Saudi Arabia’s efforts to build water, power and sewage sector projects with private consortiums has been a 'successful journey', said Mohammed Al Jadaan, the kingdom’s finance minister. Reuters
Saudi Arabia’s efforts to build water, power and sewage sector projects with private consortiums has been a 'successful journey', said Mohammed Al Jadaan, the kingdom’s finance minister. Reuters
Saudi Arabia’s efforts to build water, power and sewage sector projects with private consortiums has been a 'successful journey', said Mohammed Al Jadaan, the kingdom’s finance minister. Reuters
Saudi Arabia’s efforts to build water, power and sewage sector projects with private consortiums has been a 'successful journey', said Mohammed Al Jadaan, the kingdom’s finance minister. Reuters

Saudi Arabia could raise 50bn riyals from privatisations in next five years


Sarmad Khan
  • English
  • Arabic

Saudi Arabia could raise more than 50 billion riyals (Dh48.96bn) from the sale of stakes in state-controlled entities over the next five years, its finance minister said.

The kingdom, the Arab world's biggest economy, is now looking to sell assets in sectors that were previously not targeted for privatisation such as healthcare and education as it looks to diversify its revenue base and bring more efficiency to state entities, Mohammed Al Jadaan said on Wednesday during a Bloomberg webinar.

"While amounts are quite healthy and significant, I would imagine in the next four to five years it would be north of 50 billion [riyals] only in the sale of assets,” he said. “The amount is not what is driving this [though].”

Saudi Arabia’s efforts to build water, power and sewage sector projects with private consortiums has been a “successful journey”, he said. It is earmarking more assets in the water sector for privatisation and plans to bring some of its “mature assets in [the] form of companies” to the capital market, he said.

“There are few of them that are in the pipeline for 2020-21. I can’t disclose them because some of them have filed with the regulator and a few of them are at an advance stage,” Mr Jadaan said.

Privatisation is a key plank of Saudi Arabia’s Vision 2030 economic diversification agenda. The kingdom raised close to $30bn (Dh110.1bn) from the sale of shares in Saudi Aramco, the world’s largest oil producing company. The listing last year on the Tadawul stock exchange was the biggest initial public offering in the world. Earlier this year, the kingdom sold a stake in two grain mills and two more assets are being offered to private investors in the same sector.

The kingdom, the world’s biggest oil exporter, like other Middle Eastern producers is facing a double whammy of lower revenue from sale of hydrocarbons and the pandemic-driven slowdown. The country has increased its rate of Value Added Tax to 15 per cent, from the previous 5 per cent, to offset the impact of lower crude prices and boost its revenue base.

Asked if the kingdom will consider levying income tax as a more effective way of boosting revenue, Mr Al Jadaan said all options are under consideration. However, imposing income tax would require "a lot of preparation" and is unlikely to be introduced in the immediate future.

The tripling of VAT, the minister said, does not mean the kingdom is in austerity mode or would be entering into a new phase of belt-tightening. The kingdom has not reduced expenditure and has continued to spend on the main programmes that are part of Vision 2030, with “slight adjustments”.

Saudi Arabia is closely monitoring all sectors of the economy and is ready to roll out more stimulus measures if required. The kingdom has so far launched 200 fiscal and monetary initiatives worth $65bn, targeting sectors including financial services and small and medium-sized enterprises.

He said July frequency data is encouraging, indicating economic recovery in the kingdom, although there are still many uncertainties. The International Monetary Fund expects Saudi Arabia’s economy to contract 6.8 per cent this year. However, Mr Al Jadaan said the kingdom does not agree with the fund's projection.

“We stand ready to support whatever support is needed,” for economic recovery, he said when asked if the kingdom could roll out more stimulus.

The kingdom's sovereign wealth fund, the Public Investment Fund (PIF), will also continue to invest at home and abroad as it looks to capitalise on some of the opportunities available in the market.

“We have no specific geographic preference,” Mr Al Jadaan, who is also on the board of PIF, said. “We have invested heavily in tech and we will continue to look at these investments.”

PIF, he added, would look at the option of secondary offerings of shares in its local asset portfolio to "recycle mature investments".

"That's not driven by need of liquidity, though – they have ample liquidity," he said.

The kingdom, which has raised about $12bn international debt capital markets this year, is likely to approach the market at least once more in 2020, but has yet to decide the timing and currency of issuance.

Riyadh has raised funds from local debt markets and has issued “significantly more than what we had planned at the beginning of the year”, he said.

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Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.

Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.

Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.

“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.

Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.

From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.

Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.

BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.

Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.

Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.

“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.

“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.

“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”

The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”

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A queen bee lives for 3-5 years

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“The biggest mistake people make is they panic when they see a bee. They are small but smart creatures. If you move your hand quickly to hit the bees, this is an aggressive action and bees will defend themselves. They can sense the adrenalin in our body. But if we are calm, they are move away.”

 

 

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