The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”

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