Shoppers in Windsor, Britain. The typically bumper Christmas period offered little respite for high street stores in December. Reuters
Shoppers in Windsor, Britain. The typically bumper Christmas period offered little respite for high street stores in December. Reuters
Shoppers in Windsor, Britain. The typically bumper Christmas period offered little respite for high street stores in December. Reuters
Shoppers in Windsor, Britain. The typically bumper Christmas period offered little respite for high street stores in December. Reuters

Britain suffered worst retail sales on record in 2020


Alice Haine
  • English
  • Arabic

British retailers suffered their worst annual performance on record in 2020, as the cycle of lockdowns took their toll on fashion and homeware sales.

The sector suffered an overall fall in sales of 0.3 per cent on the year, according to the British Retail Consortium-KPMG retail sales monitor, with the typically bumper Christmas period offering little respite for high street stores.

While food sales rose 5.4 per cent in 2020 compared to 2019, non-food sales fell about 5 per cent, the trade body said. The drop in non-food sales in physical stores was even higher at 25 per cent, leaving the sector with its worst performance since the monitor started in 1995.

“Covid has led to 2020 being the worst year on record for retail sales growth. Physical non-food stores – including all of ‘non-essential’ retail – saw sales drop by a quarter compared with 2019,” said Helen Dickinson, chief executive of the BRC.

“Christmas offered little respite for these retailers, as many shops were forced to shut during the peak trading period, though this led to a rise in food-based gifts as many shoppers bought what they could from the shops that were still open.”

With shops in Britain now closed for the foreseeable future, costing them billions in more lost sales, many retailers are struggling to survive.

England’s third lockdown comes after physical shops had already endured months of closing and opening their premises in line with government regulations to curb the spread of Covid-19.

The end of the year eased the situation for some retailers, with sales over a five-week period from late November to early January 1.8 per cent higher than a year earlier.

Non-food sales jumped 44.8 per cent in December, as a higher proportion of shoppers headed online. Over 2020 as a whole, online retail increased by more than a third to account for 46.1 per cent of all sales.

Susan Barratt, chief executive of grocery research company IGD, said December experienced the highest ever festive spending in the UK food and grocery retail sector and was largely in line with the elevated trend through the year.

“Though last-minute changes put the brakes on larger family gatherings, shoppers nevertheless sought to make up for their disappointments by trading up to treat themselves and their immediate households with premium and luxury lines,” she said.

However, the retail figures indicate that the online shopping surge and re-opening of physical shops after the November lockdown did not boost sales enough to offset tighter restrictions that came into force across large swathes of the country in the middle of last month.

Marks & Spencer said UK revenue for its third fiscal quarter at the end of last year was 8.2 per cent lower than last year. AFP
Marks & Spencer said UK revenue for its third fiscal quarter at the end of last year was 8.2 per cent lower than last year. AFP

Marks & Spencer said earlier this month that a sharp drop in clothing and homeware sales in its Christmas quarter as Covid-19 restrictions hit demand.

The retail chain said UK revenue for its third fiscal quarter was 8.2 per cent lower than last year at £2.52 billion ($3.42bn), blaming “on-off restrictions and distortions in demand patterns” caused by the pandemic.

Paul Martin, head of retail at KPMG, said December, the most important month for the retail industry, experienced some growth due to the ongoing shift of expenditure from other categories such as travel and leisure.

“Once again, we saw big swings in the types of products being purchased and the channels used for shopping, with much of the growth taking place online where nearly half of all non-food purchases were made,” he said.

“Household-related and food item purchases were top of Christmas shopping lists with historic growth rates in contrast to fashion, accessories and beauty products which experienced double-digit declines.”

However, high street retailers lost out when further restrictions were imposed, he said, and looking ahead “fortunes will be mixed but pent-up savings and a successful vaccine rollout will help support recovery in the retail sector later in the year”.

“Retailers will also be hoping that the reopening of high streets and shopping centres will see a return to more normal levels of footfall,” he said.

Last year was also the worst year for high street job losses in more than 25 years, according to a report from the Centre for Retail Research earlier this month, as the pandemic accelerated the shift to online shopping.

Nearly 180,000 retail jobs were lost, an increase of almost a quarter on 2019.

Ms Barratt said shopper confidence will “remain fragile” this year as shoppers “grapple with the impact of the new national lockdown, economic downturn and a new relationship with the EU”.

Mercer, the investment consulting arm of US services company Marsh & McLennan, expects its wealth division to at least double its assets under management (AUM) in the Middle East as wealth in the region continues to grow despite economic headwinds, a company official said.

Mercer Wealth, which globally has $160 billion in AUM, plans to boost its AUM in the region to $2-$3bn in the next 2-3 years from the present $1bn, said Yasir AbuShaban, a Dubai-based principal with Mercer Wealth.

Within the next two to three years, we are looking at reaching $2 to $3 billion as a conservative estimate and we do see an opportunity to do so,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Mercer does not directly make investments, but allocates clients’ money they have discretion to, to professional asset managers. They also provide advice to clients.

“We have buying power. We can negotiate on their (client’s) behalf with asset managers to provide them lower fees than they otherwise would have to get on their own,” he added.

Mercer Wealth’s clients include sovereign wealth funds, family offices, and insurance companies among others.

From its office in Dubai, Mercer also looks after Africa, India and Turkey, where they also see opportunity for growth.

Wealth creation in Middle East and Africa (MEA) grew 8.5 per cent to $8.1 trillion last year from $7.5tn in 2015, higher than last year’s global average of 6 per cent and the second-highest growth in a region after Asia-Pacific which grew 9.9 per cent, according to consultancy Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In the region, where wealth grew just 1.9 per cent in 2015 compared with 2014, a pickup in oil prices has helped in wealth generation.

BCG is forecasting MEA wealth will rise to $12tn by 2021, growing at an annual average of 8 per cent.

Drivers of wealth generation in the region will be split evenly between new wealth creation and growth of performance of existing assets, according to BCG.

Another general trend in the region is clients’ looking for a comprehensive approach to investing, according to Mr AbuShaban.

“Institutional investors or some of the families are seeing a slowdown in the available capital they have to invest and in that sense they are looking at optimizing the way they manage their portfolios and making sure they are not investing haphazardly and different parts of their investment are working together,” said Mr AbuShaban.

Some clients also have a higher appetite for risk, given the low interest-rate environment that does not provide enough yield for some institutional investors. These clients are keen to invest in illiquid assets, such as private equity and infrastructure.

“What we have seen is a desire for higher returns in what has been a low-return environment specifically in various fixed income or bonds,” he said.

“In this environment, we have seen a de facto increase in the risk that clients are taking in things like illiquid investments, private equity investments, infrastructure and private debt, those kind of investments were higher illiquidity results in incrementally higher returns.”

The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, one of the largest sovereign wealth funds, said in its 2016 report that has gradually increased its exposure in direct private equity and private credit transactions, mainly in Asian markets and especially in China and India. The authority’s private equity department focused on structured equities owing to “their defensive characteristics.”

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How to vote

Canadians living in the UAE can register to vote online and be added to the International Register of Electors.

They'll then be sent a special ballot voting kit by mail either to their address, the Consulate General of Canada to the UAE in Dubai or The Embassy of Canada in Abu Dhabi

Registered voters mark the ballot with their choice and must send it back by 6pm Eastern time on October 21 (2am next Friday) 

Real estate tokenisation project

Dubai launched the pilot phase of its real estate tokenisation project last month.

The initiative focuses on converting real estate assets into digital tokens recorded on blockchain technology and helps in streamlining the process of buying, selling and investing, the Dubai Land Department said.

Dubai’s real estate tokenisation market is projected to reach Dh60 billion ($16.33 billion) by 2033, representing 7 per cent of the emirate’s total property transactions, according to the DLD.

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